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College Football Betting Info. Week 13

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  • College Football Betting Info. Week 13

    College Betting Recap - Week 12
    By Daniel Dobish
    VegasInsider.com

    The largest underdog to cash: Northwestern (+17, ML +700) at Notre Dame, 43-40 (in OT)

    The largest favorite to cash: Western Michigan (-27) vs Eastern Michigan, 51-7

    Top 25 Notes

    It was a rough day for teams in the Top 10, particularly against the spread. Alabama-Mississippi State faced each other, and Top 10 teams finished 4-3 SU. Worse, only one Top 10 team covered in seven games, with the only cover coming in that head-to-head matchup between the Tide and Bulldogs.

    Marshall kept its sheet clean with another impressive victory, topping Rice 44-21. The Thundering Herd is now 10-0 SU, and they have covered eight of their past nine.

    Notre Dame slipped up at home against Northwestern by a 43-40 score in overtime, and the Irish have gone from national title contenders to has-beens in a matter of two weeks (and two losses).

    In the game of the day, Florida State did their usual disappearing act in the first half, only to storm back in Miami for a second-half comeback and win. The 'Noles weren't covering until the final 3:05 of regulation. The Seminoles are still just 3-7 ATS this season.

    Big Five Conference Report (ACC, Big 10, Big 12, Pac-12, SEC)

    It was a disastrous day in the ACC, and one which could have been even worse had FSU fallen. ... Georgia Tech took advantage of an injury to Clemson QB DeShaun Watson in the first quarter, rambling to a 28-6 win over the wreck that is the Tigers and backup QB Cole Stoudt. The Jackets have erupted for four straight wins and covers since Oct. 18. ... Duke did something they have rarely done over the past two seasons - beat themselves. They blew a fourth-quarter lead and fell 17-16 at home, knocking them out of the driver's seat in the Coastal Division. ... North Carolina State became bowl eligible by throttling Wake Forest 42-13. The Wolfpack have now covered three of the past four, and they're 6-3 ATS over the past nine.

    There were just three games in the Big 12, and the underdog covered in two. ... Texas Christian was behind at half at lowly Kansas, and needed second-half heroics to scratch out an uninspiring 34-30 win. Playoff committee is likely NOT impressed. ... Oklahoma was without injured QB Trevor Knight, but they still won 42-30 on the road at Texas Tech. The Sooners are just 3-3 SU and 1-5 ATS over the past six games. The best trend for Boomer Sooner is the 'over' has cashed in six of their past seven.

    It a solid day for the Big Ten, with road teams going 3-2 SU in league games and home teams going 3-2 ATS. ... As mentioned, Northwestern scored their big road win in South Bend, and Penn State stepped out of conference and handled its business against Temple, 30-13. ... Wisconsin covered its game against Nebraska thanks in large part to RB Melvin Gordon, who rambled for an FBS-record 408 rushing yards.

    It was a weekend of the dog in the Pac-12. Underdogs went 2-2 SU and a perfect 4-0 ATS. Washington nearly pulled the road upset, losing 27-26 at Arizona. ... Meanwhile, Arizona State fumbled away its chances at a spot in the four-team playoff, losing outright at Oregon State, 35-27. The Beavers entered the game 0-4 SU/ATS over the past four. ... Utah scored another impressive win at Stanford, tripping up the Cardinal 20-17 in double-overtime. The Utes are 5-1 ATS in their past six games, and 8-2 ATS in their 10 games overall.

    It was an upside-down day in the SEC. It all started in the Swamp, as the heat is back on Florida coach Will Muschamp after a brief stay of execution. South Carolina had a feel-good moment, winning 23-20 in OT in the Swamp, cashing as 6.5-point 'dogs. ... Speaking of 'dogs, Mississippi State didn't have much bark early, going down 19-0 at Alabama. Of course, anyone who liked the Bulldogs getting 10 enjoyed the final minute. See bad beats below. ... Georgia roughed up Auburn, who started the season as cover kings, but now cannot even come close. The Tigers are an uncharacteristic 1-4 ATS over the past five, and 2-6 ATS over the past eight.

    Mid-Major Report

    Not many people figured Memphis would amount to much this season, but the Tigers continue to roll on. They romped 38-7 at Tulane to stay on track for a New Year's Day bowl game. The Tigers are 4-2 SU on the road, and 4-1-1 ATS. ... UCF started the season slow while trying to replace QB Blake Bortles. They'll finally hitting on all cylinders at just the right time. The Knights rubbed out Tulsa 31-7 on Friday, and they're now 6-1 SU and 5-2 ATS over the past seven.

    In Conference USA, Marshall keeps mowing 'em down. Rice came in 6-0 SU/ATS over the past six, so the Herd's 41-14 win is that much more impressive. ... Don't look now, but Texas-El Paso is bowl eligible, and they're starting to be a favorite of bettors. Over the past five games, UTEP is 4-1 SU and a perfect 5-0 ATS. They travel to Rice Friday.

    The Mountain West was the upset west Saturday. The only favorite to cover was Air Force, and they needed overtime to shed Nevada, 45-38. Quietly, and I mean VERY quietly, Air Force finds themselves at 8-2 SU. They have won four straight, and the Falcons have covered the past three. ... Hawaii has had trouble on the mainland this season, going 0-4 SU/0-3-1 ATS in four previous trips. However, they ended all of that misery with a surprising 13-0 win at San Jose State. ... Boise State turned back San Diego State 38-29, but despite a five-game win streak, they have failed to cover in three of the past four. The 'over' is a perfect 5-0 in the past five for the Broncs.

    Appalachian State pulled off an upset as a 15-point underdog, taking down Arkansas State in Jonesboro by a 37-32 score. After starting the season 1-5 SU/ATS, the Mountaineers have rattled off four straight wins and they're 3-1 ATS during the span. The 'over' is also 4-1 in their past five. ... Troy looked to be dead in the water Oct. 30 in an uninspired 42-10 loss at Georgia Southern. However, the Trojans have won back-to-back games for the first time this season, and they're 3-1 ATS over the past four. Over the past seven, they're 5-2 ATS.

    Bad Beats

    In that marquee matchup in the SEC, Mississippi State struck with 15 seconds left to pull within five points, covering a 10-point number, and therefore turning Tide bettors' winning tickets into a loss.

    Some bettors might have had long faces at the end of the Louisiana-Lafayette and Louisiana-Monroe game. Some bettors might have had the spread at 6.5 points, and therefore were perfectly content. However, if you were laying a full seven, the WarHawks struck with 1:47 left in regulation to close a 34-20 lead to just seven, turning a cover into a push.

    If you had the 'over' (52.5) in the New Mexico-Utah State, you were left shaking your head. USU lead 21-14 at halftime, and the there are 42 total points midway through the third quarter. Then, the defense kicked in and over the final 22:35 of the game, the teams combined for a total of just seven points and a shocking under.

  • #2
    Re: College Football Betting Info. Week 13

    UTEP at RICE
    Owlies 6-1 vs. line last 7 TY and are 10-3 last 13 vs. spread as host. Rice also has won and covered last three vs. Miners, an improved 7-2-1 vs. line TY.

    Comment


    • #3
      Re: College Football Betting Info. Week 13

      AIR FORCE at SAN DIEGO STATE
      Aztecs have won last four SU and covered last five vs. Force. But resurgent Force has covered 4 of last six.

      Comment


      • #4
        Re: College Football Betting Info. Week 13

        SAN JOSE STATE at UTAH STATE
        Utags only 1-4 as Logan chalk TY but were 8-2 in role previous two seasons. Utags have won last five SU and covered 4 of those (including last two) vs. Jose. Spartans just 1-5 vs. line last six on road.

        Comment


        • #5
          Re: College Football Betting Info. Week 13

          VIRGINIA TECH at WAKE FOREST
          Beamer 2-6 vs. line last eight TY and 16-33-1 vs. line since late 2010.

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          • #6
            Re: College Football Betting Info. Week 13

            MIAMI-FLA. At VIRGINIA
            Mike London 1-4 SU and vs. line last five in 2014 in another late-season fade. Might be coaching for his job next two weeks. But Cavs are 3-0-1 vs. line last four vs. Canes. Miami only 2-7 last nine vs. line away from home.

            Comment


            • #7
              Re: College Football Betting Info. Week 13

              MISSOURI at TENNESSEE
              Vols have covered last 3 and 4 of last 5 TY. Pinkel, however, has won and covered last two years vs. UT, and is 12-1 vs. spread last 13 as visitor!

              Comment


              • #8
                Re: College Football Betting Info. Week 13

                SOUTH ALABAMA at SOUTH CAROLINA
                Jags had covered four straight on road prior to last two when QB Bridge was hurting. Spurrier 0-5 as home chalk this season.

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                • #9
                  Re: College Football Betting Info. Week 13

                  EASTERN MICHIGAN at BALL STATE
                  Eagles 4-14-1 last 19 as road dog. Lembo 1-4 vs. line in Muncie TY but has won and covered last three vs. EMU.

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                  • #10
                    Re: College Football Betting Info. Week 13

                    RUTGERS at MICHIGAN STATE
                    'Gers 3-1 as road dog TY and 12-5 vs. spread in role away from home (bowls included) since 2011. Spartans 4-2 as East Lansing chalk TY and 5-1 laying DD in 2014, though MSU only 3-10 as home chalk previous two seasons.

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                    • #11
                      Re: College Football Betting Info. Week 13

                      MINNESOTA at NEBRASKA
                      Jerry Kill 9-3 last 12 as dog. Bo Pelini only 6-8 vs. spread last 14 at Lincoln.

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                      • #12
                        Re: College Football Betting Info. Week 13

                        VANDERBILT at MISSISSIPPI STATE
                        Vandy has actually covered all three road games TY, last six away from Nashville, 12-2 last 14 away from Dudley Field. MSU 1-3 laying DD at home TY.

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                        • #13
                          Re: College Football Betting Info. Week 13

                          INDIANA at OHIO STATE
                          Urban Meyer 6-2 vs. line last eight TY and has covered four straight at Big Horseshoe, all laying 17 or much more. Though Buckeyes have failed to cover last three vs. Hoosiers. IU just 2-8 vs. line last 10 as visitor.

                          Comment


                          • #14
                            Re: College Football Betting Info. Week 13

                            MARYLAND at MICHIGAN
                            Terps 4-1 last five as road dog. Brady Hoke has covered last two at Ann Arbor TY and is 7-5 last 12 as home chalk, not too bad.

                            Comment


                            • #15
                              Re: College Football Betting Info. Week 13

                              KANSAS at OKLAHOMA
                              KU is 4-1-1 vs. line since Bowen took over for Weis. Stoops only 1-3 vs. line at Norman TY.

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