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  • #1

    saturday

    A and line < -20 and rank <= 4 and p:margin < 52 and week > 5 and ou streak = -1 and total <68 and p:line >-38


    away favorite >20..
    week >5..
    top 4 team..
    won by <52 previous game..
    under last..over 2 back..
    total <68...
    previous game favorite <38


    11-1 (15.38)

    they've done it twice in this sample

    bama -29


    https://sportsdatabase.com/ncaafb/qu...+S+D+Q+L+%21++
    _______________________________________________
    ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)
    Tags: None
  • #2
    Re: saturday

    Comment

    • #3
      Re: saturday

      Originally posted by Chamblin View Post
      thanks chamblin

      add opp can't have lost >5 games in a row..perfect

      11-0 (18.50)



      https://sportsdatabase.com/ncaafb/qu...+S+D+Q+L+%21++
      _______________________________________________
      ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

      Comment

      • #4
        Re: saturday

        check out that 1H avg up by 30 at HT

        Comment

        • #5
          Re: saturday

          squeeze out a couple more and the 19-1 was an ATS loss by 0.5 point

          15-0-0 (43.67, 100.0%)
          15-0-0 (15.83, 100.0%) avg line: -27.8 +6: 15-0-0 (100.0%) -6: 11-4-0 (73.3%) +10: 15-0-0 (100.0%) -10: 6-9-0 (40.0%)
          13-2-0 (7.10, 86.7%) avg total: 57.2 +6: 7-8-0 (46.7%) -6: 14-1-0 (93.3%) +10: 4-11-0 (26.7%) -10: 15-0-0 (100.0%)
          43.3 277.0 29.6 254.6 20.1 0.8 16.0 17.7 11.0 9.3 54.0
          34.9 90.3 31.3 155.6 14.0 1.9 2.3 3.6 1.8 2.7 10.3
          Dec 05, 2020 Saturday 14 2020 ALA LSU away -29.5 65.5
          20-0-0 (41.35, 100.0%)
          19-1-0 (13.80, 95.0%) avg line: -27.6 +6: 20-0-0 (100.0%) -6: 14-6-0 (70.0%) +10: 20-0-0 (100.0%) -10: 8-12-0 (40.0%)
          17-3-0 (8.28, 85.0%) avg total: 58.2 +6: 11-9-0 (55.0%) -6: 18-2-0 (90.0%) +10: 7-13-0 (35.0%) -10: 19-1-0 (95.0%)
          43.7 273.4 28.3 254.1 18.6 0.9 15.2 17.2 11.9 9.6 53.9
          34.4 97.6 34.4 184.8 17.3 2.2 3.5 3.4 2.8 2.9 12.6
          Dec 05, 2020 Saturday 14 2020 ALA LSU away -29.5 65.5
          Last edited by rolltide; 12-05-2020, 01:42 PM.

          Comment

          • #6
            Re: saturday

            Originally posted by bleeker View Post
            thanks chamblin

            add opp can't have lost >5 games in a row..perfect

            11-0 (18.50)



            https://sportsdatabase.com/ncaafb/qu...+S+D+Q+L+%21++

            you'll notice if you hit the link that the game is not included in the sample..reason is they have the final total at 68.5 which is wrong..they had it at around 65 yesterday when I posted which was correct.don't know why mistakes like this happen but they certainly do on occassion
            _______________________________________________
            ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

            Comment

            • #7
              Re: saturday

              Originally posted by rolltide View Post
              squeeze out a couple more and the 19-1 was an ATS loss by 0.5 point

              15-0-0 (43.67, 100.0%)
              15-0-0 (15.83, 100.0%) avg line: -27.8 +6: 15-0-0 (100.0%) -6: 11-4-0 (73.3%) +10: 15-0-0 (100.0%) -10: 6-9-0 (40.0%)
              13-2-0 (7.10, 86.7%) avg total: 57.2 +6: 7-8-0 (46.7%) -6: 14-1-0 (93.3%) +10: 4-11-0 (26.7%) -10: 15-0-0 (100.0%)
              43.3 277.0 29.6 254.6 20.1 0.8 16.0 17.7 11.0 9.3 54.0
              34.9 90.3 31.3 155.6 14.0 1.9 2.3 3.6 1.8 2.7 10.3
              Dec 05, 2020 Saturday 14 2020 ALA LSU away -29.5 65.5
              20-0-0 (41.35, 100.0%)
              19-1-0 (13.80, 95.0%) avg line: -27.6 +6: 20-0-0 (100.0%) -6: 14-6-0 (70.0%) +10: 20-0-0 (100.0%) -10: 8-12-0 (40.0%)
              17-3-0 (8.28, 85.0%) avg total: 58.2 +6: 11-9-0 (55.0%) -6: 18-2-0 (90.0%) +10: 7-13-0 (35.0%) -10: 19-1-0 (95.0%)
              43.7 273.4 28.3 254.1 18.6 0.9 15.2 17.2 11.9 9.6 53.9
              34.4 97.6 34.4 184.8 17.3 2.2 3.5 3.4 2.8 2.9 12.6
              Dec 05, 2020 Saturday 14 2020 ALA LSU away -29.5 65.5
              stepped away yesterday but very nice rt
              _______________________________________________
              ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

              Comment

              • #8
                Re: saturday

                Comment

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