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In The Dugout for Monday. 9/15

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  • In The Dugout for Monday. 9/15


    Welcome to In The Dugout.
    Baseball handicapping with a twist.
    In here we use the home plate umpire in handicapping each game.
    Please note that there is not much advance umpire info available on Monday and Friday.


    Here is what we look at.
    Pitcher vs Team.
    Pitcher with umpire.
    Team with umpire.
    Head to head trends.
    Umpire trends.

    If all those favor a side or a total. Then it's a play.

    Feel free to ask question, post a comment or discuss the games in this thread.
    This thread is for everybody. So feel free to jump in.
    If you enjoy this thread. Simply click the Facebook like icon in the upper left of this thread.
    Thanks and Good luck

  • #2
    Re: In The Dugout for Monday. 9/15

    1 J BAKER 25 12 12 50.0% 50.0% -0.7 -1.3 8.0 5.5 15.9
    2 S BARBER 21 12 9 57.1% 42.9% 3.1 -5.0 9.0 5.8 14.8
    3 L BARKSDALE 26 13 13 50.0% 50.0% 0.0 -2.0 7.3 6.1 14.5
    4 L BARRETT 27 16 10 61.5% 38.5% 6.1 -8.8 9.2 6.2 15.4
    5 T BARRETT 28 12 13 48.0% 52.0% -1.3 -1.0 8.7 6.6 16.8
    6 S BARRY 27 10 17 37.0% 63.0% -7.7 5.5 7.6 5.6 16.5
    7 T BASNER 23 17 6 73.9% 26.1% 11.2 -13.8 10.3 6.7 16.3
    8 D BELLINO 25 13 11 54.2% 45.8% 1.9 -3.9 8.7 6.6 15.6
    9 C BLASER 28 9 15 37.5% 62.5% -6.1 4.0 7.1 6.3 15.8
    10 S BUCKMINSTER 15 5 9 35.7% 64.3% -4.2 3.2 7.5 7.1 16.5
    11 C BUCKNOR 28 13 14 48.1% 51.9% -1.4 -1.4 8.4 6.3 14.8
    12 A CAMPOS 8 7 0 100.0% 0.0% 7.2 -8.1 9.4 5.4 16.3
    13 V CARAPAZZA 29 12 16 42.9% 57.1% -4.2 2.0 7.2 5.1 15.0
    14 M CARLSON 26 13 13 50.0% 50.0% -0.6 -2.0 8.0 6.1 15.7
    15 G CEDERSTROM 28 16 12 57.1% 42.9% 3.9 -6.4 8.2 5.2 14.8
    16 C CONROY 23 14 9 60.9% 39.1% 5.2 -7.6 10.6 6.1 15.6
    17 E COOPER 28 13 12 52.0% 48.0% 0.7 -3.9 9.8 5.6 15.8
    18 F CULBRETH 26 11 15 42.3% 57.7% -4.6 2.8 7.3 5.7 15.1
    19 P CUZZI 27 13 14 48.1% 51.9% -0.8 -1.8 9.1 5.8 16.5
    20 K DANLEY 27 5 20 20.0% 80.0% -15.9 14.5 5.8 4.4 15.8
    21 B DAVIDSON 29 11 16 40.7% 59.3% -5.3 3.1 7.0 5.7 16.3
    22 G DAVIS 27 11 13 45.8% 54.2% -2.7 0.5 7.9 6.3 14.2
    23 D DEMUTH 16 7 8 46.7% 53.3% -1.4 0.0 7.3 5.3 15.6
    24 L DIAZ 28 17 8 68.0% 32.0% 8.7 -11.5 8.4 5.6 14.6
    25 M DIMURO 25 9 12 42.9% 57.1% -2.8 1.2 8.0 5.2 14.6
    26 R DRAKE 27 15 12 55.6% 44.4% 2.8 -5.3 9.2 6.1 14.7
    27 D EDDINGS 29 9 18 33.3% 66.7% -9.4 7.2 7.0 4.4 15.1
    28 P EMMEL 30 17 9 65.4% 34.6% 7.9 -10.6 8.4 5.8 15.1
    29 M ESTABROOK 28 14 13 51.9% 48.1% 0.7 -3.5 8.3 4.9 14.0
    30 M EVERITT 20 12 8 60.0% 40.0% 3.8 -5.9 8.7 6.2 16.7
    31 C FAGAN 31 11 20 35.5% 64.5% -10.3 7.8 7.7 6.3 15.4
    32 C FAIRCHILD 15 7 8 46.7% 53.3% -1.8 -0.1 8.9 5.9 16.9
    33 A FLETCHER 28 10 14 41.7% 58.3% -5.1 3.0 7.5 6.2 15.2
    34 M FOSTER 29 12 16 42.9% 57.1% -5.0 2.4 7.8 5.7 15.8
    35 G GIBSON 30 15 14 51.7% 48.3% 1.0 -3.5 8.3 6.4 16.2
    36 T GIBSON 31 12 18 40.0% 60.0% -7.1 4.6 7.5 5.5 16.8
    37 M GONZALEZ 24 12 10 54.5% 45.5% 2.2 -4.0 7.9 5.7 15.4
    38 B GORMAN 23 10 13 43.5% 56.5% -3.2 1.1 6.9 5.4 17.3
    39 J GOSNEY 1 1 0 100.0% 0.0% 1.0 -1.1 16.0 11.0 8.0
    40 C GUCCIONE 27 9 17 34.6% 65.4% -9.4 6.8 7.3 4.6 14.4
    41 T HALLION 27 11 16 40.7% 59.3% -6.5 3.4 8.7 6.1 15.0
    42 A HAMARI 27 14 11 56.0% 44.0% 2.7 -5.5 8.8 5.8 14.7
    43 A HERNANDEZ 28 14 11 56.0% 44.0% 2.6 -5.4 8.0 5.1 15.4
    44 E HICKOX 24 7 16 30.4% 69.6% -9.7 8.2 6.5 5.9 15.8
    45 J HIRSCHBECK 2 1 1 50.0% 50.0% 0.0 -0.2 5.0 6.5 17.0
    46 P HOBERG 32 17 12 58.6% 41.4% 4.7 -7.5 8.9 6.7 15.3
    47 J HOYE 29 11 18 37.9% 62.1% -7.8 5.3 8.0 5.7 14.5
    48 M HUDSON 28 10 17 37.0% 63.0% -7.4 5.8 7.6 6.0 16.6
    49 D IASSOGNA 28 12 16 42.9% 57.1% -4.9 1.6 8.0 5.8 15.4
    50 A JOHNSON 24 15 8 65.2% 34.8% 6.5 -9.1 9.6 6.7 15.2
    51 J JOYCE 18 10 8 55.6% 44.4% 2.0 -3.5 9.2 6.4 15.1
    52 J KELLOGG 25 11 14 44.0% 56.0% -3.9 1.5 8.4 6.1 14.3
    53 B KNIGHT 27 12 15 44.4% 55.6% -3.8 1.4 7.7 7.1 14.6
    54 R KULPA 29 14 14 50.0% 50.0% -0.6 -1.9 8.6 5.9 17.1
    55 J LAYNE 19 13 6 68.4% 31.6% 6.6 -8.3 10.0 5.4 14.2
    56 W LITTLE 32 15 17 46.9% 53.1% -2.4 -0.9 7.6 5.3 15.8
    57 A MARQUEZ 19 6 11 35.3% 64.7% -5.9 4.1 7.9 6.6 14.8
    58 B MAY 6 3 2 60.0% 40.0% 1.1 -1.7 8.2 7.8 18.3
    59 J MEALS 26 17 8 68.0% 32.0% 8.4 -11.0 9.6 5.4 14.8
    60 B MILLER 29 14 12 53.8% 46.2% 2.4 -5.0 7.5 4.8 15.9
    61 G MORALES 31 19 8 70.4% 29.6% 10.9 -14.5 9.5 6.1 16.1
    62 M MUCHLINSKI 27 10 17 37.0% 63.0% -8.4 5.9 8.4 6.2 16.0
    63 P NAUERT 26 15 10 60.0% 40.0% 4.5 -7.3 8.3 5.7 16.2
    64 J NELSON 27 9 15 37.5% 62.5% -6.9 4.9 7.7 5.3 14.3
    65 B ONORA 25 6 18 25.0% 75.0% -13.4 10.9 6.8 4.9 16.0
    66 M PATTILLO 14 6 8 42.9% 57.1% -2.3 1.2 7.9 5.2 16.6
    67 A PORTER 29 10 19 34.5% 65.5% -9.5 7.1 7.8 6.0 14.9
    68 D RACKLEY 26 12 12 50.0% 50.0% 0.2 -2.1 8.5 5.6 13.6
    69 T RANDAZZO 18 3 14 17.6% 82.4% -11.6 10.2 6.5 5.0 14.3
    70 D REYBURN 25 13 11 54.2% 45.8% 1.6 -4.5 8.4 5.9 16.4
    71 J REYNOLDS 27 8 19 29.6% 70.4% -12.0 9.8 7.2 5.4 14.9
    72 M RIPPERGER 31 12 17 41.4% 58.6% -6.0 3.2 7.5 5.1 15.2
    73 P SCHRIEBER 29 15 12 55.6% 44.4% 2.0 -4.4 9.4 6.6 14.6
    74 D SCOTT 30 12 17 41.4% 58.6% -6.3 4.2 7.9 5.7 13.8
    75 C SEGAL 25 18 7 72.0% 28.0% 11.2 -14.3 10.0 5.6 13.2
    76 T TICHENOR 30 16 13 55.2% 44.8% 2.6 -5.7 8.1 6.6 16.5
    77 T TIMMONS 27 14 12 53.8% 46.2% 1.7 -4.1 9.1 6.8 15.6
    78 J TUMPANE 31 15 12 55.6% 44.4% 2.4 -5.5 9.4 6.5 14.0
    79 L VANOVER 28 17 10 63.0% 37.0% 6.8 -9.9 9.0 5.9 16.1
    80 M WEGNER 26 11 11 50.0% 50.0% -0.2 -1.6 8.4 6.1 15.7
    81 B WELKE 30 12 18 40.0% 60.0% -7.4 3.8 7.6 6.4 15.8
    82 T WELKE 30 13 17 43.3% 56.7% -5.5 2.4 7.4 4.9 16.5
    83 H WENDELSTEDT 25 9 12 42.9% 57.1% -3.6 1.8 6.8 5.0 15.0
    84 J WEST 29 19 8 70.4% 29.6% 10.9 -13.2 9.3 5.7 15.5
    85 M WINTERS 21 8 12 40.0% 60.0% -4.7 2.6 7.0 5.7 16.0
    86 Q WOLCOTT 29 12 16 42.9% 57.1% -4.8 2.5 8.0 6.1 15.7
    87 J WOLF 23 12 8 60.0% 40.0% 3.2 -5.5 8.5 5.6 15.7

    Comment


    • #3
      Re: In The Dugout for Monday. 9/15

      MLB Baseball Trends - Season to Date

      Straight Up Trends (Won Loss)

      Category Record Percent
      Away Teams 1056-1178 47.27%
      Home Teams 1178-1056 52.73%
      Favorites 1247-953 56.68%
      Dogs 953-1247 43.32%
      Away Favorites 392-302 56.48%
      Away Dogs 651-855 43.23%
      Home Favorites 855-651 56.77%
      Home Dogs 302-392 43.52%
      Against The Spread Trends (ATS)

      Category Record Percent
      Away Teams 1250-984 55.95%
      Home Teams 984-1250 44.05%
      Favorites 895-1338 40.08%
      Dogs 1338-895 59.92%
      Away Favorites 309-397 43.77%
      Away Dogs 941-586 61.62%
      Home Favorites 586-941 38.38%
      Home Dogs 397-309 56.23%
      Over vs. Under Trends

      Category Overs Percent Unders Percent
      Extra Inning Games 104 50.24% 103 49.76%
      Non-Extra Inning Games 930 48.51% 987 51.49%
      All Games 1,034 48.68% 1,090 51.32%

      Comment


      • #4
        Re: In The Dugout for Monday. 9/15

        MLB


        National League
        Nationals-Braves
        Strasburg is 1-1, 2.29 in his last three starts.
        Santana is 1-2, 4.50 in his last four starts.


        Washington won six of its last eight games.
        Braves lost six of their last seven games.


        Over is 4-1-1 in last six Washington games.


        Marlins-Mets
        Cosart is 4-1, 1.52 in his last six starts.
        deGrom is 2-0, 0.86 in his last three starts.


        Miami lost four of its last five games.
        Mets lost three of their last four games.


        Four of last five Marlin games stayed under.


        Reds-Cubs
        Simon is 1-2, 5.50 in his last three starts.
        Wood is 1-3, 6.84 in his last five starts.


        Reds won four of their last six games.
        Cubs lost eight of their last nine games.


        Under is 6-2-1 in last nine Cincinnati games.


        Dodgers-Rockies
        Hernandez is 1-3, 8.35 in his last four starts.
        Bergman is 1-1, 2.60 in his last three starts.


        Dodgers won seven of their last nine games.
        Colorado lost its last six games, scoring eight runs.


        Six of last seven Colorado games stayed under; over is 6-2-1 in Dodgers' last nine games.


        Giants-Diamondbacks
        Vogelsong is 0-2, 8.16 in his last three road starts.
        Miley is 0-2, 4.25 in his last three starts.


        Giants lost last two days by combined score of 21-2.
        Arizona won last two games, scoring 18 runs, after losing previous seven tilts.


        Over is 3-0-1 in last four Giant games.


        Phillies-Padres
        Williams is 0-1, 8.10 in his last couple starts.
        Cashner is 1-1, 2.81 in his last five starts.


        Phillies lost five of their last eight games.
        San Diego lost eight of its last ten games.


        Five of last six San Diego games went over total.


        American League
        Blue Jays-Orioles
        Stroman is 3-0, 1.59 in his last three starts.
        Chen is 2-0, 2.29 in his last three starts.


        Toronto won five of its last seven games.
        Orioles won seven of their last eight games.


        Four of last five Toronto games went over total.


        Bronx-Rays
        Capuano is 1-1, 6.99 in his last six starts.
        Colome allowed one run in five IP in his only '14 start, in late June.


        Bronx lost three of its last four games.
        Tampa Bay is 1-8 in game following its last eight wins.


        Over is 5-1-1 in last seven Tampa Bay games; last four Bronx games stayed under the total.


        Tigers-Twins
        Scherzer is 1-0, 2.84 in his last two starts.
        Swarzak allowed one run in five IP in his only '14 start, in late July.


        Tigers won six of their last seven games.
        Minnesota lost eight of its last ten games.


        Seven of last ten Detroit games went over total.


        White Sox-Royals
        Danks is 0-3, 7.02 in his last three starts.
        Shields is 2-0, 0.40 in his last three starts.


        White Sox won four of their last five games
        Kansas City lost five of its last seven games.


        Seven of last ten Shields starts stayed under.


        Indians-Astros
        McAllister is 0-2, 6.87 in his last four starts (last start was July 31).
        McHugh is 5-0, 1.80 in his last six starts.


        Cleveland lost five of its last seven games.
        Astros won nine of their last thirteen games. .


        Under is 5-1-1 in last seven Houston games; four of last five Cleveland games went over.


        Mariners-Angels
        Iwakuma is 2-1, 7.50 in his last four starts
        Shoemaker is 6-0, 1.32 in his last seven starts.


        Seattle lost five of its last seven games.
        Angels won nine of their last ten games.


        Under is 7-0-1 in last eight Seattle games.


        Interleague game
        None




        Teams' record when this starting pitcher starts:
        -- Strasburg 16-15; Santana 16-12
        -- Cosart 11-9/5-2; deGrom 10-10
        -- Simon 17-12; Wood 14-15
        -- Hernandez 8-11/2-4; Bergman 3-4
        -- Vogelsong 15-14; Miley 12-18
        -- Williams 1-1/4-2; Cashner 8-8


        -- Stroman 10-8; Chen 18-10
        -- Capuano 5-4; Colome 1-0
        -- Scherzer 21-9; Swarzak 1-0
        -- Danks 11-18; Shields 19-12
        -- McAllister 6-8; McHugh 11-12
        -- Iwakuma 16-9; Shoemaker 15-4


        Pitchers allowing runs in first inning:
        -- Strasburg 11-31; Santana 9-28
        -- Cosart 9-27; deGrom 2-20
        -- Simon 10-29; Wood 8-29
        -- Hernandez 11-25; Bergman 3-7
        -- Vogelsong 6-29; Miley 6-30
        -- Williams 3-8; Cashner 5-16


        -- Stroman 3-18; Chen 9-28
        -- Capuano 5-9; Colome 1-1
        -- Scherzer 8-30; Swarzak 0-1
        -- Danks 9-29; Shields 7-31
        -- McAllister 3-14; McHugh 4-24
        -- Iwakuma 5-25; Shoemaker 2-19

        Comment


        • #5
          Re: In The Dugout for Monday. 9/15

          7:05 PM
          TORONTO vs. BALTIMORE
          Toronto is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing Baltimore
          The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Toronto's last 8 games when playing on the road against Baltimore
          Baltimore is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
          The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Baltimore's last 7 games


          7:10 PM
          NY YANKEES vs. TAMPA BAY
          NY Yankees are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
          NY Yankees are 1-5 SU in their last 6 games on the road
          Tampa Bay is 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing NY Yankees
          The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games when playing at home against NY Yankees


          7:10 PM
          MIAMI vs. NY METS
          Miami is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing NY Mets
          The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games
          NY Mets are 8-4 SU in its last 12 games
          NY Mets are 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Miami


          7:10 PM
          WASHINGTON vs. ATLANTA
          The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games
          Washington is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
          The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 6 games when playing at home against Washington
          Atlanta is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Washington


          8:05 PM
          CINCINNATI vs. CHI CUBS
          Cincinnati is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
          The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 6 games when playing Chi Cubs
          The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chi Cubs's last 5 games
          Chi Cubs are 1-8 SU in their last 9 games


          8:10 PM
          DETROIT vs. MINNESOTA
          Detroit is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Minnesota
          The total has gone OVER in 7 of Detroit's last 10 games
          The total has gone OVER in 9 of Minnesota's last 10 games at home
          Minnesota is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Detroit


          8:10 PM
          CHI WHITE SOX vs. KANSAS CITY
          The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Chi White Sox's last 13 games on the road
          The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Chi White Sox's last 19 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
          Kansas City is 6-1 SU in their last 7 games when playing Chi White Sox
          Kansas City is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games


          8:10 PM
          CLEVELAND vs. HOUSTON
          The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Cleveland's last 7 games when playing Houston
          The total has gone UNDER in 16 of Cleveland's last 24 games
          Houston is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games when playing Cleveland
          The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Houston's last 7 games when playing Cleveland


          8:40 PM
          LA DODGERS vs. COLORADO
          LA Dodgers are 7-1 SU in their last 8 games when playing Colorado
          The total has gone UNDER in 7 of LA Dodgers's last 10 games when playing Colorado
          Colorado is 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing at home against LA Dodgers
          Colorado is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home


          9:40 PM
          SAN FRANCISCO vs. ARIZONA
          San Francisco is 13-5 SU in its last 18 games
          The total has gone OVER in 7 of San Francisco's last 9 games on the road
          Arizona is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing San Francisco
          The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Arizona's last 7 games when playing San Francisco


          10:05 PM
          SEATTLE vs. LA ANGELS
          Seattle is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
          The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 6 games when playing on the road against LA Angels
          The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Angels's last 6 games when playing at home against Seattle
          LA Angels are 2-5 SU in their last 7 games when playing at home against Seattle


          10:10 PM
          PHILADELPHIA vs. SAN DIEGO
          Philadelphia is 15-3 SU in its last 18 games when playing on the road against San Diego
          The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing on the road against San Diego
          San Diego is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games
          The total has gone UNDER in 10 of San Diego's last 15 games when playing at home against Philadelphia

          Comment


          • #6
            Re: In The Dugout for Monday. 9/15

            MLB Early-Week Betting Cheat Sheet
            By Covers.com

            Away Faves Dominate

            Sunday was a strong day for away favorites, which went 4-1 SU; The L.A. Dodgers (-173), Washington (-164), Oakland (-154) and Miami (-110) all prevailed. That continues a strong stretch for road faves, which are 17-11 SU over the past seven days overall.

            Push Party

            The New York Mets (-137, 6.5) host the Miami Marlins on Monday in the opener of a three-game set. The Mets lead the majors with 18 pushes on the season, while the Marlins finished with a league-best 17 a season ago and ranks fifth in the league with 11 so far this season.

            Big Over vs. Big Under

            The San Diego Padres and Philadelphia Phillies represent a contract in totals as they do battle Tuesday night at Petco Park. The Padres enter the week as the league’s strongest Under play at 55-88-5, while the Phillies are tied with the Marlins for the most Overs in the NL at 77.

            Pitching Notes

            Look for another strong outing from Toronto Blue Jays rookie Marcus Stroman as he prepares to face the host Baltimore Orioles (-120, 7.5). Stroman is 2-7-1 O/U over his last 10 starts - thanks to a 3.23 ERA over that span - and has allowed just six home runs in 114 2/3 innings.

            San Francisco right-hander Jake Peavy will attempt to keep his hot streak going Tuesday as he faces off against the host Arizona Diamondbacks. Peavy is 5-1 SU and 2-4 O/U over his last six starts while surrendering just five total runs over that span.

            Hitting Notes

            Miami outfielder Marcell Ozuna has picked up the slack in the absence of major-league home-run leader Giancarlo Stanton. Ozuna enters Monday’s showdown with the Mets batting .370 with four home runs, six RBIs and an .815 slugging percentage over the past seven days.

            Washington outfielder Jayson Werth may have his hands full Tuesday as he and the Nationals square off against right-hander Aaron Harang and the Atlanta Braves. Werth has just three hits in 25 career at-bats versus Harang while striking out 11 times.

            Totals Streak

            Boston Red Sox (4-1 O/U): It’s rare for an AL East team to find itself on an Over streak - three of the five clubs have fewer than 65 Overs for the year - but the Red Sox are on a run thanks to an offense that has averaged five runs over a five-game span. Boston is 64-82-4 O/U for the year.

            Prop of the Day

            Bettors should take a look at a first-inning run being scored Monday between the Giants and visiting Diamondbacks (-110). San Francisco leads the majors with a .293 first-inning batting average, while the Diamondbacks are close behind in fourth (.275).

            Injury Notes

            Oakland Athletics catcher Stephen Vogt likely won’t return from ankle injury until later this week at the earliest. The Athletics have struggled during Vogt’s absence, going 4-6 SU, 2-8 O/U and -503 units over that span.

            New York Yankees outfielder Carlos Beltran took batting practice without issue Sunday and may return to the lineup Monday. Beltran has missed the last five games with bone spurs in his right elbow; in 38 games missed this season, the Yankees are 18-20 Su, 14-24 O/U and -394 units.

            Weather Watch

            Wind at Wrigley Field will blow in from left field at 12 mph for Monday’s encounter between the host Cubs (+104, 7) and the Cincinnati Reds. Teams combined to hit a paltry 0.88 home runs in eight games under similar conditions a season ago - well below the stadium average of 2.16.

            Comment

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