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also should mention first post moved up to 11:30 today.. should have checked this yesterday sorry
_______________________________________________ ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)
_______________________________________________ ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)
_______________________________________________ ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)
_______________________________________________ ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)
_______________________________________________ ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)
biggest race of the day but there are 8 other stakes races on the card.. will be looking tomorrow
like how he ran in the previous two cigar miles.. think at nice odds worth a shot that he'll take to two turns.. had an extremely wide trip on a sloppy track running in this race last year.. being by mineshaft out of a tiznow mare he should like the extra ground he'll have to go here
R1 #5 lovely queen (3-1)
R2 #1 trove (8-1)
$650k first time starter.. that's a lot of money for any horse but with this horse's pedigree specs it's an extraordinary amount.. mott usually not big on firsters but being its the undercard on a big race day and what he's got to work with I'll take a shot with him
R3 #1 shekky shebaz (8-5)
rail is excellent in turf sprints.. will be tough to beat at around 4-5
R4 #10 market analysis (7-2)
pletcher first time starter who also falls into the category of expensive for the pedigree.. speed win early bloodlines also and johnny v aboard.. another situation where big trainer would like to show off a good one on the undercard of a big day.. but Todd is one of the best at it while mott is way below avg but this will be reflected in the odds
R5 #7 ambassador luna (8-1)
lightly raced talented horse ready to try stakes company off a big figure easy allowance win
R6 #9 limari (10-1)
like the cutback from 1 3/16 to 7 1/2 furlongs.. think vs listed stakes company she can be tough.. versatile running style and solid jock saez aboard.. outside posts at this distance good over a small sample
R7 #10 gray magician (6-1)
miller fantastic 2nd off the layoff and with rosario aboard..horse simply a good fit performance wise with this field
R8 #6 lady paname (3-1)
R10 #7 cross border (9-2)
generic recap
9 races played (1 scratch)
(2) 20-1+ horses out of money.. (1 of those the big race)
(1) 6-5 winner
(1) 6-5 distant 2nd
(1) 1-2.. 4th by less than 1.5 (not best of trips)
(1) 5-1 missed by a neck at the wire beaten by a $70 horse
other 3 out of the money
_______________________________________________ ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)
_______________________________________________ ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)
_______________________________________________ ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)
first time starter chad brown.. probably around even money.. don't think his main client too concerned with the smaller purse at tampa (big bucks player) vs getting a good race into his horse that won't be as taxing as a major track (gulfstream).. they have a very nice turf course at this track.. gets best turf rider and chad on fire there with limited starters(no surprise).. bred to like the turf
_______________________________________________ ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)
my returned was $5 too high..if anybody notices a math error let me know
_______________________________________________ ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)
like everything about this horse except the post... hopefully a scratch or two but a play either way.. possibly another later.. remember always try and give at least 3 hours notice
_______________________________________________ ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)
_______________________________________________ ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)
$234 invested
$328 returned
270 cumulative odds (8.7 avg odds)
_______________________________________________ ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)
_______________________________________________ ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)
_______________________________________________ ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)
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