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_______________________________________________ ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)
_______________________________________________ ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)
_______________________________________________ ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)
_______________________________________________ ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)
hate playing 2 especially at relatively low odds but can't decide.. pletcher #2 (8-5)will take a lot of money which helps our cause (at least if he loses lol)
R5 #3 hail the queen (9-5)
3yo clm 12.5..claimed this horse 4 back for $16k..close 2nd's stepping up first to 25k and then to 32k..oc/alw n1x too much for her last out but her effort inthat race transfered to this field works well..far as the drop she picked up 2nd money twice so with today's tag not a ridiculous loss situation.. back in 8 days so probably in good shape
R7 #6 little united (4-1)
this race clm 8000 n1y (6 months).. wins in claimers vs lower tags don't count so she has two of those vs 5k same condition.. bad efforts were from bad posts.. seems the addition of blinkers combined with reasonable placement going back about 7 starts has worked for this horse.. jock/trainer 9/32 last 60 days
R8 #7 holiday magician (12-1)
think the stretch and drop may set her up nice for this.. always like even back of the pack lines in these situations.. little route experience here but sprint form was excellent last fall and it's a top and bottom route pedigree
R9 #7 forbidden frolic (9-2)
linda rice ships in from aqueduct with this fts.. slow works which is her modus operandi.. nice pedigree.. cost 90k by 15k sire out of a highly productive dam.. 10 starters 8 winners and 3 of those stakes winners.. 3 turf winners amongst those (5.5f turf today).. dam by premiership who's an extreme sprint influence
_______________________________________________ ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)
R3 going to be odds on so I'd do a double R2-3..a pick 3 for 25% of the double .. and a straight bet on R4
R5 #6 jerry's pridenjoy (3-1)
R6 #4 keepme in the game (10-1)
$435k first time starter for shug..of the two siblings to run(my research) one won first out and other came 2nd in a msw turf route* at saratoga for 2yo (also debut)..that one won about $1.5M and was a multiple graded stakes winner..long string of works at payson park going back to mid februrary
R7 #4 methodical (15-1)
broke from the 12 post in debut and exits a race that was as fast as any who are running the derby ..only difference it was at 7 furlongs..ran the kind of line back of the pack that I like for a stretchout..trainer below the radar guy who is very profitable in many applicable categories..top jockey saez rides..would love to get ml as it makes no sense..linesmaker thinks public is brain dead and can't dig a little
R8 #5 fashion decree (5-1)
usually don't like playing horses who broke their maiden first out to repeat next out..doing it here because this one is very well bred and suspect field
R6 and 8 is same owner..bought and bred respectively
_______________________________________________ ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)
1st – Ashlie Nicole (5) was not asked till mid-stretch then responded well and was eased late with a +10, +7 in last. Gallardo jumps to the one with the better singles. Looks like one or the other. Still it may be very competitive.
Pick 3 - 4,5/1,2,5,6/8
2nd – Sum Mo Cash (3) was above par in last and comes Rightback without moving up in class. That would be too easy. Ward is 1-14 with RBs and 14% Win with No Changes in L2T.
1,2,5,6/3/All (20 bets)
3rd – Urban Buckeye (8) goes for Hemingway who is 42% Win and 77% ITM when the favorite. Ian doubles his ordinary strike rate with No Change types. The 3YO dueled from midway in the far turn to the wire and just weakened late with a +4,+3 last time out.
Win 8
DD 8/2
4th – Why not Dale Bennett, who is 6-16 Win recently and 29% Win off the claim? Last was par. If the rest have any good cards, they ain’t showing them.
Win 2
5th – Whatever was bothering Divine Ambition (1) he’s over it, going +12 in last. Bowersock has two 50% ITM angles here
Win 1
6th – KOC will be 3-5 and should be. Yanez is 30% Win and 70% ITM with Plain Shortenups (and 3 of 4 ITM this season).
1st – Ashlie Nicole (5) was not asked till mid-stretch then responded well and was eased late with a +10, +7 in last. Gallardo jumps to the one with the better singles. Looks like one or the other. Still it may be very competitive.
Pick 3 - 4,5/1,2,5,6/8
2nd – Sum Mo Cash (3) was above par in last and comes Rightback without moving up in class. That would be too easy. Ward is 1-14 with RBs and 14% Win with No Changes in L2T.
1,2,5,6/3/All (20 bets)
3rd – Urban Buckeye (8) goes for Hemingway who is 42% Win and 77% ITM when the favorite. Ian doubles his ordinary strike rate with No Change types. The 3YO dueled from midway in the far turn to the wire and just weakened late with a +4,+3 last time out.
Win 8
DD 8/2
4th – Why not Dale Bennett, who is 6-16 Win recently and 29% Win off the claim? Last was par. If the rest have any good cards, they ain’t showing them.
Win 2
5th – Whatever was bothering Divine Ambition (1) he’s over it, going +12 in last. Bowersock has two 50% ITM angles here
Win 1
6th – KOC will be 3-5 and should be. Yanez is 30% Win and 70% ITM with Plain Shortenups (and 3 of 4 ITM this season).
_______________________________________________ ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)
Yes sorry. Always good to double check. Dang work got in the way lol. Hope you had the pick 4 about a week ago. Paid close to 1500. It's mean an ok meet. Spring meet is almost over. Then starts up again I believe in end of June. Personally can't wait for Saratoga !!!
R5 #6 striking star (5-1) R9 #8 wish for interest (8-1)
penn national
R8 #6 unlimited upside (6-1)
gotta love a horse with this name making his 2nd career start dropping from a mdn 25k to a mdn $5k today lol...kidding aside do like him dropping and stretching out
_______________________________________________ ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)
_______________________________________________ ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)
_______________________________________________ ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)
R1 #3 muchacho (15-1)
R3 #10 friendly fire (9-2)
R4 #8 salutelute (7-2)
R6 #8 stoney bennett (5-1)
R7 #5 pink pearl (15-1)
R8 #7 gran city (5-1)
gulfstream
R1 #1 go girl gone (20-1)
R3 #1 gladita (6-1)
R5 10 mi karlita (10-1) ml ??
_______________________________________________ ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)
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