Re: horse plays
Announcement
Collapse
No announcement yet.
horse plays
Collapse
X
-
Re: horse plays
Originally posted by bleeker View Postsaratoga
R2 ex box 257
not something I'd normally do box 3 favs but just can't decide.. probably with avg payoff it's a double your money prop if it wins
R4 #5 wedontbelieveher (5-1)
R5 #2 big wonder (4-1)
R6 #5 aristocratic (6-1)
has won 3 times off similar running lines (I know a repeated theme with me lol) dropping a notch each time (like today).. just looked back and there was another close 3rd besides those 3 and that was his lone race up here.. drop down also
R7 pass
R7 pass
R8 #2 dynamax prime (8-1)
R9 #7 mo ready (6-1) 4WP
R10 #3 firenze fire (4-1)
R11 #3 mizzen the mark (15-1) 3W
R11 #7 brovia (9-2) 5W
R9 out @ 7-2
R11 out @ 18
R11 out @ 7-2
(6) risk 44 /return 59.70 [1.35] (7.5 avg odds)
[1.00] break-even
(6) = races played and not horsesLast edited by bleeker; 07-27-2020, 05:56 PM._______________________________________________
( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)
Comment
-
_______________________________________________
( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)
Comment
-
Re: horse plays
saratoga
R1 #1 entry (7-2) jumps
both will probably go
R2 #4 belleza (7-5)
double or p3 might not be a bad idea R1/2
R3 #1 sky kitten (12-1) 3WP
the first time imo good post and placement (class) come together for this horse
R4 # 5 zuzudini (20-1) 2W 4P
6 career races and I can find excuses in 5 of those.. didn't run with blinkers on first 2 and not much running on the turf from inside posts last 2.. pace comprised on a sealed track start 3 and start 4 at this distance at aqueduct gives him a shot here.. this trainer a sleeper 3rd off the layoff and manny franco one of the best route riders on the circuit
R5 #6 niko's dream (15-1)
very consistent lightly raced 4yo filly who ran well twice up here last year.. from the same connections as #1 derby contender "tiz the law".. have to think being from the area they'd like to notch a win.. I think this ml is high and this horse is with these
R6 #6 thebigfundamental (6-1) 666 uh oh
a little bit of a fan play here as I have a history with this horse going back to his maiden breaker in 2015..but he's not a bad play on fundamentals, pun intended lol.. ran well twice here in 2017 and has run well fresh twice.. coming off an almost identical layoff (about 16 months) 3 back to miss by a head
R7 #3 readyforprimetime (6-1)
won his only start here and runs fresh..lots of speed and should set up nice for him
R9 #2 therapist (5-1)
R10 #9 zero to sixty(8-1)
great name for a debut horse..has the credentialsLast edited by bleeker; 07-29-2020, 03:06 PM._______________________________________________
( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)
Comment
-
Re: horse plays
designated R3 a best bet.. probably another later_______________________________________________
( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)
Comment
-
Re: horse plays
designated R4 best bet
best bet rules post 4419_______________________________________________
( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)
Comment
-
Re: horse plays
added 6 7_______________________________________________
( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)
Comment
-
Re: horse plays
finished saratoga_______________________________________________
( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)
Comment
-
Re: horse plays
saratoga
R1 #5 new day dawning (4-1)
R2 #1 unrelenting force (3-1)
didn't work yesterday but this another I feel where it all comes together.. class, distance probable fast track
R4 #2 our lady of loretto (2-1)
looks like speed of the speed.. broke her maiden in 2nd start 2 races back off similar spacing as today (this 2nd off a layoff which is similar circumstances)
R5 #10 ghost giant (8-1)
last not a bad effort off an almost 8 month layoff.. versatile runner can get any distance and with a good trip always has a shot.. might get lost in the shuffle here a bit
R6 #8 valletta (8-1) 5W
R6 #4 spring to summer (8-1)3W
two horses
R7 #2 starship bubba (15-1) 4W
R7 #4 dangerous edge (8-1) 4W
two horses
R8 #2 blue atlas (6-1)
R9 #4 amundson (2-1)
go 44 4/5 on the front end at 7f at belmont and on the figs you're just shy of 4 lengths slow.. how fast was that track surface!! think he has a pace advantage here and going with that
R10 #10 fluent in sarcasm (6-1)
R10 #3 boom boom kaboom (4-1)half
#3 a hedge for meLast edited by bleeker; 07-30-2020, 02:30 PM._______________________________________________
( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)
Comment
-
Re: horse plays
through 8_______________________________________________
( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)
Comment
-
Re: horse plays
finished..best bets will be R6 7..put in amounts by 3pm_______________________________________________
( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)
Comment
-
Re: horse plays
designated best bets_______________________________________________
( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)
Comment
-
Re: horse plays
best bets
wednesday
R3 #1 sky kitten (12-1) 3WP
the first time imo good post and placement (class) come together for this horse
4th @ 14-1
R4 # 5 zuzudini (20-1) 2W 4P
6 career races and I can find excuses in 5 of those.. didn't run with blinkers on first 2 and not much running on the turf from inside posts last 2.. pace comprised on a sealed track start 3 and start 4 at this distance at aqueduct gives him a shot here.. this trainer a sleeper 3rd off the layoff and manny franco one of the best route riders on the circuit
out @ 48-1
thursday
R6 #8 valletta (8-1) 5W
R6 #4 spring to summer (8-1) 3W
8...4th @ 5-1..lost by a length.. 3 wide both turns
4...out @ 10-1
R7 #2 starship bubba (15-1) 4W
R7 #4 dangerous edge (8-1) 4W
2...out @ 8-1.. went to his face at the start
4.. 3rd @ 11-1
risk 58 /return 59.70_______________________________________________
( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)
Comment
-
Re: horse plays
saratoga friday
R1 #4 dash to the top (12-1)
2yo maiden specials.. to me his specs (trainer, jockey) look as good as anyone in the race including the favorite.. love the name for a firster
R2 #8 getoffmyback (2-1)
looks much better to me.. interesting that the 1 time he raced here before it was vs $12.5k claimers and the horse that won the race ran a stakes quality figure
R3 #4 empire lady (12-1)
love the pedigree for a marathon and the races she has under her are nice lines to go much further (they don't look good hence the ml).. trainer fantastic off a layoff
R4 #4 liza star (9-5)
R5 #2 sandra's mine (9-2)
perfect primer off the long layoff.. a line i like and out of a very fast race (pace, final).. turf sprints from last year consistently good
#5 love me tomorrow (9-2) half unit
concerned she could be on the lead by herself and cutting back a furlong
2 horses
R6 #5 cavaradossi (8-1)
R7 #4 blanket of roses (9-2)
hopefully 3 and 7 duke it out and he picks up the pieces.. somehow when I predict pace scenarios never works out that way lol
R8 #9 jewel of arabia (9-5)
R9 #3 fly so pretty (8-1)
R10 #1 hurricane breeze (6-1)
R10 #2 wild north (30-1)
half eachLast edited by bleeker; 07-31-2020, 09:45 AM._______________________________________________
( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)
Comment
Comment