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  • #1

    opening day

    just doing picks (sdql based of course)

    atl/laa parlay (+104)

    under laa 7

    under nyy 6.5 *

    under tam 7 *

    hou -135 **





    * same system..0-13 o/u with nice avg margin


    ** 15-1 (-161/3.06) has nyy today


    https://killersports.com/mlb/query?o...+S+D+Q+L+%21++





    .
    Last edited by bleeker; 03-30-2023, 03:46 PM.
    _______________________________________________
    ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)
    Tags: None
  • #2
    laa system 3 games (opening day system)

    0-1/1-2/0-1 .. avg total 7 (6.5/7/7.5)
    _______________________________________________
    ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

    Comment

    • #3
      opening day system that's 3-0 o/u and adjusted for extra innings and unearned runs

      (total)

      10-8 (9.5) over by 8.5
      4-12 (9.5) over by 6.5
      7-7 (7.5) over by 6.5

      but line and total significantly out of range.. like to go contrarian on these with the thought being my typical "yeah but the margins are so good gonna do it anyway".. so doing a 180 degree and fading


      under tex 6.5 (contrarian play)
      _______________________________________________
      ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

      Comment

      • #4
        added 2 more
        _______________________________________________
        ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

        Comment

        • #5
          Money won is twice as nice as money earned
          Fast Eddie Felson

          Comment

          • #6
            Originally posted by captjoe388 View Post
            thanks capt
            _______________________________________________
            ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

            Comment

            • #7
              A guy on Twitter posted a 25-0 opening day favs system that fits Min, Mets, and Reds.

              Comment

              • #8
                added another
                _______________________________________________
                ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

                Comment

                • #9
                  added the link for last system
                  _______________________________________________
                  ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

                  Comment

                  • #10


                    https://killersports.com/mlb/query?o...+S+D+Q+L+%21++

                    49-8 (3.11, 86.0%) avg line: -177.9 / 162.8 on / against: +$3,539 / -$3,639 ROI: 34.9% / -63.8%
                    34-18-0 (1.44, 65.4%) avg line: 113.5 / -128.0 on / against: +$2,227 / -$2,600 ROI: 40.5% / -38.4%
                    30-24-3 (0.82, 55.6%) avg total: 8.0 over / under: +$395 / -$870 ROI: 6.3% / -13.9%
                    5.95 3.98 6.72 9.37 3.58 1.32 3.07 1.46 5.33 14.51 7.63 0.70 1.88 4.23
                    2.84 2.61 8.96 6.65 2.25 0.89 1.81 0.67 1.68 12.40 6.79 0.86 3.37 4.39
                    Mar 30, 2023 recap Thu 2023 home Rays Shane McClanahan-L Tigers Eduardo Rodriguez-L -250.0 6.5
                    Mar 30, 2023 recap Thu 2023 away Brewers Corbin Burnes-R Cubs Marcus Stroman-R -145.0 7.0
                    Mar 30, 2023 recap Thu 2023 home Yankees Gerrit Cole-R Giants Logan Webb-R -170.0 6.5
                    Mar 30, 2023 recap Thu 2023 away Braves Max Fried-L Nationals Patrick Corbin-

                    Comment

                    • #11
                      https://killersports.com/mlb/query?o...+S+D+Q+L+%21++

                      Comment

                      • #12
                        Originally posted by bleeker View Post
                        opening day system that's 3-0 o/u and adjusted for extra innings and unearned runs

                        (total)

                        10-8 (9.5) over by 8.5
                        4-12 (9.5) over by 6.5
                        7-7 (7.5) over by 6.5

                        but line and total significantly out of range.. like to go contrarian on these with the thought being my typical "yeah but the margins are so good gonna do it anyway".. so doing a 180 degree and fading


                        under tex 6.5 (contrarian play)

                        so much for that strategy
                        _______________________________________________
                        ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

                        Comment

                        • #13
                          Originally posted by bleeker View Post
                          laa system 3 games (opening day system)

                          0-1/1-2/0-1 .. avg total 7 (6.5/7/7.5)
                          2-1

                          https://killersports.com/mlb/query?o...+S+D+Q+L+%21++


                          .
                          _______________________________________________
                          ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

                          Comment

                          • #14
                            G2 against Cubs https://killersports.com/mlb/query?o...+S+D+Q+L+%21++
                            1-21 (-2.50, 4.5%) avg line: 115.7 / -126.6 on / against: -$2,066 / +$1,993 ROI: -89.4% / 70.3%
                            7-15-0 (-1.95, 31.8%) avg line: 100.1 / -116.3 on / against: -$1,078 / +$999 ROI: -39.1% / 34.0%
                            6-15-1 (-1.27, 28.6%) avg total: 8.2 over / under: -$1,035 / +$830 ROI: -43.4% / 34.0%
                            2.23 2.64 10.18 5.23 1.68 0.82 1.36 0.55 1.14 10.71 5.59 0.50 2.59 4.77
                            4.73 2.95 9.09 8.68 2.82 1.27 2.64 1.32 5.55 13.05 7.05 0.73 1.55 4.32
                            Apr 01, 2023 recap Sat 2023 home Cubs Justin Steele-L Brewers Brandon Woodruff-R -105.0 7.0

                            Comment

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