SDQL 11/17-11/21

[rolltide]

early bet on CLEM/FSU under 67 as Clem defense will dominate FSU with a week off...also expect to take FSU TT under when available


Not only has Clemson allowed 17 or less to 10 straight regular season or playoff opponents following a game they gave up 30+ points but they fall into a beauty system of playing UNDER when a team is off a fav loss in OT with a total greater than 49 that is 1-24 o/u


this should be a 49-10 type of game


scores of next opponent after allowing 30+ ... 10-14-0-13-0-10-17-13-0-7


avg points allowed is 8 and includes FSU 2x, Ohio State, and Oklahoma






17-10-0 (5.96, 63.0%) 15-10-2 (5.24, 60.0%) avg line: -0.7 +6: 23-4-0 (85.2%) -6: 11-16-0 (40.7%) +10: 23-3-1 (88.5%) -10: 11-16-0 (40.7%) 1-24-2 (-12.22, 4.0%) avg total: 58.2 +6: 1-26-0 (3.7%) -6: 8-18-1 (30.8%) +10: 1-26-0 (3.7%) -10: 12-15-0 (44.4%)

38.0 172.2 29.2 236.5 17.6 1.4 6.3 8.7 5.0 5.9 26.0 32.9 119.4 39.1 258.9 23.2 2.0 4.9 7.1 4.5 3.4 20.0

Nov 21, 2020 Saturday 12 2020 CLEM FLST away -34.5 67.0 0 Nov 21, 2020 Saturday 12 2020 ABCH VIR away 39.5 61.5

[rolltide]

Re: SDQL 11/17-11/21

UNDER game 7+ rested team playing short week team (9-30 ou = SYR u, WYO u)
UNDER off OT fav loss with high total (1-24 ou = UVA u, CLEM u)
UNDER midweek MAC systems (18-47 ou = AKR u, WMU u .... 17-46 ou = WMU u, TOL u)
UNDER App St away after home (2-15-3 ou = APP u) note: 0-20 ou in 6-pt teaser
UNDER after UK (16-37 ou = VANDY u)
OVER after Hawaii win or close loss (31-13 ou = SDST o)
OVER after Indiana week 3+ (27-7 ou = Mich St o)
UNDER dog off blowout loss with total in 50's (36-80 ou = CHAR u)
UNDER total<69 which is 7+ pt lower than both of L2 games (374-653 ou = LOU u, OKLA u, NEV u, APP u, UCF u, AUB u, GaSo u)
UNDER both elite defenses, total <49 (57-96 ou = APP u, NW u)
UNDER 65+WP home team on win streak vs opp not on losing streak, both won 8+LY (64-114 ou = UCF u)
UNDER non-conf fav total<=48 (87-162 ou = Army u)
UNDER conf away after going under by >32 (29-64 ou = APP u, GaSo u)






OPPOSE 2-0 away teams off b2b covers, not dog of >14, and did not play same site weeks 1 and 2 (33-59 = on BGSU, on CMU, on Northwestern)
PLAY ON game 4 home fav rested with revenge off a win (18-5 = on MD)
PLAY ON game 4 home favs that were >.500 last year and started 0-3 or 1-2 (97-7 SU / 61-37 ATS = on WYO, on AFA)
OPPOSE game 5-7 rested away fav of <2TD or dog of <1TD on 1-win streak and at least 2+ wins YTD (29-69 = on HAWAII)
OPPOSE 0-4 or worse teams that won 9+ games LY, line <17 (3-13 SUATS = on Iowa)
OPPOSE game 8 terrible away team on 4+ game losing streak (37-76 = on TEMPLE)
OPPOSE game 8 <.500 teams that won 10+ games last year (27-49 = on USF)
PLAY ON Leach big unranked dog vs ranked (19-3 / 1-2 YTD = on MSU)
OPPOSE away after ARizona (1-17 = on Utah)
OPPOSE game 8+ unbeaten fav ranked <9 vs opponent off game fav by >10 that lost h2h last meeting (4-22 = on UCF)
OPPOSE home fav off b2b conf dog wins vs opp off a loss (11-36 = on Mich St)
OPPOSE ACC nonconf home teams not favored by 4+ (5-25 = on LIB)
PLAY ON home fav off big win vs opponent that was just dog of 6+ (68-24 = on NEB)
OPPOSE game 7+ 1-loss teams off close win or a loss vs poor or avg team (28-68 = on FSU)
OPPOSE dog off b2b2b poor scoring games with last as a conf loss as fav or small dog (36-91 = on AUB)
PLAY ON unbeaten home conf dog or small fav (36-14 = on CMU, NW, NEV, CCar)
OPPOSE div big dog off close loss at home (85-165 = on Lville)
OPPOSE game 9+ fav or small dog off OT loss and win before that, beat this team last meeting (17-46 = on FSU)

[rolltide]

Re: SDQL 11/17-11/21

game 8+ fav of 14+ with <2 wins in L6 games are 25-1 SU / 23-3 ATS when no more than 1 less win than opponent = on Lville

for Friday

https://killersports.com/ncaafb/quer...+S+D+Q+L+%21++

[rolltide]

Re: SDQL 11/17-11/21

the past 15x a team was favored by >24 with a total <45 when not on a 3-game exact winning streak = dog and under

14-1-0 (15.00, 93.3%) 3-12-0 (-12.63, 20.0%) avg line: -27.6 +6: 4-11-0 (26.7%) -6: 1-13-1 (7.1%) +10: 5-10-0 (33.3%) -10: 1-14-0 (6.7%) 1-11-3 (-7.97, 8.3%) avg total: 42.3 +6: 1-14-0 (6.7%) -6: 7-8-0 (46.7%) +10: 0-15-0 (0.0%) -10: 10-5-0 (66.7%)

39.9 179.1 29.3 182.0 16.7 1.5 5.3 7.3 5.1 6.7 24.7 34.7 99.2 27.7 142.4 15.1 1.7 1.8 3.8 2.5 1.5 9.7

Nov 21, 2020 Saturday 12 2020 GEO MSST home -25.0 44.5

[Chamblin]

Re: SDQL 11/17-11/21