Re: horse plays
Here is Demling's writeup:
The Belmont Derby Invitational is the top turf race for just 3-year-olds so far this year.
The fifth running of the Belmont Derby will be contested with nine horses going one mile and a quarter as the feature attraction on Saturday's card at Belmont.
The field is loaded with talent, including a pair of horses from Europe.
In the first four runnings of the race, the favorite hasn't won. The first four winners went off at odds of 23-1, 10-1, 6-1 and 5-1.
The Belmont Derby Invitational is formerly known as the Jamaica Handicap, which produced Breeders' Cup winners Artie Schiller (2005 in the Mile) and Court Vision (2008 in the Mile).
The race will go to post at 6:50 p.m. ET.
Here's my complete leaderboard, with post positions in parentheses:
— (4) 1. Hunting Horn (7-2) - Trainer Aidan O'Brien doesn't come from Europe unless he has a big-time chance; he won the race two years ago and the son of Camelot showed a big-time late kick to win a Group 3 race at Royal Ascot in his last outing.
— (3) 2. Analyze It (5-2) - The likely favorite for trainer Chad Brown, the son of Point of Entry will be able to get the distance and wouldn't be a shock to win. But have to believe his odds are going to be too short.
— (7) 3. Catholic Boy (4-1) - Beat Analyze It in his last start and should be right there in this one, but this is Catholic Boy's first start beyond a 1 1/8-miles.
— (8) 4. Hawkish (7-2) - The Artie Schiller gelding was super impressive in winning the Penn Mile Stakes in his last start and is an elite horse, but I simply don't think he can get the mile and a quarter distance.
— (9) 5. My Boy Jack (6-1) - The last time we saw him he was finishing fifth in the Kentucky Derby; he switches back to the turf - which I think is his best surface - but have to assume he will need a race.
— (6) 6. Kingstar (12-1) - Another European horse, but not of the quality of Hunting Horn. A second and two firsts in three lifetime starts all in France.
— (5) 7. Maraud (12-1) - Will like the added distance and is 4-for-8 in his lifetime but he hasn't been running against this quality.
— (1) 8. Channel Cat (30-1) - In his last start, the son of the great English Channel was third behind Catholic Boy and Analyze It; trainer Todd Pletcher doesn't have too many turf stars in his barn.
— (2) 9. Encumbered (30-1) - Hasn't been impressive since last summer; can't see that turning around against these.
$5 EXACTA BOX 3-4 ($10)
$1 EXACTA 4 with ALL ($8)
$0.50 TRIFECTA 3,4 with 3,4,7,8 with ALL ($21)
$0.10 SUPERFECTA 4 with 3,7,8 with ALL with ALL ($12.60)
$0.10 SUPERFECTA 3 with 4,7,8 with ALL with ALL ($12.60
I really like his top selection ive been following in his europe races hopefully he will be staying around 7-2. I believe browns horse will be taking all the cash. Ive have hunting horn locked in at 4-1
Here is Demling's writeup:
The Belmont Derby Invitational is the top turf race for just 3-year-olds so far this year.
The fifth running of the Belmont Derby will be contested with nine horses going one mile and a quarter as the feature attraction on Saturday's card at Belmont.
The field is loaded with talent, including a pair of horses from Europe.
In the first four runnings of the race, the favorite hasn't won. The first four winners went off at odds of 23-1, 10-1, 6-1 and 5-1.
The Belmont Derby Invitational is formerly known as the Jamaica Handicap, which produced Breeders' Cup winners Artie Schiller (2005 in the Mile) and Court Vision (2008 in the Mile).
The race will go to post at 6:50 p.m. ET.
Here's my complete leaderboard, with post positions in parentheses:
— (4) 1. Hunting Horn (7-2) - Trainer Aidan O'Brien doesn't come from Europe unless he has a big-time chance; he won the race two years ago and the son of Camelot showed a big-time late kick to win a Group 3 race at Royal Ascot in his last outing.
— (3) 2. Analyze It (5-2) - The likely favorite for trainer Chad Brown, the son of Point of Entry will be able to get the distance and wouldn't be a shock to win. But have to believe his odds are going to be too short.
— (7) 3. Catholic Boy (4-1) - Beat Analyze It in his last start and should be right there in this one, but this is Catholic Boy's first start beyond a 1 1/8-miles.
— (8) 4. Hawkish (7-2) - The Artie Schiller gelding was super impressive in winning the Penn Mile Stakes in his last start and is an elite horse, but I simply don't think he can get the mile and a quarter distance.
— (9) 5. My Boy Jack (6-1) - The last time we saw him he was finishing fifth in the Kentucky Derby; he switches back to the turf - which I think is his best surface - but have to assume he will need a race.
— (6) 6. Kingstar (12-1) - Another European horse, but not of the quality of Hunting Horn. A second and two firsts in three lifetime starts all in France.
— (5) 7. Maraud (12-1) - Will like the added distance and is 4-for-8 in his lifetime but he hasn't been running against this quality.
— (1) 8. Channel Cat (30-1) - In his last start, the son of the great English Channel was third behind Catholic Boy and Analyze It; trainer Todd Pletcher doesn't have too many turf stars in his barn.
— (2) 9. Encumbered (30-1) - Hasn't been impressive since last summer; can't see that turning around against these.
$5 EXACTA BOX 3-4 ($10)
$1 EXACTA 4 with ALL ($8)
$0.50 TRIFECTA 3,4 with 3,4,7,8 with ALL ($21)
$0.10 SUPERFECTA 4 with 3,7,8 with ALL with ALL ($12.60)
$0.10 SUPERFECTA 3 with 4,7,8 with ALL with ALL ($12.60
I really like his top selection ive been following in his europe races hopefully he will be staying around 7-2. I believe browns horse will be taking all the cash. Ive have hunting horn locked in at 4-1
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