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NFL Betting Info. Week 8

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  • NFL Betting Info. Week 8

    NFL Week 8 First Look
    By Stephen Nover

    Here are my early thoughts on the NFL Week 8 card:

    Chargers-Broncos (Thursday): Have to sift through the injury situation the Chargers have in their secondary, but no team has played the Broncos tougher in Denver recently than San Diego. The Chargers are 8-0-1 in their last nine visits to Denver. In last year's regular season game in Denver, the Chargers held the Broncos to a season low in points and yards in winning, 27-20. Denver averaged 24 points in three games against San Diego last season.

    Lions-Falcons (London): The Falcons have a horrible defense and their beat-up offensive line can't protect Matt Ryan. The Lions have been winning with defense not offense. Detroit seems to have more poise and discipline under Jim Caldwell. I'm not expecting Calvin Johnson to play with the Lions having a bye the following week.

    Vikings-Buccaneers: Lovie's been a disaster. I can't stand coaches who install their system no matter what the personnel and talent is. That's not the mark of a good coach. Hard to get behind the Vikings either. Teddy Bridgewater is breaking in the hard way behind a bad offensive line and not having much weapons.

    Bears-Patriots: The Bears are bickering. Taking to the road may be the best thing for them. They are 3-1 SU and ATS away from home. The Patriots gave up 218 yards rushing to the Jets last week and rushed for only 63. That was their first game without Jerod Mayo and Stevan Ridley.

    Rams-Chiefs: Jeff Fisher is may be the best 'dog coach when it comes to outright stealing a game with trickery. That's what he did against the Seahawks yesterday. The vastly superior Seahawks outgained the Rams by 191 yards, had more first downs and longer time of possession. But Fisher's special teams caught the Seahawks with their pants down numerous times to pull out a victory. I don't think the Rams contain Jamaal Charles and the Chiefs won't be sleeping on special teams.

    Seahawks-Panthers: I'm not sure the Seahawks were as focused as they should have been against the Rams because of the Percy Harvin trade. The Seahawks have some punk rather than professional in them. It starts with Pete Carroll. The Panthers are paying the price for not paying the price to sign good defensive backs. They have allowed 38, 30, 24, 37 and 38 points in their last five games.

    Bills-Jets: Well at least now the Bills won't have to keep figuring out how to use C.J. Spiller. I'm not a Kyle Orton fan, but E.J. Manuel could not have made that winning touchdown pass against the Vikings.

    Dolphins-Jaguars: I'm thinking under here. The Jaguars held the Browns to 69 yards rushing on 30 carries and the Dolphins befuddled Jay Cutler at Solider Field. Blake Bortles isn't Blaine Gabbert nor Chad Henne, but he does have 12 turnovers in his first four starts.

    Texans-Titans: Have to wait on this one. The Texans have covered five of the last six in the series, including the past three in Tennessee. Early word is that Jake Locker will be ready to start.

    Ravens-Bengals: The Ravens are playing much better than the Bengals, but I'm not going to discount the Bengals' 10-0-1 SU, 10-1 ATS mark in their last 11 home games plus possibly getting back A.J. Green this week.

    Eagles-Cardinals: The Eagles are perceived as good, but they have been out-gained on the season. The Cardinals have won 12 of their last 15 games.

    Colts-Steelers: We knew Andrew Luck was good. But is Indy's defense good, too? T.Y. Hilton has the second most receiving yards in the NFL right now.

    Raiders-Browns: The Browns were caught in a bad spot yesterday against the Jaguars. No excuses for them if they lose at home to the Raiders.

    Packers-Saints: Aaron Rodgers is on an insane 17-to-0 touchdown-to-interception ratio since Week 2.

    Redskins-Cowboys (Monday): The Redskins will need the Robert Griffin III of old to keep up with Dallas. I just hope the Redskins have stopped putting out trading feelers for Kirk Cousins. That's more offensive to me than their team nickname.

  • #2
    Re: NFL Betting Info. Week 8

    Betting Recap - Week 7
    VegasInsider.com

    Biggest Favorite to Cash

    Most betting shops closed Baltimore and Green Bay as seven-point home favorites and they both won and covered, rather easily too. The Ravens stifled the Falcons 29-7 while the Packers crushed the Panthers 38-17 in wire-to-wire fashion.

    Biggest Underdog to Cash

    St. Louis (+7) used trick plays to hold off Seattle 28-26. The Rams were listed as high as +250 (Bet $100 to win $250) on the money-line. It was the second straight loss for the Seahawks as healthy favorites.

    Home Sweet Home

    After watching the road teams dominate in Week 6, the hosts bounced back win an 8-1 SU mark in the early games. The lone road team to win in the early action on Sunday was Miami, who diced up Chicago 27-14 as a three-point road underdog.

    The visitors bounced back in the afternoon as Kansas City (+3) defeated San Diego 23-20 with a late field goal and Arizona (-3.5) stopped Oakland 24-13.

    Winning yet Losing

    Including Thursday's outcome between the Patriots and Jets, the point-spread mattered in four games this week. New England, Washington, Buffalo and Detroit all won as favorites but they failed to cover the number.

    The Bills were the most fortunate to win as they defeated Minnesota 17-16 on a touchdown reception with 1 second left in the game.

    No Longer Winless

    Jacksonville opened as a three-point underdog against Cleveland in Week 7 and the line had jumped all the way up to six points this week. On Sunday morning, the Jaguars received money and they closed as four-point home underdogs. The 0-6 club finally cashed as Jacksonville defeated the Browns 24-6 with a great defensive effort. Cleveland had 266 yards of total offense and was 4-of-17 (23%) on third down.

    Same Old Raiders

    Oakland lost a tough 31-28 decision to San Diego at home in Week 6. Despite the setback, the Raiders received attention at the betting counter in Week 7 and those bettors were fooled. Oakland couldn't run the ball at all quarterback Derek Carr looked like a rookie again as the Cardinals defeated the Raiders 24-13 as three-point road favorites. Oakland is now 0-6 SU and 2-4 ATS.

    Hot and Not

    Indianapolis has won and covered five straight games.

    Green Bay has won and covered four in a row and the 'over' has also cashed in all of these games.

    Atlanta has gone 0-4 both SU and ATS in its last four games, losing all four games by double digits.

    Totals

    Week 6 watched the 'over' go 10-5 and those results could've been different if it wasn't for some wild outcomes.

    In Week 7, bettors saw the opposite occur on Sunday as the 'under' produced a 8-4 record through the first 12 games.

    Buffalo improved its 'under' record to 6-1 with another defensive gem at home.

    Green Bay (6-1) and New Orleans (5-1) both leaned to the 'over' again.

    Denver (5-1) dropped San Francisco (4-3) by a 42-17 score, as the Broncos saw the 'over' cash for a third straight game. And the 'over' is now 17-4 in 21 prime time games so far this season.

    Comment


    • #3
      Re: NFL Betting Info. Week 8

      Detroit at Atlanta, 9:30 AM ET
      Detroit: 7-21 ATS in road games after 2 or more consecutive wins
      Atlanta: 0-7 ATS in road games in the first half of the season


      Minnesota at Tampa Bay, 1:00 ET
      Minnesota: 14-5 ATS after playing their last game on the road
      Tampa Bay: 10-22 ATS in home games after a playing a game where 50 total points or more were scored


      Chicago at New England, 1:00 ET
      Chicago: 25-43 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games
      New England: 55-36 ATS after having won 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games


      St Louis at Kansas City, 1:00 ET
      St Louis: 2-11 ATS after allowing 400 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games
      Kansas City: 29-14 ATS in home games in non-conference games


      Seattle at Carolina, 1:00 ET
      Seattle: 18-6 ATS after a road game where both teams scored 24 or more points
      Carolina: 79-55 ATS after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread


      Buffalo at NY Jets, 1:00 ET
      Buffalo: 31-15 ATS after a win by 3 or less points
      New York: 3-13 ATS off a road cover where the team lost as an underdog


      Miami at Jacksonville, 1:00 ET
      Miami: 10-27 ATS after a game with a turnover margin of +3 or better
      Jacksonville: 5-15 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points


      Houston at Tennessee, 1:00 ET
      Houston: 1-9 ATS after playing their last game on the road
      Tennessee: 6-16 ATS in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points


      Baltimore at Cincinnati, 1:00 ET
      Baltimore: 60-39 UNDER off a home win
      Cincinnati: 10-2 ATS in home games


      Philadelphia at Arizona, 4:05 ET
      Philadelphia: 7-0 ATS in road games when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest
      Arizona: 40-22 OVER after covering the spread in 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games


      Indianapolis at Pittsburgh, 4:25 ET
      Indianapolis: 6-0 ATS as a road favorite
      Pittsburgh: 60-36 ATS in weeks 5 through 9


      Oakland at Cleveland, 4:25 ET
      Oakland: 26-13 ATS in road games off a non-conference game
      Cleveland: 50-28 UNDER after being outrushed by 75 or more yards last game


      Green Bay at New Orleans, 8:30 ET
      Green Bay: 77-51 ATS after having won 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games
      New Orleans: 10-24 ATS in home games after having lost 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games


      Washington at Dallas, 8:30 ET
      Washington: 4-13 ATS as an underdog
      Dallas: 8-1 OVER after 2 or more consecutive wins

      Comment


      • #4
        Re: NFL Betting Info. Week 8

        DETROIT vs. ATLANTA
        Detroit is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
        The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games
        Atlanta is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
        Atlanta is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games


        SEATTLE vs. CAROLINA
        The total has gone OVER in 5 of Seattle's last 7 games
        Seattle is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games on the road
        Carolina is 8-2-1 ATS in its last 11 games at home
        The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Carolina's last 13 games at home


        CHICAGO vs. NEW ENGLAND
        Chicago is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games
        The total has gone OVER in 8 of Chicago's last 11 games
        New England is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
        The total has gone OVER in 4 of New England's last 5 games


        MINNESOTA vs. TAMPA BAY
        Minnesota is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
        Minnesota is 1-11-1 SU in its last 13 games ,on the road
        The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games
        The total has gone OVER in 7 of Tampa Bay's last 10 games when playing Minnesota


        HOUSTON vs. TENNESSEE
        The total has gone OVER in 5 of Houston's last 7 games when playing Tennessee
        Houston is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Tennessee
        Tennessee is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
        Tennessee is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games


        ST. LOUIS vs. KANSAS CITY
        St. Louis is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
        The total has gone OVER in 4 of St. Louis's last 5 games
        The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kansas City's last 6 games
        Kansas City is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games


        BUFFALO vs. NY JETS
        The total has gone OVER in 5 of Buffalo's last 6 games when playing on the road against NY Jets
        Buffalo is 1-5 SU in their last 6 games when playing on the road against NY Jets
        NY Jets are 0-5 SU in their last 5 games
        NY Jets are 7-2 SU in their last 9 games when playing Buffalo


        MIAMI vs. JACKSONVILLE
        Miami is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
        The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 6 games on the road
        The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Jacksonville's last 15 games at home
        Jacksonville is 2-8-1 ATS in its last 11 games at home


        BALTIMORE vs. CINCINNATI
        Baltimore is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati
        The total has gone OVER in 4 of Baltimore's last 6 games on the road
        The total has gone OVER in 6 of Cincinnati's last 9 games at home
        Cincinnati11-1-1 SU in its last 13 games at home


        PHILADELPHIA vs. ARIZONA
        Philadelphia is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Arizona
        The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 6 games
        Arizona is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Philadelphia
        Arizona is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games


        INDIANAPOLIS vs. PITTSBURGH
        Indianapolis is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
        Indianapolis is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
        Pittsburgh is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games
        The total has gone OVER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 7 games when playing at home against Indianapolis


        OAKLAND vs. CLEVELAND
        Oakland is 0-4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland
        Oakland is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
        Cleveland is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
        Cleveland is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home


        GREEN BAY vs. NEW ORLEANS
        Green Bay is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
        The total has gone OVER in 6 of Green Bay's last 7 games
        The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Orleans's last 5 games when playing at home against Green Bay
        The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans's last 6 games


        WASHINGTON vs. DALLAS
        Washington is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
        Washington is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
        The total has gone OVER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games
        The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Dallas's last 11 games when playing Washington

        Comment


        • #5
          Re: NFL Betting Info. Week 8

          Chargers at Broncos
          By Kevin Rogers
          VegasInsider.com

          The top two teams in the AFC West face off in Denver on Thursday night in a key divisional showdown for the upper-hand halfway through the season. The Chargers invade Sports Authority Field just one half-game behind the Broncos in their first meeting since Denver bounced San Diego from the playoffs last January.

          Before we look back at that divisional playoff contest, the Broncos (5-1) are still riding a high after Peyton Manning broke Brett Favre’s all-time touchdown record in a 42-17 rout of the 49ers. Denver easily cashed as 6 ½-point favorites to improve to 4-0 at home, which includes three victories over playoff teams from last season (Indianapolis, Kansas City, San Francisco). Manning tosses four touchdown passes, marking the fifth time this season the Denver quarterback has thrown at least three touchdowns in a game.

          The Chargers (5-2) were tripped up at home by the Chiefs last Sunday as San Diego’s five-game winning streak got snapped. In spite of that hot stretch, money initially came in on Kansas City, who opened as five-point underdogs, as that number dropped to three by kickoff. The Chargers led, 14-10 at halftime, but the Chiefs ran off 10 unanswered points in the third quarter to grab a 20-14 advantage. After the Lightning Bolts tied the game at 20-20, the Chiefs took the lead for good with a 48-yard field goal in the final minute to knock off San Diego, 23-20. The loss ended a six-game home winning streak over the Chiefs that dated back to 2008.

          These division rivals met up three times last season, as the Broncos took two of the three matchups. In the regular season, Denver jumped out to a 28-6 lead at Qualcomm Stadium in November 2013, before the Chargers rallied late with a couple of touchdowns. The Broncos held on for a 28-20 triumph to cover as seven-point favorites, as Manning torched the Chargers’ secondary for four touchdowns. The Chargers avenged that home loss one month later as 10-point road underdogs in a 27-20 upset at Sports Authority Field. San Diego held the ball for nearly 39 minutes, while limiting the Broncos to just 18 yards rushing.

          Denver and San Diego would lock horns again in the divisional playoff round after the Chargers knocked out the Bengals in the Wild Card round. The Broncos held off the Chargers, 24-17 to advance to the AFC Title game, as Denver built a 24-7 fourth quarter edge. San Diego scored 10 late points to cash as 8-point underdogs, finishing last season at 5-1-1 ATS in the road ‘dog role. All three meetings finished ‘under’ the total, but all three totals were totally inflated at 56, 56 ½, and 55.

          This season, Mike McCoy’s squad owns a perfect 3-0 SU/ATS record as an underdog, while being listed in this role for the first time since Week 3 at Buffalo. Prior to the Kansas City loss, the Chargers cleaned up on plenty of garbage, beating the Jaguars, Jets, and Raiders in three consecutive weeks, as those clubs have combined for just two wins this season.

          Denver is riding a three-game ‘over’ streak, while finishing ‘over’ the total in three of four home contests this season. Thursday’s contest will be just the second time that John Fox’s team has a total above 50, as the season opener against the Colts barely went ‘over’ 53 as the Broncos won, 31-24. Denver has gone ‘under’ the total in five of the past six games dating back to last season with a total of 50 or higher.

          Since Manning arrived in Denver in 2012, the Broncos have won 13 of 14 games against division foes, while posting an 8-5-1 ATS record. The Chargers have put together a 7-4 SU and 8-3 ATS record on the road within the AFC West since 2010, including an impressive 6-0 ATS mark as an underdog.

          The ‘over’ continues to be on fire in primetime action, hitting in 18 of 22 games this season. This is by far the best Thursday night matchup as plenty of these games have been disappointing, as favorites have posted a 5-2 SU/ATS record in these contests, while the home clubs own the same 5-2 SU/ATS mark.

          The Broncos are listed as eight-point home favorites, while that number continues to creep up after opening up at seven on Sunday night. The total sits at 51 ½, the highest total on a Thursday night game this season. The game kicks off at 8:25 PM EST and can be seen on CBS and the NFL Network.

          Comment

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