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**TheGame** · 10-06-2014, 08:17 AM

Re: NFL Betting Info. Week 6

NFL Week 6 First Look
By Stephen Nover

Here is my look at this coming Week 6 in the NFL.

Indianapolis at Houston - Can a healthy Arian Foster, Andre Johnson and J.J. Watt be enough to overcome Ryan Fitzpatrick, who is back to being Ryan Fitzpatrick with six interceptions in his last three games? The last time the Colts lost an AFC South Division game was at the Texans two years ago. They've won and covered their last nine division contests. Indy, though, is just one game above .500 on the road during the Andrew Luck era.

Denver at New York Jets - The Jets are a real mess. This is a circle-the-wagons game for them and they draw Denver traveling to the East Coast for an early start. However, Peyton Manning versus Geno Smith is like David taking on Goliath without his sling shot.

Pittsburgh at Cleveland - Cleveland actually is 5-2 in Brian Hoyer's last seven starts. Maybe it's time to admit the Browns' skill position players are better than perceived. The Ben Roethlisberger-Steelers, though, are 18-1 versus Cleveland.

Jacksonville at Tennessee - One of these teams is 1-8-1 ATS in their last 10 games and it's not the Jaguars. If Jake Locker isn't in the lineup, I'm not convinced the Titans are the superior team.

Chicago at Atlanta - I'll be checking both team's offensive line injury report very closely this week. Matt Ryan has to be perfect for the Falcons to win these days. However, Ryan often is perfect at home where the Falcons are averaging 46.5 points this season.

Green Bay at Miami - The Dolphins are 7-1 as home 'dogs under Joe Philbin, who was the Packers' offensive coordinator from 2007-11 before taking the Dolphins head coaching position. Miami gets reinforced with safety Rashad Jones eligible from suspension and center Mike Pouncey expected to make his season debut.

Detroit at Minnesota - If there's no Calvin Johnson and no Reggie Bush then there is no Detroit consideration. Mike Zimmer is the Vikings' best head coach hire since Dennis Green.

Carolina at Cincinnati - It's lay the points or pass. Cincinnati has covered its last 11 regular season home games and should be an angry lot after being humiliated on national TV this past Sunday night.

New England at Buffalo - I don't think I'll have the courage to back or trust Buffalo here. Tom Brady could be 57 instead of 37 and I still would like him more than Kyle Orton. The Bills have the No. 1 run defense, but could be missing their two best run stuffers - Kyle Williams and Nigel Bradham.

Baltimore at Tampa Bay - The Ravens are 2-6-2 ATS in their last 10 road games and 1-8 ATS during their past nine October games. If the Bucs can cut back their turnovers they would become more trustworthy.

San Diego at Oakland - Even if the line gets inflated, I'm going to have trouble getting behind Oakland. But I'm not looking to back San Diego either. The Raiders were idle last week, have a new coach and perhaps a new attitude. They've covered three of the last five years hosting San Diego and draw the Chargers down to their third-string center and featured back.

Dallas at Seattle - DeMarco Murray is a strong early candidate for MVP honors. The Cowboys have been wise enough to ride Murray, which has masked their defensive deficiencies by keeping their defense off the field. This is Dallas' lone road matchup during a six-game stretch. The Seahawks are 19-1 SU, 15-5 ATS at home with their average winning margin being by more than two touchdowns.

Washington at Arizona - The Cards suffered another key defensive loss with Calais Campbell going down with a knee injury. If Carson Palmer gets the green light, it's going to be hard not to give the Cards a strong look, however, as the Redskins will be journeying cross-country on a short week after playing ultra-physical Seattle.

New York Giants at Philadelphia - LeSean McCoy is averaging 2.9 yards per carry and has scored one touchdown. Ouch. Maybe the Eagles' beat-up offensive line begins to get some stability, but their defense remains scary bad as DeMeco Ryans is the latest linebacker to get injured. Eli Manning has accounted for nine touchdowns with one interception his last three games and now has speed at the flanks with rookie Odell Beckham finally making his season debut this past week.

San Francisco at St. Louis - The scrutiny on Jim Harbaugh's future gets raised as this is the Monday night game. If Harbaugh isn't too distracted, he'll have his 49ers keep the ball on the ground against the Rams' 30th-ranked run defense.

**TheGame** · 10-09-2014, 08:40 AM

Re: NFL Betting Info. Week 6

Thursday Night Football: Colts at Texans
By Covers.com

Indianapolis Colts at Houston Texans (+3, 46)

The Indianapolis Colts and Houston Texans already have separated themselves from the AFC South pack as they prepare for a first-place showdown Thursday night in Houston. "The division games are huge. I think everybody that has played in the league knows that and really understands how much they mean," Texans quarterback Ryan Fitzpatrick told reporters. "There is an added emphasis on this week, for sure, especially with it being Indianapolis." The defending division champion Colts have won nine straight against AFC South rivals dating to 2012.

The Colts have won three straight after dropping their first two games by a combined 10 points, and their defense has been impressive during the winning streak. They'll try to continue that trend against a Houston offense that has struggled to find consistency, particularly in the passing game. The Colts have won three straight meetings and 20 of 24 all-time.

LINE HISTORY: The Colts opened as 2.5-point road faves, but that has moved to -3. The total opened 45.5 but has increased a half-point to 46.

INJURY REPORT: Colts - LB Jerrell Freeman (Questionable, hamstring), T Jacke Mewhort (Questionable, ankle). Texans - DB Darryl Morris (Questionable, ankle), CB Johnathan Joseph (Questionable, knee), LB Brian Cushing (Out, knee).

COVERS POWER RANKINGS: Colts (-2.0) + Texans (+1.0) + Home Field (-3.0) = Pick

WHAT CAPPERS SAY: "Battle for the top spot in the watered down AFC South should be interesting given Andrew Luck’s dismal 1-2 SU and ATS career mark as a favorite in games versus winning opponents. Meanwhile like Indy, the Texans enter with an identical 3-2 record despite the fact they’ve lost the stats in all five contests. Go figure." Covers Expert Marc Lawrence.

ABOUT THE COLTS (3-2 SU, 4-1 ATS, 4-1 O/U): The defense has been a pleasant surprise in Indianapolis, holding three straight opponents under 350 total yards and forcing three turnovers in each contest. That unit turned in a strong effort in Sunday's 20-13 home win over Baltimore, helping the Colts overcome four turnovers. The Colts hope last week's offensive miscues were an anomaly and look for a bounce-back effort from quarterback Andrew Luck, who threw two interceptions against the Ravens but is aiming for his fourth straight 300-yard passing game.

ABOUT THE TEXANS (3-2, 4-1 ATS, 2-3 O/U): Fitzpatrick has been inconsistent in his first year with Houston, but he has excelled in two home starts against the Colts, compiling 377 yards with four TDs and no interceptions for a 116.6 rating. Running back Arian Foster also has enjoyed facing Indianapolis — he has 752 rushing yards and six TDs in six meetings, including a career-high 231 yards and three scores in 2010. Houston's defense has given up big yardage totals all season but has bailed itself out with a league-best 12 takeaways.

TRENDS:

* Colts are 10-1-1 ATS in their last 12 Thursday games.
* Home team is 7-1 ATS in their last eight meetings.
* Under is 6-1 in the last seven meetings.
* Texans are 0-4 ATS in their last four Thursday games.

COVERS CONSENSUS: According to Covers Consensus, the Colts are seeing 66.84 percent of support from bettors.

**TheGame** · 10-09-2014, 08:40 AM

Re: NFL Betting Info. Week 6

Colts at Texans
By Kevin Rogers
VegasInsider.com

The AFC South has turned into a two-horse race, even though the season is in early October. Jacksonville and Tennessee have combined to post a 1-9 mark and actually meet on Sunday in Nashville. The Colts and Texans kick off the Week 6 slate in Houston as each squad owns a 3-2 record, trying to get an early leg up inside this division as the AFC South may get just one team in the postseason.

Indianapolis started the season with a quick thud, losing to Denver and Philadelphia to begin 0-2. Granted, those two squads have put together a 7-2 record, while the Eagles needed to rally late to stun the Colts in Week 2 by a 30-27 count. Since that defeat, the Colts have stormed back with three consecutive victories to climb above the .500 mark.

Following blowouts of the two also-rans in their division, the Jaguars and Titans by a combined score of 85-34, Indianapolis met its match with Baltimore last week. The Colts passed the test against the champion of two seasons ago, beating the Ravens, 20-13 to cash as 2½-point favorites. Indianapolis led Baltimore, 6-3 at halftime, but Andrew Luck led a pair of touchdown drives to put the Colts in control before stopping the Ravens on their final possession. The Colts forced three turnovers, while limiting the Ravens to 287 yards, including making a key goal-line stand in the first half.

The Texans won their first two games of the 2014 campaign, taking care of the Redskins and Raiders as short favorites. After a blowout loss to the Giants on the road, Houston rebounded by rallying past Buffalo in Week 4. However, the Texans couldn’t get over the hump against their cross-state rival in a 20-17 setback to the Cowboys last Sunday. Houston managed a cover as five-point road underdogs, as Arian Foster tied things up late in regulation with his second rushing touchdown of the day. The passing game never got going for Ryan Fitzpatrick, who threw for 154 yards and one interception, while throwing six picks in the past three weeks.

Last year was an unfair representation of the Texans, who finished with 14 consecutive losses after a 2-0 start, one season following an AFC South title in 2012. Among all those defeats, Houston was swept by Indianapolis, who captured its eighth division title in 11 seasons and the first with Luck as their starting quarterback. In the first meeting last November at NRG Stadium, the Texans built a 14-0 lead behind a pair of long touchdown passes from former University of Houston standout Case Keenum to Andre Johnson. The Colts erased a 24-6 third quarter deficit thanks to three touchdown connections between Luck and T.Y. Hilton to stun the Texans, 27-24 as one-point favorites.

The task was easier for the Colts one month later at home, dismantling the beat-down Texans, 25-3 to easily cash as six-point favorites. Houston racked up just 239 yards of offense, while falling to 0-12 lifetime at Indianapolis. That number doesn’t mean much on Thursday with the game being played in Texas, as the Colts have dropped three of the past four visits to NRG Stadium.

Both the Texans and Colts have been terrific teams to back this season at 4-1 ATS each. What a major difference from last season, when Houston covered just four times in 16 tries, including a 1-7 ATS mark at home. Indianapolis is riding a 9-0 SU/ATS streak against AFC South opponents, which began against Houston in the final game of the 2012 regular season. An even more impressive number for Chuck Pagano’s team is the 6-0 SU/ATS record as a road favorite since the beginning of 2012, which includes the Week 3 rout of Jacksonville.

The ‘over’ is hitting at a tremendous rate in primetime games this season, cashing at a 13-3 clip. In four of five Thursday night contests, the winning team has scored at least 36 points, while each of the past three Thursday games have been decided by an average of 35 points. Underdogs have put together a 10-6 ATS record in night action, while compiling an incredible 8-1 ATS mark as a 3½-point ‘dog or less. Road favorites in primetime matchups have gone 1-3 SU/ATS with the Seahawks being the lone ‘chalk’ to cash, coming this past Monday at Washington.

The Colts are listed between 2½ and 3-point favorites depending on where you shop, as the Texans are a home ‘dog for the first time this season. The total is set at 46 across the board as weather shouldn’t be a factor with temperatures in the low 80’s. The game kicks off at 8:25 PM EST and can be seen on CBS and NFL Network.

**TheGame** · 10-10-2014, 05:41 AM

Re: NFL Betting Info. Week 6

Denver @ NY Jets
The Broncos are 17-6 ATS favorites of 3½ to 9½ points, 23-15 ATS overall, 22-11 ATS playing as a favorite, 12-3 ATS against losing teams and 4-1 ATS on the road with a total of 45½ to 49 points. Denver is 84-54 Over the total as favorites of 3½ to 9½ points, 147-97 Over overall as a favorite, 107-61 Over with a total of 42½ to 49 points, 57-34 Over in weeks 5 through 9 and 40-24 Over on turf. The Jets are 5-12 ATS at home with a total of 45½ to 49 points and 0-4 ATS overall this season. New York is 5-2 Under off 2 or more consecutive losses. In This series Denver is 8-3 ATS including 3-1 at New York and 4 of the last 5 in New York have gone Over the total.

Pittsburgh @ Cleveland
The Steelers are 59-35 ATS in weeks 5 through 9, 25-18 ATS as road underdogs of 3 points or less and 67-47 ATS overall in the underdog role. Pittsburg is 8-2 Under in weeks 5 through 9 and 27-17 Under as road dogs of 3 points or less. The Browns are 4-9 ATS when the line is 3 points or less, 2-5 ATS as favorites and 0-3 ATS as home favorites of 3 points or less. Cleveland is 4-0 Over this season, but 26-9 Under as home favorites of 3 points or less. In this series Pittsburgh is 34-7 straight up including 14-5 straight up at Cleveland.

Jacksonville @ Tennessee
The Jaguars are 11-20 ATS playing on grass and 8-13 ATS off 2 or more consecutive losses. Jacksonville is 4-1 Over on grass. The Titans are just 2-9 ATS versus divisional opponents, but 6-3 ATS after 2 or more consecutive losses. Tennessee a big 44-23 Over playing in October and 8-3 Over after 2 or more consecutive losses. In this series the last 2 meetings in Tennessee have gone Over the total.

Chicago @ Atlanta
The Bears are 5-15 ATS when the line is 3 points or less, 13-23 ATS overall, 5-11 ATs as underdogs, 7-20 ATs against NFC opponents, 0-3 ATS agaainst NFC South opponents, 1-5 ATS playing in domes and 4-9 ATS versus losing teams. Chicago is 25-12 Over overall, 15-6 Over when the line is 3 or less, 11-5 Over as an underdog, 15-4 Over on the road and 11-2 Over versus losing teams. The Falcons are 6-10 ATS versus losing teams, but 5-2 ATS at home when the total is 49½ points or more. Atlanta is 6-3 Under in weeks 5 through 9, 13-7 Under at home when the total is 49½ or more and 9-4 Under overall when the total is 49½ or more. In this series Chicago is 6-2 ATS and the total is 7-2 Over including 5-0 Over when playing in Atlanta.

Green Bay @ Miami
The Packers are 4-9 ATS when the line is 3 points or less and 2-5 ATS on the road with a total of 45½ to 49 points, but they’re 16-10 ATS as favorites and 7-3 ATS in weekd 5 through 9. Green Bay is 13-7 Over on the road, 7-1 Over on the road with a total of 45½ to 49 points and 53-39 Over versus AFC opponents, but they’re 10-5 Under off a divisional game and 7-3 Under off a divisional win. The Dolphins are 5-0 ATS as home dogs of 3 points or less and 10-6 ATS at home. Miami is 4-1 Over as home dogs of 3 or less, 14-8 Under off a bye week and 8-4 Under versus winning teams.

Detroit @ Minnesota
The Lions are 11-16 ATS versus NFC opponents and 2-6 ATS versus losing teams. Detroit is 6-3 Over in weeks 5 through 9. The Vikings are 3-7 ATS in weeks 5 through 9, but 7-4 ATS off a divisional game. Minnesota 57-35 Over the total in weeks 5 through 9. In this series Minnesota is 31-13 straight up including 19-3 straight up at home. Minnesota is 3-1 ATS the last 4 meetings.

Carolina @ Cincinnati
The Panthers are 5-1 ATS as underdogs of 3½ to 9½ points, 28-19 ATS as road dogs of 3½ to 7 points including 5-0 lately, 19-9 ATS on the road when the total is 42½ to 45 points,61-41 ATS with a total of 42½ to 49 points and 7-3 ATS in weeks 5 through 9, but they’re just 3-6 ATS versus AFC opponents. Carolina is 50-35 Under in weeks 5 through 9 and 16-9 Under with a total of 42½ 49 points. The Bengals are 22-14 ATS overall, 11-3 ATS as favorites of 3½ to 9½ points, 7-1 ATS as home favorites of 3½ to 9½ points, 13-5 ATS overall at home, 15-8 ATS on turf, 7-1 ATS against NFC opponents and 7-3 ATS against winning teams, but they’re 3-7 ATS in weeks 5 through 9. Cincinnati is 79-58 Under when the total is 42½ to 49 points, but 6-3 Over versus NFC opponents and 6-3 Over in weeks 5 through 9. In this series 3 of the last 4 have gone Over the total.

New England @ Buffalo
The Patriots are 18-12 ATS on turf and 9-4 ATS when the line is 3 points or less. New England is 20-12 Over versus AFC opponents, 20-10 Over on turf, 11-4 Over versus winning teams and 8-2 Over in weeks 5 through 9. The Bills are 16-10 ATS home dogs of 3 points or less, 11-5 ATS overall at home and 4-1 ATS at home with a total of 42½ to 45 points. Buffalo is 11-4 Under when the line is 3 points or less and 16-10 Under at home with a total of 42½ to 45 points. In this series New England is 13-7 ATS at Buffalo and 3 of the last 4 have gone Over the total.

Baltimore @ Tampa Bay
The Ravens are 2-6 ATS in weeks 5 through 9 and 3-7 ATS versus losing teams, but they’re 6-3 ATS versus NFC opponents and 3-1 ATS road favorites of 3 points or less. Baltimore is 4-1 Under as road favorites of 3 points or less and 7-3 Under versus losing teams, but also 6-3 Over versus NFC opponents. The Buccaneers are 11-16 ATS home dogs of 3 points or less, but 6-3 ATS against AFC opponents. Tampa Bay is 16-10 Over as an underdog and 9-0 Over in weeks 5 through 9, but 18-7 Under versus AFC North opponents. In this series all 4 meetings since 1992 have gone Over the total.

San Diego @ Oakland
The Chargers are 63-46 ATS favorites of 3½ to 9½ points including 5-0 this year, 12-6 ATS on the road, 17-10 ATS versus AFC opponents including 3-0 this year and 62-42 ATS off 2 or more consecutive wins, but they’re just 15-25 ATS on the road with a total of 42½ to 45 points. San Diego is 17-12 Under versus AFC opponents. The Raiders are 14-20 ATS overall, 7-12 ATS as underdogs of 3½ to 9½ points, 8-14 ATS home dogs of 3½ to 7 points, 8-17 ATS on grass, 5-9 ATS off 2 or more consecutive losses and 64-89 ATS at home including 5-11 lately. Oakland is 12-7 Under as underdogs of 3½ to 9½ points, 10-6 Under at home and 16-6 Under coming off a bye week. In this series San Diego is 16-6 ATS at Oakland. 3 of the last 4 have gone Under the total including 2 straight in Oakland.

Dallas @ Seattle
The Cowboys are 12-6 ATS playing as underdogs, but 3-8 ATS as road dogs of 7½ to 10 points. Dallas is 18-11 Under on the road with a total of 45½ to 49 points, but 6-1 Over off 2 or more consecutive wins. The Seahawks are 29-12 ATS overall, 12-3 ATS favorites of 3½ to 9½ points, 20-11 ATS overall favorites, 15-5 ATS at home, 22-8 ATS versus NFC opponents, 21-10 ATS on turf, 12-4 ATS versus winning teams, 13-6 ATS off 2 or more consecutive wins and 16-6 ATS when the total is 42½ to 49 points, but they’re 29-53 ATS in October despite winning last week. Seattle is 4-0 Under versus NFC East opponents, but 9-4 Over after playing Monday night. In this series The Under is 8-3 including 4-1 Under playing in Seattle.

Washington @ Arizona
The Redskins are 0-4 ATS versus NFC West opponents and 8-16 ATS after playing on Monday night. Washington is 4-0 Over under a dome, but 15-9 Under after playing Monday night. The Cardinals are 3-0 ATS versus NFC East opponents, but 2-8 ATS weeks 5 through 9. Arizona is 18-10 Under playing on turf and 3-0 Under versus NFC East opponents.

NY Giants @ Philadelphia
The Giants are 25-17 ATS as road dogs of 3 points or less, 7-3 ATS in weeks 5 through 9 and 62-44 ATS off 2 or more consecutive wins. New York is 12-5 Under when the line is 3 points or less, 12-6 Under on the road, 9-1 Under versus winning teams and 18-10 Under against NFC opponents. The Eagles are 5-14 ATS playing at home, 14-23 ATS overall, 4-8 ATS versus divisional opponents, 11-18 ATS on grass and 3-8 ATS versus winning teams. Philadelphia is 12-7 Over at home and 16-10 Over when the total is 49½ points or more.

San Francisco @ St Louis
The 49ers are 7-3 ATS when the line is 3 points or less, 26-16 ATS overall, 22-13 ATS overall favorites, 14-6 ATS on the road, 28-10 ATS on Monday night, 7-2 ATS in weeks 5 through 9, 6-3 ATs playing in a dome and 5-1 ATS as road favorites of 3 points or less. San Francisco is 7-3 Over versus losing teams. The Rams are 17-32 ATS at home with a total of 42½ to 45 points, 51-73 ATS versus winning teams, 1-3 ATS this season including 0-2 ATS at home. St Louis is 57-41 Under when the line is 3 points or less, but 14-8 Over playing under a dome, 8-1 Over after 2 or more consecutive losses and 7-3 Over in weesk 5 through 9. In this series San Francisco is 27-15 ATS versus St Louis including 13-7 at St Louis.

**TheGame** · 10-10-2014, 05:41 AM

Re: NFL Betting Info. Week 6

Denver at NY Jets, 1:00 ET
Denver: 17-6 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points
NY Jets: 16-5 ATS after 3 consecutive games with a turnover margin of -1 or worse

Pittsburgh at Cleveland, 1:00 ET
Pittsburgh: 42-24 OVER after allowing 75 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games
Cleveland: 0-6 ATS off 2 or more consecutive overs

Jacksonville at Tennessee, 1:00 ET
Jacksonville: 8-21 ATS when playing with 6 or less days rest
Tennessee: 9-1 OVER after allowing 400 or more total yards in their previous game

Chicago at Atlanta, 4:25 ET
Chicago: 5-16 ATS after 2 straight games where 50 total points or more were scored
Atlanta: 3-19 ATS after gaining 375 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games

Green Bay at Miami, 1:00 ET
Green Bay: 44-27 ATS after 2 consecutive games with a turnover margin of +1 or better
Miami: 6-0 ATS as a home underdog

Detroit at Minnesota, 1:00 ET
Detroit: 0-9 ATS off a non-conference game
Minnesota: 67-40 OVER after allowing 6 or more yards/play in their previous game

Carolina at Cincinnati, 1:00 ET
Carolina: 11-3 UNDER after 1 or more consecutive wins
Cincinnati: 8-24 ATS after a loss by 21 or more points

New England at Buffalo, 1:00 ET
New England: 76-52 ATS after having won 2 out of their last 3 games
Buffalo: 31-14 ATS after a win by 3 or less points

Baltimore at Tampa Bay, 1:00 ET
Baltimore: 38-22 ATS in road games after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread
Tampa Bay: 19-5 ATS after gaining 99 or less rushing yards in 3 straight games

San Diego at Oakland, 4:05 ET
San Diego: 16-6 ATS after allowing 6 points or less last game
Oakland: 16-6 UNDER after a bye week

Dallas at Seattle, 4:25 ET
Seattle: 12-4 ATS against conference opponents
Dallas: 42-25 ATS after a game with a turnover margin of -2 or worse

Washington at Arizona, 4:25 ET
Washington: 0-4 against NFC West division opponents
Arizona: 10-3 off 1 or more straight overs

NY Giants at Philadelphia, 8:30 ET
NY Giants: 33-12 ATS in road games after 2 or more consecutive wins against the spread
Philadelphia: 30-13 UNDER in home games in October games

Monday, Oct. 13th

San Francisco at St Louis, 8:30 ET
San Francisco: 10-2 ATS as a road favorite of 7 points or less
St Louis: 7-0 OVER after having lost 3 out of their last 4 games

**TheGame** · 10-10-2014, 05:41 AM

Re: NFL Betting Info. Week 6

1:00 PM
GREEN BAY vs. MIAMI
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Green Bay's last 9 games when playing Miami
Green Bay is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games when playing Miami
Miami is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
Miami is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Green Bay

1:00 PM
JACKSONVILLE vs. TENNESSEE
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Jacksonville's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Jacksonville's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Tennessee's last 9 games at home
Tennessee is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games at home

1:00 PM
NEW ENGLAND vs. BUFFALO
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of New England's last 16 games when playing on the road against Buffalo
New England is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Buffalo's last 16 games when playing at home against New England
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Buffalo's last 5 games

1:00 PM
DETROIT vs. MINNESOTA
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 6 games when playing Minnesota
Detroit is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Minnesota
Minnesota is 6-1-2 ATS in its last 9 games when playing at home against Detroit
Minnesota is 15-1 SU in its last 16 games when playing at home against Detroit

1:00 PM
PITTSBURGH vs. CLEVELAND
Pittsburgh is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
Cleveland is 3-7-1 ATS in its last 11 games
Cleveland is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home

1:00 PM
DENVER vs. NY JETS
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Denver's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Denver's last 5 games when playing on the road against NY Jets
NY Jets are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games when playing at home against Denver
The total has gone OVER in 4 of the NY Jets last 5 games when playing at home against Denver

1:00 PM
BALTIMORE vs. TAMPA BAY
Baltimore is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Baltimore's last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 4-8-1 ATS in its last 13 games at home
Tampa Bay is 3-10 SU in its last 13 games at home

1:00 PM
CAROLINA vs. CINCINNATI
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Carolina's last 6 games on the road
Carolina is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Cincinnati is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games at home
Cincinnati is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games

4:05 PM
SAN DIEGO vs. OAKLAND
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Diego's last 7 games
San Diego is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Oakland
Oakland is 4-17 SU in its last 21 games when playing San Diego
Oakland is 3-9 ATS in its last 12 games when playing at home against San Diego

4:25 PM
CHICAGO vs. ATLANTA
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Chicago's last 9 games
Chicago is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Atlanta's last 8 games when playing Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Atlanta's last 12 games at home

4:25 PM
DALLAS vs. SEATTLE
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 6 games when playing Seattle
Dallas is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Seattle
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Seattle's last 7 games at home
Seattle is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

4:25 PM
WASHINGTON vs. ARIZONA
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games when playing on the road against Arizona
Washington is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Arizona
Arizona is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Arizona's last 11 games when playing Washington

8:30 PM
NY GIANTS vs. PHILADELPHIA
NY Giants are 5-2 SU in their last 7 games
NY Giants are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games on the road
Philadelphia is 3-6 ATS in their last 9 games when playing at home against NY Giants
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 6 games when playing NY Giants

Monday, October 13

8:30 PM
SAN FRANCISCO vs. ST. LOUIS
San Francisco is 8-2-2 ATS in its last 12 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of San Francisco's last 8 games
St. Louis is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of St. Louis's last 9 games

**TheGame** · 10-11-2014, 07:59 AM

Re: NFL Betting Info. Week 6

NFL Week 6

Broncos (3-1) @ Jets (1-4) — Gang Green lost last four games, scoring three TDs on last 33 drives; they benched QB Smith in second half last week, will go back to him here, vs Denver team that lost its only road game, in OT at Seattle. Broncos are 11-5 as road favorites under Fox, 20-12-1 after a win. Jets are 6-3 as home underdog under Ryan, 0-1 this year; they’ve lost three of last four games with Denver- Broncos won three of last four visits here. Jets lost last two home games, to Bears/Lions; fans will turn on them if they start of badly- they were outscored 38-3 in first half of last two games. AFC East teams are 5-9 vs spread in non-division games, 1-6 at home; AFC West teams are 11-4 vs spread outside their division.

Steelers (3-2) @ Browns (2-2) — First rematch of season; Steelers (-6.5) nipped Cleveland 30-27 in opener, kicking FG at end after blowing 27-3 halftime lead. Pitt outgained Browns 490-389 in games; they’re 26-3 in series, winning last four, three by 13+ points. Steelers are 3-1 in last four visits here, winning by 32-4-16 points. Decisive points in all four Cleveland games were scored in last 1:09 of game; they’ve rallied to tie or take lead from 27-3/28-3 deficits, so they believe in QB Hoyer, who averaged 10.9/7.5 ypa in last two games. Since ’08, Cleveland is 5-12-2 as home favorite; they’re favored here for first time this year. Browns split pair of 2-point home decisions, beating Saints, losing to Ravens; all four of their games went over total.

Jaguars (0-5) @ Titans (1-4) — These teams split season series each of last five years, with five of last six series meetings decided by 6 or less points. Jags split last four visits to Music City, but are 0-5 vs spread this season, losing by average of score of 36-14- only one of their five losses was by less than 17 points. Titans lost last four games, allowing 32.3 ppg; they’re first home team ever to lose after leading by 25+ points. Ever. Since ’10, Tennessee is 8-13-1 as home favorite, 0-2 this year; Locker got hurt last week, not sure which of three Titan QBs starts here. None are that attractive an option. Jags are -8 in turnovers the last four games, with only one takeaway; they’re 11-15 in last 26 games as a road dog, 0-3 this year.

Bears (2-3) @ Falcons (2-3) — Devin Hester’s old team visits Georgia Dome after turning ball over on last three drives in ugly 31-24 loss at Carolina last week, Bears’ first loss in three road games; they’ve allowed 20-19 points in their wins, 23+ in three losses. Chicago is 6-11-1 (2-1 this year) in last 18 games as a road dog. Home side won last four series games with Chicago losing last two visits here, 22-20/21-14. Home side also won all five Falcon games this year; Atlanta won 37-34/56-14 at home, are 22-15-1 as home favorite under Smith, 24-11-1 after a loss. NFC South road teams are 1-6 vs spread in non-division games. Over is 3-1-1 in Falcon games this year, 3-0 in last three Chicago tilts.

Packers (3-2) @ Dolphins (2-2) — Miami is off bye after hammering Raiders in London; they upset Pack 23-20 at Lambeau after its bye in last meeting (2010), Dolphins’ 10th win in last 13 series games. Pack’s 34-24 win here in last visit (’06) is their only win in seven visits here, other than Super Bowl II vs Raiders. Miami scored 10+ points in all four halves in its two wins; they trailed 9-0/14-3 at half of two losses. Green Bay was held to 7-16 points in its two losses, both on artificial surface; they’ve had three extra days to prep after Thursday game, are 16-13 in last 29 games as road favorite. AFC East home teams are 1-6 vs spread in non-division games; NFC North non-divisional home favorites are 1-3. Three of four games for both sides went over total.

Lions (3-2) @ Minnesota (2-3) — Vikings started three different QBs in first five games, never a good thing; best chance here is if rookie Bridge water plays. Minnesota is 19-5 in last 24 series games, 3-1 in last four; Lions are 1-15 in last 16 visits here, losing last two by 1-10 points- three of their last four losses here were by 10+ points. Health of Calvin Johnson a key for Lions, who folded at home vs Bills last week with Megatron sidelined, losing 17-14 after leading 14-0. Lions held last three opponents to 7-17-17 points, but they’re 0-3 when they don’t get 2+ takeaways- they’re 4-10-1 in divisional road games since ’09. Last four Detroit games stayed under the total. Vikings are 7-2 in last nine games as home underdog, 1-1 this season.

Panthers (3-2) @ Bengals (3-1) — Curious to see how Cincy bounces back from first loss; they’re 6-1 vs spread in game following last seven losses and covered nine in row as home favorites, winning 24-10/33-7 in two home games this year. Bengals are also 10-2-1 in last 13 games vs NFC teams. Carolina has 10 takeaways (+7) in its three wins, none (-3) in two losses; they’ve covered eight of last ten games as road dog (1-1 this year), are 14-11 off win under Rivera. Panthers allowed 37-38 points in two losses, average of 15 ppg in their wins. AFC North home teams are 4-1 vs spread in non-divisional games; NFC South road teams are 1-6. Three of four Bengal games stayed under total; last three Carolina games went under.

Patriots (3-2) @ Bills (3-2) — Pats are 25-2 in last 27 series games, winning last five in row, three by 14+ points; they’ve won nine of last ten visits here, with seven wins by 13+, but NE is just 1-7 vs spread in last eight games as road favorite, losing two of three SU on road this year. Patriots are 5-8 vs spread in game following their last 13 wins. Bills have been plus in turnovers in four games, even in 5th, turning ball over only four times- they scored 10-17-17 points in last three games, but won at Detroit in Orton’s first start. Bills are 1-1 at home this year, 6-1 as home dogs under Marrone- they’re 3-0 this year allowing 20 or less points, with losses by 12-6 points. All five Buffalo games this season stayed under the total.

Ravens (3-2) @ Buccaneers (1-4) — Under Harbaugh, Ravens are 17-15-1 vs spread off a loss; they’re 1-1 on road this year, winning late at Cleveland, losing 20-13 at Indy last week. Baltimore is 5-8 in last 13 games as road favorites. Bucs led by 11 in 4th quarter at Superdome last week, couldn’t finish off Saint squad that ran 86 plays for 511 yards; Tampa Bay lost first two home games by total of 8 points; they’re 5-15-1 in last 21 games as home dog, 0-0 under Smith. Ravens have only five TDs on last 11 red zone drives (1 of 3 last week). NFC South teams are 4-8 vs spread in non-division games, 3-2 at home; AFC North teams are 7-3 vs spread out of division, 3-2 on foreign soil. Last three Tampa Bay games went over total.

Chargers (4-1) @ Raiders (0-4) — Tony Sparano takes over as interim coach in Oakland; they’re 0-4, losing only home game 30-14 (+3) to Houston. Raiders lost last 10 games overall; last time they covered was last Thanksgiving- they’ve lost four of last five games with San Diego, with three of four losses by 8+ points. Chargers won eight of last ten visits here, with six of last seven wins by 8+. Bolts won last four games, all by 9+ points, but three of those four were at home. SD’s only road win was 22-10 (+2.5) at Buffalo. Since ’10, Chargers are 5-9 as road favorites; they’ve covered seven of last nine AFC West road games. Raiders were 3-8 as home underdogs under Allen; over last decade, Oakland is 5-14 as a divisional home underdog.

Cowboys (4-1) @ Seahawks (3-1) — Seattle allowed total of 68 rushing yards (37 tries) in last two games; curious to see if Dallas can run on them. Short week for Seattle after Monday night game, long flight home; they’re 14-5 as home favorites under Carroll, 2-0 this year. Much-improved Cowboys are 2-0 on road, beating Titans/Rams- they were down 21-0 in win at St Louis. Dallas is 14-8 as home dogs under Garrett, 1-0 this year. Overall, dogs are 21-12-1 vs spread in Dallas road games in Garrett era. Home side won last six series games; Cowboys lost last three visits here by 3-1-20 points, with last win here in ’04. NFC West teams are 7-7 vs spread out of division, 2-4 as home favorites. NFC East teams are 8-7, 2-2 as road dogs.

Redskins (1-4) @ Cardinals (3-1) — Not sure who plays QB for Redbirds; 3rd-stringer Thomas isn’t NFL-ready, no way I’m laying points if he plays. Washington has long trip west after Monday night loss, when refs tried to help them but couldn’t help enough; they’ve won last eight series games, winning three of last four here- they’re 13-8 in last 21 series games, with all eight losses by 4 or less points. Redskins lost last three games; they’ve scored 17 or less points in three of four losses; they’re 2-6 in last eight games as road underdogs. Arizona lost Campbell last week; they’ve got some injuries on defense; Cardinals are 6-3-1 vs spread at home under Arians, 3-2-1 as home favorite- they’re 2-0 SU at home this year, winning by 1-9 points.

Giants (3-2) @ Eagles (4-1) — Teams split series last three years, after Iggles had won six in row prior to that; Philly won first meeting four of last five years, but Giants are 4-3 in last seven visits here. Giants scored 30-45-30 points in winning last three games after 0-2 start; since 2011, they’re 12-7 as road underdogs, 1-1 this year, losing 35-14 at Detroit, winning big at Washington. Eagles allowed 27+ points in each of last four games; they’re 3-0 at home (2-1 as home favorites) winning by 17-3-6 points, making them 5-6 as home faves under Kelly, 14-21 as home favorites since ’10. Philly allowed 29.3 ppg, 461.3 ypg last three weeks. Giants have been moving chains, converting 20 of last 31 on third down.

49ers (3-2) @ Rams (1-3) — Home team is honoring ’99 Super Bowl champs tonite, current Rams are 4-13-1 in last 18 games vs their rival, losing 35-11/23-13 in two meetings LY, when backup QB Clemens was playing. This year’s backup QB Davis has proven to be more capable starter; Rams scored seven TDs on 22 drives in losing last two games, when they led Dallas 21-0 and finished on 21-0 run at Philly, but in between those two runs they were outscored 68-17—young Rams make too many mistakes. Thru four games, St Louis was penalized 305 yards, their opponents 105. 49ers split last four visits here; they’ve scored only two TDs, six FGs on last eight red zone drives, winning last two games by five points each, after losses to Bears, Cards.

**TheGame** · 10-12-2014, 05:52 AM

Re: NFL Betting Info. Week 6

Total Talk - Week 6
By Chris David
VegasInsider.com

Week 5 Recap

There was a nice balance in the totals market last weekend as the ‘under’ produced an 8-7 record and most of the results were clear-cut winners. Of the 15 games, only two of them changed gears in the second-half and it wasn't exactly outrageous.

New Orleans and Tampa Bay combined for 68 points and 45 of those came in the final two quarters and overtime. This ‘over’ (48) winner was helped with a defensive touchdown and a safety.

Conversely, San Francisco led Kansas City 13-10 at the break and even though that’s not a shootout, the first-half ‘over’ (22.5) connected. In the final two quarters, only 16 points were produced and the ‘under’ (43) connected. The 49ers continue to settle for field goals, and those are killers if you own an ‘over’ ticket.

Make a note that San Francisco has more field goals (11-10) made this season than offensive touchdowns. Other teams that fit this role are the Bills (13-7), Cardinals (11-7), Patriots (13-10) and Vikings (10-9). The Jets (8-8) and Steelers (10-10) have also struggled to put up sixes instead of threes.

Through five weeks of the season, the ‘over’ is 39-37.

Systems Win & Lose

The Seahawks defeated the Redskins 27-17 last Monday and the ‘under’ (45.5) connected. That result ended an incredible run for the total system that we’ve been mentioning for the last three weeks.

For those of you reading “Total Talk” for the first time, we’ll bring you up to speed. All you have to do is find out who played at home the previous Thursday and play the ‘over’ in their next game, regardless of the venue.

Despite the loss on MNF in Week 5, this angle has produced a 17-3-1 record (85%) dating back to last season, which includes a 3-1 mark this season.

The system takes us to South Florida on Sunday with the Dolphins hosting the Packers, who defeated Minnesota 42-10 last Thursday. The total is hovering between 48 ½ and 49 points and I’m not strong on the ‘over’ or ‘under’ for this matchup.

Green Bay can put up points in bunches and it rarely settles for field goals (5) compared to touchdowns (15). However, Dolphins head coach Joe Philbin does know Packers QB Aaron Rodgers well and that makes me believe Miami will try to grind this game out, keep the Pack offense on the sidelines and use the head to their advantage.

Miami is off its bye (see below) and the offense did look sharp in its last game (38-14) albeit against Oakland. The Packers have seen the ‘over’ go 4-1 this season and they’ve had a knack for scoring against the AFC. In their last nine non-conference affairs, Green Bay is averaging 32.2 points per game, which includes a 31-point effort versus the N.Y. Jets in Week 2.

Lastly, I hope you all played the ‘over’ in New Orleans-Tampa Bay last weekend. That total road system has been very solid and it’s now 1-0 this season. It comes back in play three more times in the second-half of the season and I’ll be sure to bring it to your attention!

Off the Bye

Last week was the first time this season that we had teams playing off their bye week, six of them in total.

Cleveland: The Browns rallied for a 29-28 win over the Titans.

St. Louis: The Rams came out flat and couldn’t secure a comeback win at the Eagles, losing 34-28.

Arizona at Denver: Both teams were off the by and the Broncos won 41-20.

Cincinnati: The Bengals didn’t come to play and were blasted 43-17 at New England.

Seattle: The Seahawks dropped the Redskins 27-17 in D.C. on MNF.

It’s still early but if you played the ‘over’ blindly, you would’ve went 4-1. Outside of Seattle, who was a healthy road favorite, the other four road teams all fell behind early and wound up going 2-3, Cleveland joining the ‘Hawks as the lone winners.

The two teams off the bye this week are Miami and Oakland, both playing at home.

Divisional Battles

Week 6 has eight divisional games on tap, six slated for Sunday and one Monday. On Thursday, the Colts held off the Texans for a 33-28 victory.

Pittsburgh at Cleveland: It’s rare to see two teams playing for the second time this early in the season but that’s the case here. In Week 1, the Steelers dropped the Browns 30-27 and the ‘over’ (41) cashed in the third quarter. Prior to this shootout, the ‘under’ was on a 3-0 run in this series. Cleveland has watched the ‘over’ cash in all four of its games and those results are a product of a decent offense and weak defense. The oddsmakers have taken notice and this week’s total is up six points to 47 for the rematch in Ohio. Pittsburgh has seen the ‘under’ go 2-1 on the road and that SNF affair in Carolina which went 'over' was a tad misleading.

Jacksonville at Tennessee: Even though neither team is known as offensive juggernauts, they’re always good for one shootout a season when they square off. The last three seasons, the ‘over/under’ has produced a 1-1 result between the pair which could have me betting the opposite result when they meet again in Week 16.

Detroit at Minnesota: The ‘over’ is on a 4-2 run in this series and that includes a 2-1 run in Minnesota, who used to play indoors. Keep an eye on injuries for this matchup.

New England at Buffalo: This might be the toughest total to handicap this week. The ‘over’ has gone 5-1 in the last six head-to-head meetings yet we’re starting at a total of 45, which is the lowest O/U during this span. The Bills have seen the ‘under’ go 5-0 this season while the Patriots have leaned to the ‘over’ (3-2). A lot of bettors are believers in Tom Brady and it’s hard to bet against him (I’ve been guilty too) but this Buffalo defense is legit. The unit is ranked fourth in points (17.8), eighth in yards allowed (324.8) and they’re tired for first in sacks (17). Winner takes over first place in the AFC East and I’m expecting a tightly contested game.

San Diego at Oakland: The ‘under’ has gone 3-1 in the last four encounters. This number opened 42 ½ and has been pushed up to 43 ½ points at most shops. The Raiders are off the bye and they do have a new coach so you might want to watch and learn more about this team.

N.Y. Giants at Philadelphia: (See Below)

San Francisco at St. Louis: (See Below)

Under the Lights

Through 17 primetime games this season, the ‘over’ has produced a 14-3 record (82%) and that includes the Colts-Texans winning ticket on Thursday. As mentioned last week, this number will balance out and I believe a pair of divisional battles should help the cause this weekend.

N.Y. Giants at Philadelphia: I don’t plan on having a horse in this race but I’d be careful betting the ‘over’ in this game. The number opened 51 and was dropped to 50 at some shops. I would’ve expected a higher total just based on pace as the Eagles (68.2) and Giants (67.8) are ranked in fifth and sixth in plays per game. Plus, the Giants offense is getting rave reviews the last three weeks (105 points), deservingly too. However, even though the Eagles have seen the ‘over’ go 4-1 this season, the offense has scored two touchdowns the last two weeks while the defense and special teams have accounted for five touchdowns. One thing people aren’t talking about is New York’s defense, which has given up 17, 14 and 20 points the last three weeks. The ‘over/under’ is 2-2 in the last four meetings between the pair.

San Francisco at St. Louis: There aren’t many solid trends for this matchup with the total going 2-2 in the last four meetings. It’s hard to make a case for the ‘over’ in this spot just based on the inefficiencies of the 49ers offense (see above), which also has some key injuries (OT, TE). Still, it’s obvious that St. Louis has clearly dropped off defensively (29.8 PPG) through its first four games. To only have one sack in four game is embarrassing, especially after tallying 53 last season. What’s even funnier is that this group was considered to have great depth during training camp. You think Michael Sam is smiling?

Fearless Predictions

Two easy wins, two easy losers last week. After five weeks, the deficit sits at $60. As always, Press, Pass or Fade but in the end – Good Luck!

Best Over: Chicago-Atlanta 54
Best Under: Pittsburgh-Cleveland 47
Best Team Total: Over Chicago 25.5

Three-Team Total Teaser (9-Point, +100)
Over 45 Chicago-Atlanta
Over 38 Seattle-Dallas
Under 52.5 Detroit-Minnesota

**TheGame** · 10-12-2014, 05:53 AM

Re: NFL Betting Info. Week 6

Week 6 Tip Sheet
By Kevin Rogers
VegasInsider.com

Steelers at Browns (-1, 47)

Week 5 Recap:
Pittsburgh has alternated wins and losses in each of the first five games, coming off a 17-9 victory at winless Jacksonville as six-point favorites. The Steelers limited the Jaguars to three field goals, while the pointspread cover came from a fourth quarter interception return for a touchdown, as Pittsburgh improved to 2-1 away from Heinz Field.

Cleveland dug themselves another big hole, but the Browns erased a 28-3 deficit to complete the largest road comeback in NFL history to stun the Titans, 29-28. The Browns blanked Tennessee in the second half, 16-0, while Brian Hoyer connected with Travis Benjamin on a pair of fourth quarter touchdown strikes.

Previous meeting: This is the first rematch of the young NFL season, as the Steelers built a 27-3 halftime advantage over the Browns in Week 1. However, the new “Cardiac Kids” rallied back to tie Pittsburgh at 27-27 early in the fourth quarter, but the Steelers kicked the game-winning field goal in the final seconds to win 30-27 as 5½-point favorites. Pittsburgh has owned Cleveland since 2004, grabbing 19 of the past 21 meetings.

What to watch for: The Browns own a perfect 4-0 mark to the ‘over’ this season, while all four of their games have been decided by three points or less. The Steelers covered five of six games last season against AFC North foes, but have failed to cash in both division contests in 2014.

Lions at Vikings (-2, 43½)

Week 5 Recap:
Detroit suffered a devastating loss last week at home to Buffalo, blowing a 14-0 lead to the Bills in a 17-14 defeat as 4½-point favorites. The defeat snapped a two-game winning streak for the Lions, while they lost their first game at Ford Field in three tries this season. Star receiver Calvin Johnson exited the game with only one catch and a sprained ankle and is doubtful for Sunday’s game at Minnesota.

The Vikings were blown out from the opening kickoff at Green Bay, falling to the Packers, 42-10. Christian Ponder took over for the injured Teddy Bridgewater at quarterback, as Ponder threw a pair of interceptions while digging the Vikings into a 28-0 hole at the half. In three losses this season, Minnesota has put up a total of 26 points.

Previous meeting: The home team won each matchup last season, as the Vikings edged the Lions in the season finale, 14-13 at the Metrodome as 2½-point underdogs. The Lions have lost four of the past five visits to Minnesota, but this will be their first outdoor matchup at TCF Bank Stadium.

What to watch for: Minnesota is listed as a home favorite for the first time this season, as the Vikings own a 3-8-1 ATS record since 2011 in this role. The Lions have lost nine of their last 13 games away from Ford Field, but have compiled a 5-2 SU/ATS record in their past seven contests against division opponents.

Packers (-3, 49) at Dolphins

Week 5 Recap:
Green Bay ripped apart Minnesota last Thursday night, 42-10 to easily cash as 8½-point home favorites. The Packers have scored 70 points the last two games after getting held to seven points at Detroit in Week 3. Aaron Rodgers tossed three touchdown passes and took the foot off the pedal by throwing for just 156 yards in the win over the Vikings.

The Dolphins were off in Week 5, but dominated the Raiders in London two weeks ago, 38-14 to cover as four-point favorites and even their record at 2-2. Miami created four turnovers, while scoring the most points in a game since back in 2009 against Buffalo.

Previous meeting: Miami knocked off Green Bay in overtime at Lambeau Field, 23-20 in 2010 as three-point road underdogs. The Packers tied the game late in regulation with a Rodgers touchdown run, but the Dolphins kicked the winning field goal in overtime to win on the road in this series for the first time since 1994.

What to watch for: The Dolphins have compiled a terrific 7-1 ATS record as a home underdog under Joe Philbin, facing the Packers for the first time since working with them as an assistant coach from 2003-2011. Green Bay has thrived in the role of a road favorite since the start of last season, posting a 4-1 SU/ATS mark, including a Week 4 blowout of Chicago.

Panthers at Bengals (-6½, 43½)

Week 5 Recap:
Carolina bounced back from a pair of lousy performances against Pittsburgh and Baltimore, as the Panthers erased a 21-7 deficit to stun the Bears, 31-24 as 1½-point home favorites. The Panthers took advantage of four turnovers, while limiting Chicago to just three points in the second half.

The Bengals suffered their first loss of the season, a 43-17 beatdown at the hands of the Patriots. Cincinnati fell behind 14-0 out of the gate and played behind the entire night, while falling to 1-5 ATS in the past six opportunities as a road favorite.

Previous meeting: Cincinnati cruised past Carolina in September 2010 by a 20-7 count as three-point road favorites. The Panthers finished that season at 2-14, as Carolina gained just 267 yards to suffer its third straight loss to begin that campaign. Carolina is making its first visit to Cincinnati since losing to the Bengals, 17-14 in 2006.

What to watch for: The Panthers have fared well when receiving points on the road, cashing in eight of the past 10 chances in this role since 2012. Carolina has lost six straight games to AFC North foes, but four of those losses did occur in the dreadful season of 2010. The Bengals will likely be without top receiver A.J. Green due to a toe injury, but they are back in their comfort zone at home, where Cincinnati has won 11 straight regular season contests at Paul Brown Stadium (11-0 ATS).

Bears at Falcons (-3, 54½)

Week 5 Recap:
Chicago squandered a two-touchdown advantage in a 31-24 loss at Carolina, the second straight loss for the Bears since starting the season at 2-1. The Bears are winless at home, but have won two of three games away from Soldier Field, while scoring at least 24 points in all three road contests (3-0 to ‘over’).

The Falcons return home following consecutive road losses to the Vikings and Giants, while blowing a 20-10 lead in last Sunday’s 30-20 setback at New York. Atlanta fell to 0-3 away from the Georgia Dome, while giving up 71 points in the past two weeks.

Previous meeting: The Bears crushed the Falcons to kick off the 2011 season, 30-12 as one-point home underdogs. The home team has won each of the past four matchups since 2005, while each of the past two contests in Atlanta have finished ‘under’ the total.

What to watch for: The Falcons put up 93 points in their first two home victories over the Saints and Buccaneers. This is the lone home game in a five-week stretch for Atlanta, who doesn’t return to the Georgia Dome until November 23 against Cleveland. The Bears have covered just four of their 12 underdog opportunities under Marc Trestman, while going 2-2 ATS this season in that role.

**TheGame** · 10-13-2014, 09:48 AM

Re: NFL Betting Info. Week 6

MNF - 49ers at Rams
By Kevin Rogers
VegasInsider.com

The NFC West race continues to stay interesting through the first six weeks, but the favorites to win the division, the Seahawks and 49ers, are currently behind the 4-1 Cardinals. There is still a long way to go, but Arizona isn’t letting up after a surprising 10-6 season in 2013.

San Francisco tries to move into second place all by themselves with a victory tonight at St. Louis to wrap up Week 6 of the NFL season. The 49ers have seen their ups and downs through five games with a 3-2 record, while opening up a brand new stadium in Santa Clara after 42 seasons at Candlestick Park. Jim Harbaugh’s team blew a 20-7 fourth quarter lead to Chicago in the debut at Levi’s Stadium in Week 2, falling 27-20. But, the Niners have protected their home field in the past two weeks with five-point victories over the Eagles and Chiefs.

After not allowing an offensive touchdown in a 26-21 comeback win over Philadelphia, the San Francisco defense stepped once again in a 22-17 triumph over old friend Alex Smith and the Chiefs. The Niners covered as 4½-point favorites, while converting three Phil Dawson field goals in the second half to grind out their third win of the season. The San Francisco defense stepped up by limiting Kansas City to 14 first downs and 265 yards of offense.

The Rams enter tonight’s action trying to sure up its defense after giving up 34 points in each of the past two losses to the Cowboys and Eagles. Granted, those two NFC East clubs are a combined 10-2 on the season, but St. Louis squandered a 21-0 lead against Dallas in a Week 3 home loss to fall 34-31. Rookie quarterback Austin Davis is now the man under center since Sam Bradford ripped up his ACL in the preseason, as the former Southern Mississippi standout threw three touchdown passes against the Cowboys, but was also picked off twice.

St. Louis had to play the role of the team digging out of the hole last Sunday at Philadelphia, falling behind the red-hot Eagles, 34-7 in third quarter. The money flowed in on the Rams, dropping the line from seven to 3½, so all that sharp money seemed pretty flat. However, Davis led the Rams’ rally with three touchdown drives in an 11-minute span to get St. Louis within 34-28 with less than five minutes remaining. However, several Rams receivers dropped key passes on their final drive, which would have given St. Louis a miraculous comeback, but it fell short and dropped its record to 1-3.

Two seasons ago, when the 49ers played in the Super Bowl, San Francisco didn’t beat St. Louis in two meetings, losing at the Edward James Dome and tying the Rams at Candlestick Park. Harbaugh’s team picked up revenge in 2013 with a pair of double-digit victories over St. Louis, including a dominating 35-11 rout in Eastern Missouri on a September Thursday night as three-point road favorites. The Rams were limited to 188 yards of offense, while Frank Gore ran all over St. Louis with 153 yards, including a 34-yard touchdown scamper late in the first half to give San Francisco a 14-3 lead.

In spite of last season’s victory at the Edward Jones Dome, the Niners have split the last four visits to St. Louis since 2010, while San Francisco is just 2-5 SU/ATS in their past seven road games against NFC West foes. But, Harbaugh’s squad is a solid bet as an away favorite since the start of the 2013 season, posting a 7-1-1 ATS record, with the lone setback coming at Arizona in Week 3.

Jeff Fisher’s squad is winless in two home contests this season after closing out 2013 with three consecutive victories on their turf. The Rams could be in major trouble (if they aren’t already) ahead with Seattle coming to town next week, followed by this fun gauntlet on the road of Kansas City, San Francisco, and Arizona in three straight weeks. Oh, then the Broncos invade the Edward Jones Dome in Week 11 followed by a trip to San Diego.

Just to kick the Rams while their down, this is their first division contest of the season. St. Louis compiled a 1-5 SU/ATS record against their division rivals last season, with the lone victory coming in Week 1 against Arizona erasing an 11-point second half deficit in a 27-24 win as 3 ½-point favorites.

The primetime games have leaned towards the ‘over’ this season, in spite of the ‘under’ in the Eagles/Giants game last night. Through 18 night contests, the ‘over’ has cashed 14 times, including a 4-2 mark on Mondays. Is there any good news for the Rams tonight? Underdogs are 4-2 ATS on Monday nights this season, while home ‘dogs are 3-2 ATS in primetime action.

From a totals perspective, the 49ers have cashed the ‘under’ in three straight games and own a 4-1 ‘under’ mark this season. The Rams hit the ‘under’ in the first two weeks, but have seen the ‘over’ cash in the past two high-scoring contests. In the last six divisional matchups at home, St. Louis is 4-2 to the ‘under.’

San Francisco is currently a three-point favorite at most spots, but expect that number to jump to 3½ by kick off as bettors need to lay at least -120 at several books if you want to get the 3. The total sits between 43 ½ and 44, which is actually the highest number the Niners have had in a road NFC West matchup under Harbaugh. The game kicks off at 8:25 PM EST and can be seen on ESPN.

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NFL Betting Info. Week 6

NFL Betting Info. Week 6

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