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week 9 ** osu/psu and any others

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  • #1

    week 9 ** osu/psu and any others

    7 < week <14 and conference = B10 and rank = 2 and AF and season > 2015


    week 8-13
    big 10
    #2 team
    away favorite
    2016


    0-7 (-22.29) huge

    take out the ridiculous line in the sample and the avg line and total come in at very close to this game's

    fade osu


    https://killersports.com/ncaafb/quer...+S+D+Q+L+%21++



    psu +15.5
    Last edited by bleeker; 10-29-2022, 08:15 AM.
    _______________________________________________
    ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)
    Tags: None
  • #2
    not surprisingly 5 out of 7 times the #2 team has been ohio st
    _______________________________________________
    ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

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    • #3

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      • #4
        team =NOTD and op:ADL and o:rank <26


        notre dame
        opp previous away dog loss
        opp ranked team


        only concerned with the last game in the sample as the one prior to that was in 1998..they lost 45-14 with a very similiar line and total as this year..also the same week..smaller of course going with 1 game sample



        https://killersports.com/ncaafb/quer...+S+D+Q+L+%21++


        syracuse-1.5 ..half unit
        _______________________________________________
        ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

        Comment

        • #5

          Comment

          • #6

            Baylor in their favorite spot, just 2nd time this year. Conf Dog against a team coming off a win that didn't lose ATS

            20-1 ATS, Avg cover by 12ppg
            10-11-0 (0.52, 47.6%)
            20-1-0 (12.05, 95.2%) avg line: 11.5 +6: 20-0-1 (100.0%) -6: 16-5-0 (76.2%) +10: 21-0-0 (100.0%) -10: 10-10-1 (50.0%)
            8-12-1 (-2.90, 40.0%) avg total: 59.5 +6: 6-15-0 (28.6%) -6: 10-11-0 (47.6%) +10: 4-16-1 (20.0%) -10: 14-7-0 (66.7%)
            37.5 139.6 34.7 267.6 20.8 1.0 4.2 9.6 7.3 7.5 28.6
            37.5 153.8 33.5 253.6 21.0 1.7 6.7 7.0 7.6 6.5 28.0
            Oct 29, 2022 Saturday 9 2022 BAY TXT away 2.0 61.0

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            • #7
              Originally posted by bleeker View Post
              7 < week <14 and conference = B10 and rank = 2 and AF and season > 2015


              week 8-13
              big 10
              #2 team
              away favorite
              2016


              0-7 (-22.29) huge

              take out the ridiculous line in the sample and the avg line and total come in at very close to this game's

              fade osu


              https://killersports.com/ncaafb/quer...+S+D+Q+L+%21++



              psu +15.5
              using that idea there's a good spot for Illini on a 12 game SUATS streak

              week < 12 and conference = B10 and rank > 9 and AC and line < 3.5 and date > 20161020 and streak > -2 and o:streak < 2
              21-1-0 (23.73, 95.5%)
              19-3-0 (12.18, 86.4%) avg line: -11.5 +6: 21-1-0 (95.5%) -6: 13-9-0 (59.1%) +10: 21-1-0 (95.5%) -10: 10-12-0 (45.5%)
              12-9-1 (2.70, 57.1%) avg total: 50.6 +6: 9-13-0 (40.9%) -6: 16-6-0 (72.7%) +10: 7-15-0 (31.8%) -10: 16-5-1 (76.2%)
              41.0 207.9 26.2 221.8 15.5 0.8 9.1 12.0 6.8 10.2 38.5
              33.5 95.9 33.9 185.9 18.8 2.1 3.6 3.5 3.7 4.0 14.8
              Oct 29, 2022 Saturday 9 2022 ILL NEB away -7.5 50.0
              Oct 16, 2021 box Saturday 7 2021 MCST IND away 7-3 0-6 10-0 3-6 20-15 -3.5 48.5 5 1.5 -13.5 -6.0 -7.5 W W U 0
              Oct 09, 2021 box Saturday 6 2021 MCST RUT away 7-7 14-6 7-0 3-0 31-13 -4.0 49.5 18 14.0 -5.5 4.2 -9.8 W W U 0
              Oct 02, 2021 box Saturday 5 2021 MICH WIS away 7-0 6-10 7-0 18-7 38-17 2.0 43.5 21 23.0 11.5 17.2 -5.8 W W O 0
              Oct 02, 2021 box Saturday 5 2021 OHST RUT away 24-6 21-0 7-0 0-7 52-13 -15.0 58.0 39 24.0 7.0 15.5 -8.5 W W O 0
              Nov 14, 2020 box Saturday 11 2020 WIS MICH away 14-0 14-0 7-11 14-0 49-11 -7.0 51.5 38 31.0 8.5 19.8 -11.2 W W O 0
              Nov 14, 2020 box Saturday 11 2020 IND MCST away 14-0 10-0 0-0 0-0 24-0 -7.5 52.5 24 16.5 -28.5 -6.0 -22.5 W W U 0
              Oct 31, 2020 box Saturday 9 2020 IND RUT away 3-7 17-0 10-8 7-6 37-21 -11.5 54.0 16 4.5 4.0 4.2 -0.2 W W O 0
              Oct 24, 2020 box Saturday 8 2020 MICH MIN away 21-10 14-7 7-7 7-0 49-24 -3.0 53.5 25 22.0 19.5 20.8 -1.2 W W O 0
              Nov 02, 2019 Saturday 10 2019 MICH MARY away 14-0 7-0 14-7 3-0 38-7 -21.5 56.0 31 9.5 -11.0 -0.8 -10.2 W W U 0
              Oct 26, 2019 Saturday 9 2019 IOWA NORW away 7-0 3-0 7-0 3-0 20-0 -10.5 36.5 20 9.5 -16.5 -3.5 -13.0 W W U 0
              Oct 19, 2019 Saturday 8 2019 MIN RUT away 7-0 7-0 7-0 21-7 42-7 -30.0 48.0 35 5.0 1.0 3.0 -2.0 W W O 0
              Oct 12, 2019 Saturday 7 2019 PNST IOWA away 0-3 7-3 3-0 7-6 17-12 -3.5 43.5 5 1.5 -14.5 -6.5 -8.0 W W U 0

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              • #8
                7 < week < 11 and H and streak = 7 and 1<rank<5 and o:streak <7 and po:points <38 and o:site streak >-2 and total >48


                week 8-10
                home
                rank 2-4
                7 game win streak
                opp not on a > 6 win streak
                previous opp < 38 points
                opp not on a > 1 game away streak
                total >48


                8-0 (17.00)


                https://killersports.com/ncaafb/quer...+S+D+Q+L+%21++




                ten -11.5
                mich -23




                .
                Last edited by bleeker; 10-29-2022, 05:08 PM. Reason: forgot "opponent" in site streak parameter
                _______________________________________________
                ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

                Comment

                • #9

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