NFL Betting Info. Week 10

[TheGame]

Browns at Bengals
By Kevin Rogers
VegasInsider.com

All four teams in the AFC North have won at least five games this season. To put that in perspective, not one club in the NFC South has more than four victories. Two of the AFC North’s oldest rivals meet up in Cincinnati on Thursday night to kick off the Week 10 card, as the Bengals look to keep up their winning ways at Paul Brown Stadium.

Cincinnati (5-2-1) jumped out to a 3-0 start, but a winless three week stretch bumped the Bengals out of first place in the AFC North. Marvin Lewis’ team has rebounded of late with consecutive home victories over the Ravens and Jaguars to take back the lead in the division by percentage points over the Steelers (who Cincinnati hasn’t played yet). In this past Sunday’s 33-23 triumph over Jacksonville as 10-point favorites, the Bengals were in control for most of the way until the Jaguars trimmed the deficit to three points with eight minutes remaining. Jeremy Hill broke off a 60-yard touchdown run on the next play from scrimmage to give Cincinnati the 10-point advantage to improve to 4-0-1 at home.

The expectations on the Browns were once again to be in the cellar of this competitive division, but first-year head coach Mike Pettine has Cleveland in the thick of the race at 5-3. Looking deeper into the schedule, some may claim that the Browns have cleaned up on some of the league’s garbage, beating the Titans, Raiders, and Buccaneers over the last month, while getting tripped up by the previously winless Jaguars three weeks ago as a road favorite.

Cleveland held off Tampa Bay last Sunday, 22-17, but failed to cash as seven-point home favorites. These two clubs went back-and-forth as the Bucs held a 17-16 advantage in the third quarter, but the Browns went ahead for good in the fourth quarter on a Brian Hoyer touchdown pass to Taylor Gabriel. Cleveland rushed for just 50 yards against Tampa Bay, a slight improvement after putting up 39 yards on the ground in the previous victory over Oakland.

The home team has won eight of the past nine meetings in this series since 2009, as the Browns and Bengals split their two matchups last season. Cleveland tripped up Cincinnati as 3 ½-point underdogs, 17-6 last September, as Hoyer tossed a pair of touchdowns and threw for 269 yards in the win.

The Bengals returned the favor in the next matchup at Paul Brown Stadium in November by delivering a 41-21 thumping to cash as 4 ½-point favorites. Cleveland jumped out to a 13-0 lead, but Cincinnati responded with a 31-point spot in the second quarter, which included a defensive score and a blocked punt returned for a touchdown. Andy Dalton didn’t even reach triple-digits in yards (97), but threw three touchdown passes as the Bengals have won five straight home contests with the Browns since 2009.

VegasInsider.com handicapper Joe Nelson said this game can be won on the ground, “In terms of rushing yards allowed per game Cleveland and Cincinnati rank 30th and 31st respectively in the league as it seems likely that both teams will aim to attack on the ground Thursday night.” In Cincinnati’s two losses, the Bengals gave up 220 yards to the Patriots and yielded 171 yards at Indianapolis.

Nelson highlights Cleveland’s easy slate so far, but there is plenty of work to do for the postseason, “The Browns have not exactly played a difficult schedule at this point in the season as four of the last five games have come against teams that are 2-6 or worse, but the Browns will have winnable games the next three weeks (Houston, Atlanta, Buffalo) as well as this could really be a playoff team.”

Cincinnati’s domination at home extends back to 2013, as the Bengals have won 12 of their past 13 regular season contests. The lone blemish wasn’t even a loss, instead a 37-37 tie against Carolina back in Week 6, as Cincinnati owns a terrific 11-1-1 ATS record in this span. Obviously this is a key division battle, but if the Bengals can win, they would improve to 3-0 inside the AFC North as Cincinnati faces Pittsburgh twice in the final four weeks of the season.

Cleveland has taken care of business at home with a 4-1 record, but has struggled on the highway by dropping two of three road contests. The Browns fell behind the Steelers in the season opener, 27-3 at halftime before rallying to tie the game at 27-27 in the fourth. Pittsburgh eventually kicked the game-winning field goal, but the Browns managed a cover as 5½-point underdogs. The Browns needed to dig out of another major hole at Tennessee four weeks later, erasing a 28-3 deficit to shock the Titans, 29-28 in the biggest regular season road comeback in NFL history.

From a totals perspective, there is no advantage either way as both Cleveland and Cincinnati are each 4-4 to the ‘over.’ Five of the past six meetings have gone ‘over’ the total, including three straight at Paul Brown Stadium. Cincinnati started the season with three consecutive ‘unders,’ but the Bengals are currently on a 4-1 run to the ‘over.’ The Browns have been streaky in the totals department, cashing four straight ‘unders’ to begin the season, followed by four consecutive ‘overs.’

The Bengals are currently listed as six-point home favorites at most books, with several 6½’s hanging out there. The total is set at 44½, as temperatures are expected to be in the mid 40’s with a 30% chance of showers. The game kicks off at 8:25 PM and can be seen on the NFL Network.

[TheGame]

Re: NFL Betting Info. Week 10

CLEVELAND (5 - 3) at CINCINNATI (5 - 2 - 1) - 11/6/2014, 8:25 PM

Top Trends for this game.
CINCINNATI is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in home games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in home games in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 63-89 ATS (-34.9 Units) versus division opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 2-1 against the spread versus CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
CINCINNATI is 2-2 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


CLEVELAND vs. CINCINNATI
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cleveland's last 6 games when playing Cincinnati
Cleveland is 5-14 SU in its last 19 games when playing Cincinnati
Cincinnati is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Cleveland
Cincinnati is 12-2-1 ATS in its last 15 games at home


Cleveland at Cincinnati
Cleveland: 12-3 OVER (+8.7 Units) in road games after gaining 75 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games
Cincinnati: 63-89 ATS (-34.9 Units) versus division opponents

[TheGame]

Re: NFL Betting Info. Week 10

NFL Week 10

Browns (5-3) @ Bengals (5-2-1) — Cincy is 12-1-1 vs spread in last 14 home games, 9-1-1 in last 11 as home favorite; they won five of last seven series games, with home side winning last five. Browns lost last five visits here, losing by 9-2-3-7-21 points. Bengals scored 27-33 points in winning last two games; they’ve scored 20+ points in second half in three of last four games. Browns are 4-1 since their bye, 2-0 as road underdogs; only one of their three losses was by more than a FG. NFL-wide, home favorites in divisional games are 9-13 vs spread; dogs are 4-2 in AFC North games this season. Cleveland has eight takeaways (+8) in its last three games. Four of last five Bengal games went over total; last four Cleveland games stayed under.

[TheGame]

Re: NFL Betting Info. Week 10

NFL Week 10

Cowboys (6-3) vs Jaguars (1-8) (London) — Romo made trip across pond, figures to play after Weeden was 18-33/174 in dismal home loss to Arizona last week (Bryant’s first catch came with 1:55 left). Jaguars haven’t led at halftime since Week 1; in last five games, they’ve been outscored 48-26 in first half. Jags are 2-6-1 vs spread this season, 1-3-1 as road underdogs, 5-7-1 in 1.5 years under Bradley. Dallas is 11-29-1 as a favorite under Garrett, 4-7-1 on road; last week was first time this year Murray ran for less than 100 yards. Cowboys lost last two games after 6-1 start; they’re 2-3 overall vs Jaguars, with four of five games played in Dallas. NFC East non-divisional favorites are 5-5 vs spread; AFC South underdogs are 5-7. Four of last five Jax games stayed under.

Dolphins (5-3) @ Lions (6-2) — Detroit won last three games before its bye, last two by one point each; they were down 21-0 last game, 23-10 with 4:00 left in game before that, so they’re finding ways to win and now they expect back Johnson/Bush back for this game, with Bush facing old team. Miami also won its last three games, thrashing San Diego 27-0 last week; they’ve won last three road games, all by 13+ points and won five of last six games with Lions, but last visit to Motor City was in ’06. Miami is 5-3 in its last eight games as a road underdog. Detroit is 2-2 as a home favorite in ’14. AFC East non-divisional underdogs are 6-4 vs spread; NFC North home favorites are 3-5. Last seven Lion games, last three Miami games stayed under total.

Chiefs (5-3) @ Bills (5-3) — Chiefs are 3-0 since their bye, scoring 27 ppg; they’ve covered last seven games, are 2-2 SU on road, losing to Broncos/49ers. KC lost five of last seven games vs Buffalo, but won fluky 23-13 game (-4) here LY; they were outgained 470-210, but were +3 in turnovers, with two of three miscues run back for Chief TDs. Not many NFL teams run for 241 yards and lose, but Bills did that day. Bills won three of last four games before their bye, with two wins in last minute; they’re 2-2 SU at home, 3-1 with Orton the starting QB. Buffalo has 17 sacks in its last four games, Chiefs have 15. AFC West non-divisional favorites are 7-3 vs spread; AFC East underdogs are 6-4. Last four Chief games, six of eight Buffalo tilts stayed under.

49ers (4-4) @ Saints (4-4) — 49ers lost last two games, scoring three TD’s on 23 drives; their 3.8 points/red zone drive is worst in NFL (eight empty trips out of 25, only 11 TDs). Niners are 2-2 on road, with three of those games (2-1) in dome; they’re 4-0 when scoring 22+ points, 0-4 when scoring less. NO had extra time to prep after Thursday win in Carolina; they’re 3-0 at home, winning by 11-6-21 points while scoring 33.7 ppg (12 TD’s/29 drives). Saints won seven of last nine series games, with three of last four decided by 4 or less points; Niners lost five of last six series games here, plus they also lost Super Bowl to the Ravens on this field- they’re 6-4-1 as road underdogs under Harbaugh, 0-1 this year. Six of eight 49er games stayed under total.

Titans (2-6) @ Ravens (5-4) — First road start for rookie QB Mettenberger (27-41/290 in first start, 30-16 home loss to Houston); Titans are 2-2 as road underdogs, losing by 26-24-2 points. Since ’06, they’re 26-19 as road dogs. Ravens gave up 70 points in losing last two games to AFC North rivals; they’re 3-1 as home favorites this year, winning last three at home by 20-28-22 points. Baltimore only has one division game left; they’re 3-1 vs spread outside division. Last 10+ years, Ravens are 28-13-1 as non-divisional home favorite (12-14-1 in division). Road team won four of last six series games, with Titans winning last two visits here, but last one was in ’08. Over is 4-1 in last five Tennessee games, 5-2 in last seven Baltimore games.

Steelers (6-3) @ Jets (1-8) — Big Ben is first-ever QB to throw 12 TD passes in two-game span, but Steelers are 2-2 away from home, scoring 17 or less in three of four games, only one of which (26-6 loss in Baltimore) was on carpet. Since ’09, Pitt is 8-11-1 vs spread on artificial turf. Steelers are 19-4 overall vs Jets, winning last three by 5-17-13 points. Gang Green lost last eight games; they’re lost at QB, using Matt Simms for while last week. Jets forced only three turnovers all year, none in last four games (-8). Last six series games played here, average total was 22.6. Last three Steeler games, three of last four Jet games went over the total. Weird things happen in NFL, but if you bet Jets in this game, you’re a masochist.

Falcons (2-6) @ Buccaneers (1-7) — Atlanta is 9-3 in last 12 series games, last of which was 56-14 (-6.5) pounding in Week 3 Thursday tilt, last game Glennon didn’t start for Bucs. Falcons had punt return for TD, a defensive score and three TD drives of less than 40 yards in game that was 35-nil at half- they’re 3-2 in last five visits here, with three of last four decided by 4 or less points. Last week was first time Bucs led at half; they’ve been blanked in four of eight first halves, are 0-4 at home, scoring 17 or less points in all four games. Last three Atlanta games stayed under total; they’re 1-7-1 vs spread in last nine NFC South road games. Bucs been more competitive since their bye, losing in OT to Vikings, 22-17 in Cleveland last week.

Broncos (6-2) @ Raiders (0-8) — Denver is 6-1 vs spread in game following a loss with Manning at QB; they got riddled in Foxboro last week, but have beaten Raiders five times in row, all by 13+ points. Denver won last three visits here by 14-13-20 points. Broncos are 12-6 as road favorites under Fox, 1-1 this year; in 27 red zone drives, they have 22 TDs, 4 FGs, once empty trip, by far best mark in NFL. Oakland hasn’t won but none of last four losses (four games Sparano coached) were by more than 11 points; Raiders are 6-12-1 in last 19 games as home underdogs, 1-2 this year. Second half last week was only second half Oakland outscored foe this year. NFL-wide, divisional home underdogs are 7-9 against spread this season. Last five Denver games went over.

Rams (3-5) @ Cardinals (7-1) — Third road game in row for St Louis, traditional soft spot for NFL teams; Rams are just 7-23 on 3rd down last two games- their passing game misses Quick, their best WR. Fisher’s teams compete; Rams are 3-1 as road dogs this year, 12-8 in 2.5 years under Fisher. Last time Arizona was 7-1 was 40 years ago when Don Coryell was coaching the St Louis Cardinals; they’ve won/covered last four games, are 1-1 as home favorites this year, winning all four home games by 11-9-10-4 points- they’re 4-2-1 as home favorites under Arians, and have +10 turnover ratio. Rams won three of last four series games, splitting last four played here, with losses by 6-20 points; St Louis Last three Arizona games stayed under total.

Giants (3-5) @ Seahawks (5-3) — Nothing’s been easy for Seattle; they led winless Oakland 24-3 at half last week, but allowed punt block for TD and wound up hanging on for 30-24 win. Seahawks are 0-4 vs spread in last four games, winning last two by 4-6 points; they hammered Giants 23-0 in Swamp LY, picking off five passes, holding Giants to 181 yards, but their defense hasn’t been as dominant this year. Giants are 1-3 as road underdogs this year, losing away games by 21-27-10 points, with win at Washington. Giants won last visit here 41-7 in ’10, their one win in last five trips to Seattle. NFC West non-divisional home favorites are 7-2 vs spread; NFC East road underdogs are 3-4. Over is 4-1-1 in last six Giant games, 3-1 in last four Seattle tilts.

Bears (3-5) @ Packers (5-3) — Green Bay won/covered its last five post-bye games. Rodgers tweaked his hamstring in game before bye; no way of knowing if he is 100%. Green Bay is 5-0 on grass, 0-3 on turf, 2-1 as home favorites- they’re 25-15 in last 40 games as HF, with home wins this year by 7-32-21 points. Chicago lost four of last five games before its bye; they’re 0-5 when allowing 23+ points, 3-0 when allowing 20 or less. Bears are 3-6 as road underdogs under Trestman, 2-2 this year. Packers won eight of last nine series games, winning five of last six here (Rodgers was KO’d early in Bears’ win here LY), with three of five wins by 13+ points. Favorites are 5-0 vs spread in NFC North divisional games. Last five Packer games and four of last six Chicago games went over the total.

Panthers (3-5-1) @ Eagles (6-2) — Sanchez gets first start at QB for Philly after Foles broke collarbone last week; he was 33-29 in four years as starter for Jets. Since 2010, Eagles are 11-19 as home favorites, 5-7 under Kelly, 2-2 this year, winning home games by 17-3-6-27 points. Philly turned ball over 16 times in last five games (-9) prompting rumors Eagle brass was souring on Foles even before he got hurt. Carolina is 1-5-1 in last seven games after its 2-0 start; they’ve lost last three games by 21-4-18 points, are 2-2 as road dog, losing away games by 28-21 points, with win at Tampa, tie in Cincinnati. Panthers have one TD, four turnovers in last two games. NFC East non-divisional home favorites are 3-4; NFC road underdogs are 4-5. Last three Carolina road games went over total.

[TheGame]

Re: NFL Betting Info. Week 10

First Look at NFL Week 10
bY Stephen Nover

Here is my first glance at the Week 10 NFL card.

Browns at Bengals (Thursday): This is the Browns' only scheduled prime time matchup and their biggest game in years. The Bengals are down key players (two best linebackers and probably Giovani Bernard again), but without Pro Bowl center Alex Mack the Browns have averaged a piddling 52.6 yards rushing during their last three games.

Cowboys-Jaguars (London): I have a British friend who wanted to know why America hates England. I asked him why he thought that. He said because in the first London game this year the Raiders played. Now the Jaguars are coming across the pond. Tony Romo means everything. If Brandon Weeden starts again, the Jaguars are a very live 'dog.

Dolphins at Lions: Miami is tough in this price range going 13-3-1 ATS when catching five or fewer points. But the Lions defense ranks No. 1 in fewest yards per game and fewest points. Calvin Johnson and Reggie Bush are expected back. The Lions no longer can be faded because of lack of discipline and poor coaching.

Chiefs at Bills: Each team is 5-3. Buffalo is home and off a bye. But I'm not convinced the Bills are any good. Kyle Orton has the highest sack percentage per throw in the league. Justin Houston has 23 sacks in his last 20 games. Eric Berry is finally back for the Chiefs. Geno Smith won't be on the field to handcraft a Buffalo victory.

49ers at Saints: Jim Harbaugh as a 'dog is way offset by the Saints playing their best ball and being 20-0 SU, 18-1-1 ATS at home under Sean Payton. The 49ers were my lone loser on Sunday - and I liked them as a Triple Star. I was alarmed at the horrendous 49ers' play-calling, porous offensive line and Colin Kaepernick's regression. The Harbaugh era in San Francisco may be coming to a close.

Titans at Ravens: Ken Whisenhunt had no business pulling the plug on his season as early as he did bypassing a healthy Jake Locker for rookie Zach Mettenberger. This will be Mettenberger's first road start. Some adventuresome bookie should put out a prop on what will be the higher total: Mettenberger completions to Justin Hunter, or times he is sacked. My money would be on the sacks.

Steelers at Jets: I don't know if I can gather enough courage to back the Jets, but I won't be on the Steelers. This is a prime letdown spot for Pittsburgh after destroying the Colts and Ravens at home the past two weeks. Michael Vick isn't washed up yet. It didn't show in the final score, but the Jets offense picked up with Vick and Percy Harvin involved.

Falcons at Buccaneers: I hate it when teams recycle head coaches. I hope the Buccaneers are happy with conservative and dull Lovie Smith, who never has had a creative offensive mind. The Falcons haven't won since destroying the Buccaneers, 56-14, in Week 3. The head coach who loses this game should be fired.

Broncos at Raiders: I like Derek Carr. But I don't like any other players on the Raiders offense. The Broncos have won at Oakland the past three seasons by an average of 17.6 points. That seems about right for this game, too.

Rams at Cardinals: Kudos to Jeff Fisher. He's managed to beat Seattle and San Francisco during the past three weeks despite multiple injuries on the offensive line and secondary, using a rookie quarterback who isn't NFL-starter caliber, a disappointing ground attack and no receiving threats. This is the Rams' third straight road game. All the Cardinals do under Bruce Arians is win, however. Nobody does a better job of coaching up his talent than Arians. He's the best coach in the NFC right now.

Giants at Seahawks: Playing the Seahawks in Seattle always is rough. It's even more brutal when you have to travel cross-country on a short week. The Seahawks, though, are not playing well. They have failed to cover in their last four games.

Bears at Packers: Green Bay and Dom Capers have Jay Cutler's number, which is 1-9 versus the Packers. Cutler has thrown 19 interceptions in those 10 games against the Packers.

Panthers at Eagles (Monday): The Nick Foles' injury is going to get all the publicity, but attention needs to be paid to how the injury situation is shaping up for both team's offensive lines. I consider Mark Sanchez a huge drop from the Nick Foles of 2013. But Sanchez is just as good as the Nick Foles of 2014. So no adjustment from me on the Eagles quarterback change.

[TheGame]

Re: NFL Betting Info. Week 10

Week 10 Tip Sheet
By Kevin Rogers
VegasInsider.com

Dolphins at Lions (-2½, 43½)

Week 9 Recap:

The Dolphins have bounced back nicely after a loss in the final seconds to the Packers, as Miami is riding a three-game winning streak. Joe Philbin’s team destroyed the Chargers as three-point home favorites, 37-0 in by far their most dominating effort of the season. Ryan Tannehill tossed three touchdown passes, while the Dolphins defense intercepted Philip Rivers three times in the win.

The Lions had the week off following their dramatic comeback victory in London over the struggling Falcons, 22-21. Detroit failed to cover as 3 ½-point favorites, as the Lions haven’t cashed in their past three tries in the favorite role.

Previous meeting: The Lions used several big plays in the fourth quarter to knock off the Dolphins, 34-27 as 9½-point underdogs back in 2010. Detroit converted a 53-yard swing pass from Shaun Hill to Jahvid Best to spur a late rally capped off by an interception return for a touchdown by DeAndre Levy in the final minutes. The Dolphins are making their first trip to Ford Field since Thanksgiving 2006 when Miami routed Detroit, 27-10 as three-point favorites.

What to watch for: Miami is riding a three-game ‘under’ streak, while allowing just 27 points during this current hot stretch. Detroit is also in the midst of a solid run to the ‘under,’ hitting in six of the past seven games. However, the Lions own a 3-7 ATS record in their previous 10 tries as a home favorite. Detroit is expected to get several offensive weapons back as running back Reggie Bush and wide receiver Calvin Johnson will be active this week.

Chiefs (-1½, 42) at Bills

Week 9 Recap:

The 0-2 start for Kansas City seems like a distant memory, as Andy Reid’s club has won five of its past six games to move to 5-3. The Chiefs beat up the hapless Jets last Sunday, 24-10 as 9½-point favorites, the third straight home win by double-digits. Kansas City and New York combined for just three points in the second half, but two first half touchdown passes by Alex Smith helped the Chiefs jump the Chargers for second place in the AFC West.

The Bills are still in the playoff mix at 5-3, sitting out last week after also blowing out the Jets in their last game back in Week 7 by a 43-23 count. Since Kyle Orton took over at quarterback, the Bills have won three of four games, as the former Purdue standout threw four touchdowns at New York on just 10 completions.

Previous meeting: The final win during an incredible 9-0 run for the Chiefs last season came at Buffalo, 23-13. Buffalo led 10-3 at the half, but a 100-yard interception return for a touchdown by Kansas City’s Sean Smith got the Chiefs back in the game, while Tamba Hali took back a fumble return for a touchdown to put Kansas City on top for good.

What to watch for: The Chiefs have been pointspread gold since dropping the season opener to the Titans, covering six of the past seven games. Kansas City is riding an ‘under’ streak of three games, while going ‘under’ in three of four tries away from Arrowhead Stadium. The Bills are listed as a home underdog for the first time this season, as Buffalo put together an impressive 5-1 ATS record in this role in 2013.

49ers at Saints (-5½, 49)

Week 9 Recap:

The 49ers need to get back on the winning track after dropping consecutive games to the Broncos and Rams to fall to 4-4. Last week’s loss to St. Louis as 10½-point home favorites was especially disappointing, as Colin Kaepernick couldn’t sneak in the go-ahead touchdown from the one-yard line in the final seconds of a 13-10 setback. It was the second divisional loss for the Niners this season, as San Francisco could be in danger of missing the playoffs after making the conference title game each of the past three years.

The Saints finally broke through on the road, beating the Panthers convincingly as three-point favorites, 28-10 for their first away win of the season. New Orleans has clawed back to the .500 mark following a 1-3 start, while outgaining their opponents in each of the past four contests.

Previous meeting: San Francisco is visiting the Superdome for the third straight season, as the Saints held off the Niners last November, 23-20. The 49ers cashed as 3½-point underdogs in spite of gaining just 196 yards. Kaepernick’s first road start came in the Big Easy in 2012, leading the Niners to a 31-21 victory as one-point favorites.

What to watch for: Since the start of 2012, the Niners have been a coin-flip proposition as a road underdog, posting a 4-4 ATS record. The Saints continue their dominance at home, winning all three games this season and owning an 11-0 SU and 9-2 ATS record since the beginning of the 2013 campaign at the Superdome.

Broncos (-11, 50) at Raiders

Week 9 Recap:

Denver saw its four-game winning streak go up in smoke, falling at New England, 43-21 as three-point favorites. The Broncos allowed 24 points in the second quarter, as the Patriots put the game away by halftime. Peyton Manning threw for 438 yards in the loss, but the Broncos rushed for just 43 yards.

The Raiders continue to be the lone winless team in the league at 0-8, but Oakland managed a cover as 13 ½-point underdogs, 30-24 at Seattle. Oakland improved to 3-0 ATS as a ‘dog of at least seven points, as the best efforts for the Silver and Black this season have come against teams that overlook the Raiders.

Previous meeting: Denver has dominated Oakland in all four matchups since Manning arrived with the Broncos in 2012. Last season, the Broncos won each time by at least 16 points, including a 34-14 blowout at the Coliseum as 10-point favorites. The last time the Raiders beat the Broncos came in the opener of the 2011 season in Denver.

What to watch for: The Broncos look to extend their ‘over’ streak to six on Sunday, while Denver has won 14 of the previous 15 matchups against division foes. The Raiders have lost seven straight games at the Black Hole since last October, as the last home victory came against Pittsburgh in Week 8 of 2013 as 2 ½-point underdogs, 21-18.

Giants at Seahawks (-9, 44½)

Week 9 Recap:

New York suffered its third consecutive double-digit loss, falling to Indianapolis on Monday night, 40-24 as three-point home underdogs. The Giants allowed Andrew Luck to throw four touchdown passes as New York has been outgained in four consecutive contests.

The Seahawks are definitely going through a Super Bowl hangover at 5-3, as Seattle didn’t lose its third game last season until Week 16. Pete Carroll’s club held off the winless Raiders, 30-24, scoring the most points since the season-opener against the Packers. However, Seattle didn’t cover as double-digit favorites, failing to cover for the fourth straight game.

Previous meeting: The Seahawks traveled to Met Life Stadium last December and blanked the Giants, 23-0 as 9½-point favorites. Seattle’s defense intercepted Eli Manning five times in the shutout, while New York gained just 181 yards of offense. The Giants are making their first visit to Seattle since blowing out the Seahawks in 2010 by a 41-7 count.

What to watch for: New York has covered just once in four tries as a road underdog this season, while the ‘over’ has cashed in three of four away contests. Seattle looks to improve on a 20-2 SU and 15-7 ATS record at CenturyLink Field since the start of 2013, as six of the ATS losses came as a double-digit favorite.

[TheGame]

Re: NFL Betting Info. Week 10

Total Talk - Week 10
By Chris David
VegasInsider.com

Week 9 Recap

The ‘over’ went 7-5-1 in Week 9 and four of those winning tickets were helped with some healthy second-half surges.

Jaguars-Bengals: 41 points
Redskins-Vikings: 38 points
Ravens-Steelers: 34 points (all in 4th quarter)
Colts-Giants: 45 points

We apologize to bettors that had the ‘under’ in those games and congratulate the winners.

Through nine weeks of the regular season, the ‘over’ has gone 70-63-1.

Back to London

Since 2007, the NFL has had 10 regular season games played at Wembley Stadium from London.

NFL International Series History (2007-2014)
Year Matchup Total Result
2007 New York Giants 13 Miami 10 Under 48
2008 New Orleans 37 San Diego 32 Over 45.5
2009 New England 35 Tampa Bay 7 Under 45
2010 San Francisco 24 Denver 16 Under 41.5
2011 Chicago 24 Tampa Bay 18 Under 44
2012 New England 45 St. Louis 7 Over 46
2013 Minnesota 34 Pittsburgh 27 Over 41
2013 San Francisco 42 Jacksonville 10 Over 41
2014 Miami Dolphins 38 Oakland Raiders 14 Over 41.5
2014 Detroit Lions 22 Atlanta Falcons 21 Under 45
2014 Dallas Cowboys vs. Jacksonville Jaguars -

Looking above, you can see that the ‘over/under’ has produced a 5-5 record.

Sunday’s matchup between Dallas and Jacksonville has a total hovering between 45 points and this is a tough game to handicap. Quarterback Tony Romo is listed as ‘probable’ for the Cowboys but he’s obviously not 100 percent. The Jaguars defense has been inconsistent this season and Dallas has only managed to score 17 points in its last two games. Jacksonville still has a rookie QB but he’ll be facing a depleted Cowboys defensive unit in this matchup.

Road System Returns

This angle is a great look and I’ve been following it for a long time.

Play the ‘OVER’ for any team that is playing their third consecutive game on the Road

According to my records on Total Talk, this angle has produced a 36-15-2 (71%) record the past 10 seasons in the NFL, which includes a 1-0 record this season.

In Week 5, the Buccaneers lost to the Saints 37-31 in overtime from New Orleans and the ‘over’ (48) connected with some nice back-and-forth action in the final two quarters. This was the third consecutive road game for Tampa Bay.

In Week 10, this angle takes us to the desert as the Cardinals host the Rams, who will be playing their third straight game as visitors. St. Louis lost at Kansas City 34-7 in Week 8 before rebounding with a 13-10 upset at San Francisco last Sunday.

The total on this game is hovering around 43 points and you could be weary of playing the ‘over’ since Arizona has leaned to the ‘under’ 5-2-1 this season, especially at home (3-1).

Even though the ‘under’ has produced a 7-3 record the past 10 head-to-head meetings, I believe the Rams have a shot to score points in this spot. Arizona’s pass defense is ranked last in total yards and they have no pass rush, accumulating eight sacks in eight games. The Cardinals continue to get press but I expect a dogfight here with both teams getting at least four scores, hopefully more touchdowns than field goals.

Thursday System heads to MNF

I’m running out of adjectives to describe the “Thursday Night Total” system but after watching New England and Denver combine for 64 points last week, I think unreal sums it up.

Including the Broncos-Patriots outcome, this system is now 21-3-1 (88%) dating back to last season.

What’s the system?

All you have to do is find out who played at home the previous Thursday and play the ‘over’ in their next game, regardless of the venue.

Since Carolina hosted New Orleans last Thursday, the betting angle applies to the Panthers-Eagles matchup on MNF. Personally, I’m not buying the ‘over’ or the ‘under’ in this situation.

For starters, this system has gone 6-1 this season but the one loss came on MNF in Week 5 when the Seahawks and Redskins went ‘under’ (45). I hate to play the due factor but ‘under’ tickets will eventually start to show up more in these primetime games.

Another factor that is scaring me away from the ‘over’ is the QB play for both Carolina and Philadelphia. I don’t know if Cam Newton is hurt but he’s not the same guy for the Panthers this season.

On the other side of the ball is Mark Sanchez, who was put on a pedestal after filling in for Nick Foles and helping the Eagles beat the Texans 31-20 last Sunday.

Do you really trust Sanchez? His numbers were decent but he did have two interceptions and that’s never a good thing.

I hope it hits if you play the ‘over’ but please keep in mind that these trends and systems aren’t always automatic and they should be used as part of your handicapping.

Those looking ahead to Week 11 can begin to handicap the Saints-Bengals matchup since Cincinnati just hosted Cleveland this past Thursday.

Rematch Battles

I’m touching on this angle again because it’s been perfect so far. We’ve had four divisional matchups this season where the teams have completed their two-game series.

Through the first four rematches, the opposite total result occurred in the second encounter:

Steelers-Browns
Week 1 – Pittsburgh 30 Cleveland 27 (Over 41)
Week 6 – Cleveland 31 Pittsburgh 10 (Under 46.5)

Ravens-Bengals
Week 1 – Cincinnati 23 Baltimore 16 (Under 43.5)
Week 8 – Cincinnati 27 Baltimore 24 (Over 44.5)

49ers-Rams
Week 6 – San Francisco 31 St. Louis 17 (Over 44)
Week 9 – San Francisco 13 St. Louis 10 (Under 44)

Ravens-Steelers
Week 2 – Pittsburgh 6 Baltimore 26 (Under 44)
Week 9 – Pittsburgh 43 Baltimore 23 (Over 47)

Still early, but you can also see that three of the four teams managed to earn a season split, with Baltimore being the only club to get swept.

We have two more matchups pending this Sunday.

Atlanta at Tampa Bay: In Week 3, the Falcons blasted the Buccaneers 56-14 in a nationally televised Thursday matchup and the ‘over’ (47) cashed early in the third quarter. Since then, Atlanta has dropped five straight and the ‘under’ has gone 4-1 during that losing skid behind an offense averaging 17.8 PPG. Tampa Bay has been a mess at home offensively (15.3 PPG), which has led to a 3-1 ‘under’ mark. Josh McCown is back at QB for Tampa Bay and he wasn’t great during his first go ‘round with the starting unit. The ‘over’ has cashed in the last three encounters between the pair. This total opened 47 ½ and was knocked down quickly to 46.

Chicago at Green Bay: These teams met in Week 4 and the Packers earned a 38-17 road win over the Bears. Green Bay led 21-17 at halftime and outscored Chicago 21-0 in the final two quarters as the ‘over’ (51) cashed. It’s hard to advise playing the ‘under’ in a Packers game, since they’ve seen the ‘over’ 7-1 this season. However, this week’s total (53) seems inflated based on Green Bay’s tendencies this season. Since the game is being played at night, I believe weather will play a serious factor. It should also be noted that the ‘under’ is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings between the pair in games played at Lambeau Field and only one outcome during this span has had more than 53 points scored.

Under the Lights

Slowly but surely, we’re starting to see ‘under’ tickets getting cashed at the betting counter. The ‘over’ started 20-4 but the ‘under’ has gone 3-2 in the last five primetime games.

The breakdown for each night listed below:
Sunday (8-1)
Thursday (7-3)
Monday (7-3)

Chicago at Green Bay: (See Above)

Carolina at Philadelphia: (See Above)

Fearless Predictions

One user emailed me last week and asked me why I don’t use the Thursday Total System as my “Best Over” selection each week. To answer him and others, I feel like it would be a disservice to this fictitious section and I’m a little superstitious. Hopefully you’re cashing because my deficit is now $330 through nine weeks. As always, Press, Pass or Fade but in the end – Good Luck!

Best Over: St. Louis-Arizona 43

Best Under: Kansas City-Buffalo 42

Best Team Total: Steelers Under 25

Three-Team Total Teaser (9-Point, +100)
Over 34 St. Louis-Arizona
Under 55 Atlanta-Tampa Bay
Over 34½ Miami-Detroit

[TheGame]

Re: NFL Betting Info. Week 10

ATLANTA vs. TAMPA BAY
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 6 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
Atlanta is 5-9-1 ATS in its last 15 games when playing Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games when playing at home against Atlanta

KANSAS CITY vs. BUFFALO
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Kansas City's last 12 games when playing Buffalo
Kansas City is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Buffalo is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Kansas City
Buffalo is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Kansas City

MIAMI vs. DETROIT
Miami is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Miami's last 15 games
Detroit is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Miami
Detroit is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games

TENNESSEE vs. BALTIMORE
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tennessee's last 5 games when playing on the road against Baltimore
Tennessee is 10-5 SU in its last 15 games when playing on the road against Baltimore
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Baltimore's last 7 games
Baltimore is 20-5 SU in its last 25 games at home

DALLAS vs. JACKSONVILLE
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games when playing Jacksonville
Dallas is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Jacksonville's last 5 games when playing Dallas
Jacksonville is 2-8-2 ATS in its last 12 games

PITTSBURGH vs. NY JETS
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Pittsburgh's last 14 games when playing NY Jets
Pittsburgh is 7-3 SU in their last 10 games when playing on the road against NY Jets
NY Jets are 3-7 SU in their last 10 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh
NY Jets are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh

SAN FRANCISCO vs. NEW ORLEANS
San Francisco is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Francisco's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Orleans's last 5 games
New Orleans is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

DENVER vs. OAKLAND
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Denver's last 9 games when playing Oakland
Denver is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Oakland
Oakland is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Denver
Oakland is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games at home

NY GIANTS vs. SEATTLE
NY Giants are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games when playing Seattle
NY Giants are 3-6-1 ATS in their last 10 games when playing Seattle
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Seattle's last 9 games
Seattle is 4-2 SU in their last 6 games when playing NY Giants

ST. LOUIS vs. ARIZONA
St. Louis is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
St. Louis is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Arizona's last 12 games when playing St. Louis
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona's last 6 games at home

CHICAGO vs. GREEN BAY
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Chicago's last 14 games when playing Green Bay
Chicago is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Green Bay
Green Bay is 2-5-2 ATS in its last 9 games at home
Green Bay15-4-1 SU in its last 20 games at home

CAROLINA vs. PHILADELPHIA
Carolina is 2-3-1 SU in its last 6 games ,on the road
Carolina is 1-5-1 SU in its last 7 games ,
Philadelphia is 13-4 SU in its last 17 games
Philadelphia is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home

[TheGame]

Re: NFL Betting Info. Week 10

Dallas at Jacksonville
Dallas: 9-2 OVER after failing to cover the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games
Jacksonville: 1-8 ATS in non-conference games

Miami at Detroit
Miami: 29-15 ATS (+12.5 Units) in road games after allowing 150 or less passing yards in their last game
Detroit: 50-75 ATS (-32.5 Units) as a favorite

Kansas City at Buffalo
Kansas City: 15-5 OVER (+9.5 Units) in road games off 3 or more consecutive unders
Buffalo: 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) after allowing 150 or less passing yards in 2 straight games

San Francisco at New Orleans
San Francisco: 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) after allowing 200 or less total yards in their previous game
New Orleans: 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in home games

Tennessee at Baltimore
Tennessee: 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points
Baltimore: 28-13 ATS (+13.7 Units) in home games after allowing 75 or less rushing yards last game

Pittsburgh at New York Jets
Pittsburgh: 29-14 ATS (+13.6 Units) after gaining 300 or more passing yards in last game
NY Jets: 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) in all games

Atlanta at Tampa Bay
Atlanta: 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) after 4 or more consecutive losses
Tampa Bay: 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in home games against conference opponents

Denver at Oakland
Denver: 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) after having won 2 out of their last 3 games
Oakland: 27-44 ATS (-21.4 Units) in home games off a road loss

St Louis at Arizona
St Louis: 10-24 ATS (-16.4 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points
Arizona: 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) against conference opponents

New York Giants at Seattle
NY Giants: 40-22 UNDER (+15.8 Units) off 2 or more consecutive overs
Seattle: 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) off a home win

Chicago at Green Bay
Chicago: 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) in all games
Green Bay: 104-69 ATS (+28.1 Units) after playing their last game on the road

Carolina at Philadelphia
Carolina: 80-55 ATS (+19.5 Units) after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread
Philadelphia: 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) in a home game where the total is between 45.5 and 49 points

[TheGame]

Re: NFL Betting Info. Week 10

StatFox Super Situations

PITTSBURGH at NY JETS
Play Under - Any team against the total after beating the spread by more than 14 points in two consecutive games, in November games 29-8 since 1997. ( 78.4% | 20.2 units )

CHICAGO at GREEN BAY
Play Against - Road underdogs of +155 to +325 vs. the money line (CHICAGO) poor team - outscored by opponents by 4 or more points/game, after allowing 25 points or more in 2 straight games 166-36 since 1997. ( 82.2% | 0.0 units ) 5-1 this year. ( 83.3% | 0.0 units )

CHICAGO at GREEN BAY
Play On - Home teams vs. the 1rst half line (GREEN BAY) good passing team (230-265 PY/game) against a poor passing defense (230-265 PY/game), after allowing 8 or more passing yards/attempt in their last game 46-18 since 1997. ( 71.9% | 26.2 units ) 3-2 this year. ( 60.0% | 0.8 units )

[TheGame]

Re: NFL Betting Info. Week 10

Dallas & Jacksonville in London
The Cowboys are 29-19 ATS off 2 or more loses, but 5-9 ATS versus losing teams, 2-6 ATS versus losing teams in the 2nd half of the season and 2-5 ATS in weeks 10 through 13. Dallas is 77-53 Under versus losing teams and 45-26 Under versus losing teams in the 2nd half, but 6-1 Over in weeks 10 through 13. The Jaguars are 12-21 ATS playing on grass, 1-8 ATS versus NFC opponents and 24-33 ATS in the 2nd half of the season. Jacksonville is 15-7 Over versus NFC East, 9-1 Over versus NFC opponents and 35-23 Over in the 2nd half of the year. In this series Jacksonville is 3-1 ATS versus Dallas and 4 of the 5 meetings went Over the total.

Miami @ Detroit
The Dolphins are 15-7 ATS when the line is 3 points or less, 6-3 ATS as road dogs of 3 points or less and 26-19 ATS on the road with a total ot 42½ to 45 points. Miami is 22-15 Under overall, 36-21 Under as road dogs of 3 points or less, 12-6 Under overall on the road, 12-7 Under when the total is 42½ to 49 points, 6-2 Under in November, 8-3 Under playing on turf and 9-5 Under versus winning teams, but 7-3 Over versus NFC opponents. The Lions are 15-24 ATS overall, 50-75 ATS as favorites, 7-12 ATS at home, 7-16 ATS under a dome, 9-16 ATS playing on turf, 3-6 ATS versus AFC opponents, 0-5 ATS after 2 or more wins, 31-51 ATS in weeks 10 through 13 and 2-7 ATS versus winning teams the 2nd half of the season. Detroit is 6-2 Under this year, but 22-14 Over as home favorites of 3 points or less, 18-12 Over when the total is 42½ to 49 points, 54-33 Over versus AFC opponents and 31-18 Over after 2 or more consecutive wins. In this series Miami is 5-1 straight up and 4-1 ATS and the last 2 meetings in Detroit went Over the total.

Kansas City @ Buffalo
The Chiefs are 17-33 ATS versus AFC East opponents, but 4-1 ATS lately, 6-2 ATS overall this year including 3-1 ATS on the road. Kansas City is 6-2 Under this year, 3-1 Under on the road and 9-2 Under after 2 or more consecutive wins. The Bills are 16-10 ATS as home dogs of 3 points or less and 37-21 ATS at home with a total of 38½ to 42 points, but 26-42 ATS after a divisional win including 0-5 lately. Buffalo is 87-54 Under when the line is 3 points or less, but 7-3 Over when the total is 35½ to 42 points. In this series Buffalo is 11-4 ATS including 5-1 ATS at home.

San Francisco @ New Orleans
The 49ers are 27-18 ATS overall, 15-7 ATS on the road, 4-1 ATS on the road with a total of 45½ to 49 points, 7-3 playing under a dome, 10-6 ATS playing on turf and 3-0 ATS after 2 or more consecutive losses. The Saints are 13-6 ATS at home and 5-1 ATS at home when the total is 45½ to 49 points, but just 2-4 ATS versus NFC West opponents. New Orleans is 6-2 Over this season and 18-13 Over on turf, but 7-2 Under after a divisional win and 5-1 Under versus NFC West opponents. In this series 10 of the last 14 meetings in New Orleans went Under the total.

Tennessee @ Baltimore
the Titans are 14-21 ATS overall, 6-17 ATS when the total is 42½ to 49 points, 1-5 ATS on the road with a total of 42½ to 45 points, 10-16 ATS versus AFC opponents, 3-6 ATS after a divisional game, 2-10 ATS versus winning teams and 0-5 ATS versus winning teams in the 2nd half of the season. Tennessee is 17-11 Over as an underdog, 13-7 Over after a bye week, 34-21 Over after 2 or more losses and 10-4 Over versus winning teams. The Ravens are 3-1 ATS at home this season, 10-5 ATS after a divisional game and 6-3 ATS in November, but just 11-19 ATS versus AFC South opponents. Baltimore is 23-8 Under versus AFC South opponents, 13-6 Under on turf and 8-4 Under versus losing teams. In this series the Under is 6-2 the last 8 meetings in Baltimore.

Pittsburgh @ NY Jets
The Steelers are 14-9 ATS when the total is 42½ to 49 points, 6-3 ATS playing in November and 5-2 ATS after 2 or more consecutive wins. Pittsburgh is 9-5 Under on the road with a total of 45½ to 49 points and 6-2 Under after 2 or more wins, but 9-4 Over after a divisional game. The Jets are 1-7 ATS this year, 5-13 ATS at home with a total of 45½ to 49 points, 12-17 ATS versus AFC opponents including 1-5 this year, 18-29 ATS versus AFC North opponents, 5-10 ATS versus winning teams and 1-6 ATS in weeks 10 through 13. New York is 14-8 Over as home dogs of 3½ to 7 points and 9-4 Over with a total of 42½ to 49 points, but 28-18 Under versus AFC North opponents. In this series the last 4 meetings in New York went Under the total.

Atlanta @ Tampa Bay
The Falcons are 18-13 ATS as road favorites of 3 points or less, but 0-4 ATS on the road this season. Atlanta is 55-36 Under playing in November and 3-1 Under on the road this year. The Buccaneers are 11-17 ATS as home dogs of 3 points or less, 11-17 ATS versus NFC opponents, 7-12 ATS at home including 0-4 this year, 6-12 ATS after 2 or more consecutive losses and 6-10 ATS versus losing teams, but they’re a solid 54-31 ATS playing in November including 8-0 ATS lately.

Denver @ Oakland
the Broncos are 26-16 ATS overall, 25-12 ATS favorites, 22-8 ATS playing on grass, 13-5 ATS when the total is 42½ to 49 points, 18-12 ATS versus AFC opponents, 13-3 ATS versus losing teams, 7-2 ATS versus losing teams in the 2nd half of the season and 6-1 ATS on the road with a total of 45½ to 49 points, but they’re just 1-4 ATS as road favorites of 10½ to 14 points. Denver is 29-14 Over overall, 26-12 Over as favorites, 25-15 Over on the road when the total is 45½ to 49 points, 109-61 Over with a total of 42½ to 49 points, 20-11 Over versus AFC opponents and 19-12 Over playing on grass, but 9-5 Under versus divisional opponents. The Raiders are 15-9 ATS as underdogs of 10 points or more including 4-0 lately, but 6-12 ATS at home, 9-19 ATS playing on grass and 1-4 ATS versus winning teams in the 2nd half of the season. Oakland is 7-2 Over in November. In this series Denver is 3-0 ATS including 2-0 in Denver and both thse meetings in Denver went Over the total.

St Louis @ Arizona
The Rams are 10-24 ATS as road dogs of 3½ to 7 points and 30-44 ATS playing in November, but they’re 5-1 ATS on the road with a total 42½ to 45 points. St Louis is 3-1 Under on the road this season and 5-1 Under after a divisional win, but 6-1 Over playing in November. The Cardinals are 23-16 ATS overall, 13-5 ATS with a total of 42½ to 49 points, 18-11 ATS versus NFC opponents including 5-0 this year and 9-4 ATS versus losing teams, but they’re 21-32 ATS as favorites of 3½ to 9½ points, 5-10 ATS on turf and 23-32 ATS after 2 or more wins. Arizona is 21-15 Over as home favorites of 3½ to 7 points and 5-1 Over in November, but 17-11 Under versus NFC opponents. In this series Arizona is 19-10 ATS including 9-5 ATS playing at home.

NY Giants @ Seattle
The Giants are 20-14 ATS on the road with a total of 42½ to 45 points, but 1-4 ATS as a dog this year, 11-16 ATS after playing Monday night, 4-8 ATS versus winning teams and 30-56 ATS playing in November. New York is 13-7 Under on the road, 19-11 Under versus NFC opponents, 3-0 Under versus NFC West ooponents, 10-3 Under against winning teams and 5-0 Under versus winning teams the 2nd half of the season. The Seahawks are 29-16 ATS overall, 12-6 ATS as favorites of 3½ to 9½ points, 15-7 ATS at home, 29-20 ATS at home with a total of 42½ to 45 points, 22-11 ATS versus NFC opponents, 4-1 ATS versus NFC Eat opponents, 21-13 ATS playing on turf, 13-7 ATS after 2 or more wins, 5-1 ATS in weeks 10 through 13 and 7-1 ATS versus losing teams in the 2nd half of the season. In this series Seattle is 6-3 ATS and the Over is 7-3 the last 10 meetings.

Chicago @ Green Bay
The Bears are 14-25 ATS overall, 6-12 ATS as underdogs, 21-31 ATS as road dogs of 3½ to 7 points, 8-20 ATS versus NFC opponents, 2-11 ATS versus NFC North opponents, 10-19 ATS playing on grass, 3-7 ATS when the total is 49½ points or more, 1-6 ATS revenging a loss, 4-9 ATS versus winning teams and 1-7 ATS in weeks 10 through 13. Chicago is 26-14 Over overall, 12-6 Over as an underdog, 16-5 Over on the road, 17-11 Over versus NFC opponents. The Packers are 18-10 ATS favorites including 4-0 this year, 16-10 ATS after a bye week and 16-10 ATS on grass including 4-0 this year, but 4-9 ATS versus losing teams and 2-6 ATS in November. Green Bay is 25-18 Over overall, 79-46 Over against losing teams, 24-16 Over when the total is 49½ or more and 24-12 Over as home favorites of 7½ to 10 points. In this series Green Bay is 29-16 ATS including 4-1 lately.

Carolina @ Philadelphia
The Panthers are 13-9 ATS underdogs, 6-1 ATS as road dogs of 3½ to 7 points, 63-43 ATS when the total is 42½ to 49 points, 19-12 ATS versus NFC opponents and 19-13 ATS playing on grass. Carolina is 6-3 Over as underdogs of 3½ to 9½ points and 5-2 Over as road dogs of 3½ to 7 points, but they’re 18-11 Under with a total of 42½ to 49 points, 19-12 Under versus NFC ooponents, 20-13 Under on grass and 76-40 Under after a divisional game. The Eagles are 16-24 ATS overall, 10-15 ATS as favorites, but 4-2 lately, 6-14 ATS at home, but 3-1 lately, 6-16 ATS at home with a total of 45½ to 49 points and 11-18 ATS versus NFC opponents, but they’re 22-14 ATS playing on Monday night and 18-12 ATS versus NFC South opponents. Philadelpihia is 14-9 Under at home with a total of 45½ to 49 points and 75-52 Under versus losing teams.

[TheGame]

Re: NFL Betting Info. Week 10

Monday Night Football: Panthers at Eagles
By Covers.com

Carolina Panthers at Philadelphia Eagles (-7, 48.5)

The Philadelphia Eagles begin life without quarterback Nick Foles when they host the scuffling Carolina Panthers on Monday night. Foles was injured late in the first quarter of last week's 31-21 win at Houston, giving the Eagles three quarters to acclimate Mark Sanchez to the starting role. Sanchez was solid against the Texans, and the team feels good about his chances for success against a Panthers team that has given up 30.7 points over its last seven games.

"Mark can play, man," said Philadelphia wideout Jeremy Maclin, the reigning NFC Offensive Player of the Week. "There's no question about it. He's also surrounded by a lot more talent than what he had in New York, so the sky's the limit." The Panthers, meanwhile, have only one win since Sept. 14 but should benefit from the return of two key offensive linemen as Cam Newton looks to regain his consistency. “A lot of it is not just about him,” Carolina coach Ron Rivera said. “We can put it all on the quarterback and say it’s all about the quarterback, but this is a team game.”

LINE HISTORY: The Eagles opened as 6-point home faves, but that has moved to -7. The total opened 48 and has gone up a half-point.

INJURY REPORT: Panthers - G Amini Silatolu (Questionable, calf), G Trai Turner (Questionable, knee), S Thomas DeCoud (Questionable, hamstring), WR Philly Brown (Probable, concussion). Eagles - S Nate Allen (Probable, hamstring).

COVERS POWER RANKINGS: Panthers (+2.5) + Eagles (-3.5) + home field (-3.0) = Eagles -9.0

WEATHER FORECAST: Temperatures will be in the low-50s with wind blowing toward the north endzone at 3 mph.

WHAT EXPERTS SAY: "Carolina is just a game out of first place in the NFC South despite a three-game losing streak. Off Thursday's loss to Saints and is 0-5-1 ATS in last six after New Orleans. Philadelphia will be without Nick Foles for eight weeks and will lean on Mark Sanchez for the rest of the regular season. 2-8 ATS in last 10 vs. teams with a losing road record." Covers Expert Matt Fargo.

ABOUT THE PANTHERS (3-5-1 SU, 5-4 ATS, 5-4 O/U ): Left tackle Byron Bell and left guard Amini Silatolu are slated to return for Carolina, which ranks 20th in the league in passing yards and 26th in rushing yards. The Panthers have scored a total of 36 points in their last three games with Newton throwing for just 176 yards per contest during that stretch. On the bright side, Luke Kuechly continues to lead the league in tackles with 97 and has an NFL-high 417 tackles since entering the league in 2012.

ABOUT THE EAGLES (6-2 SU, 5-3 ATS, 5-3 O/U): After Foles broke his collarbone, Sanchez threw two touchdowns and a pair of interceptions last week in his first regular-season action since December 2012. The focus of the offense will continue to be Maclin, who has 18 catches for 345 yards and four touchdowns in his last two games, and LeSean McCoy, whose four most productive games of the season have come in his last four outings. Philadelphia's biggest concern heading into Monday night's contest is likely how to replace linebacker DeMeco Ryans, who tore his Achilles tendon last weekend and will be replaced by a trio of relative unknowns in the middle of the Eagles' 3-4 scheme.

TRENDS:

* Over is 5-2 in the last seven meetings.
* Eagles are 5-2 ATS in their last seven home games.
* Under is 11-2 in Panthers last 13 vs. NFC.
* Over is 7-1-1 in Eagles last nine Monday games.

COVERS CONSENSUS: According to Covers Consensus, 60 percent of bets are backing the Eagles.

[TheGame]

Re: NFL Betting Info. Week 10

CAROLINA (3 - 5 - 1) at PHILADELPHIA (6 - 2) - 11/10/2014, 8:30 PM

Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 159-125 ATS (+21.5 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
PHILADELPHIA is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) in a home game where the total is between 45.5 and 49 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
CAROLINA is 1-0 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
CAROLINA is 1-0 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


CAROLINA vs. PHILADELPHIA
Carolina is 2-3-1 SU in its last 6 games ,on the road
Carolina is 1-5-1 SU in its last 7 games ,
Philadelphia is 13-4 SU in its last 17 games
Philadelphia is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home


Carolina at Philadelphia
Carolina: 80-55 ATS (+19.5 Units) after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread
Philadelphia: 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) in a home game where the total is between 45.5 and 49 points


Carolina @ Philadelphia
The Panthers are 13-9 ATS underdogs, 6-1 ATS as road dogs of 3½ to 7 points, 63-43 ATS when the total is 42½ to 49 points, 19-12 ATS versus NFC opponents and 19-13 ATS playing on grass. Carolina is 6-3 Over as underdogs of 3½ to 9½ points and 5-2 Over as road dogs of 3½ to 7 points, but they’re 18-11 Under with a total of 42½ to 49 points, 19-12 Under versus NFC ooponents, 20-13 Under on grass and 76-40 Under after a divisional game. The Eagles are 16-24 ATS overall, 10-15 ATS as favorites, but 4-2 lately, 6-14 ATS at home, but 3-1 lately, 6-16 ATS at home with a total of 45½ to 49 points and 11-18 ATS versus NFC opponents, but they’re 22-14 ATS playing on Monday night and 18-12 ATS versus NFC South opponents. Philadelpihia is 14-9 Under at home with a total of 45½ to 49 points and 75-52 Under versus losing teams.

[TheGame]

Re: NFL Betting Info. Week 10

Panthers vs. Eagles Betting Preview and Pick
By: Larry Hartstein
Sportingnews.com

Quarterback Mark Sanchez makes his first start since Dec. 30, 2012, when the Eagles (6-2 SU and 5-3 ATS) host the Panthers (3-5-1 SU and 5-4 ATS) on Monday night at Lincoln Financial Field (8:30 p.m. ET, ESPN). Sanchez looked sharp after Philly lost Nick Foles to a broken clavicle in the first half of last week’s 31-21 win at Houston. Sanchez hit Jeremy Maclin for 52 yards on his first play and finished with 202 passing yards, two touchdowns and two interceptions.

While the Eagles have won three of four to move into first in the NFC East, the Panthers haven’t won in more than a month. They’ve averaged 12 points during their current three-game losing streak and they’ve allowed 30.7 points per game since Week 3 – second-most in the league.

These teams last played Nov. 26, 2012, Carolina winning 30-22 as a 3-point road fave.

The Line: Eagles -7, Total: 48

Line movement: This game opened Philly -6 but was bet up to -7 on Friday or over the weekend, depending on the book. The total held steady at 48 through early wagering at most shops. For updated spreads and totals from around Las Vegas, visit our live odds page .

Trends that matter: Philly is 5-2 ATS in its last seven home games, while Carolina is 2-5 ATS in its last seven road games. The UNDER is 11-2 in Carolina’s last 13 games against NFC foes. The OVER is 9-3 in the Eagles’ last 12 games against winning teams.

Boost for Cam? Panthers quarterback Cam Newton needs a boost, and he might get one Monday with the potential return of three starting offensive linemen. Newton is coming off arguably the worst game of his career, when he completed 10 of 28 throws for 151 yards with an interception against New Orleans. He’s thrown a pick in five straight games and has just eight touchdown passes in nine games.

McCoy could have field day: Eagles running back LeSean McCoy has run for over 100 yards in two of the past three games while averaging 5.3 yards per carry. He should feast on a Panthers defense allowing a league-high 4.8 yards per carry and 131.9 yards per game (26th, NFL). Carolina has yielded 11 rushing scores, third-most. Philly’s offensive line is coming together, and the Eagles will be running the ball all night.

Injuries that matter: The Panthers are expected to get back the left side of their offensive line: tackle Byron Bell (knee) and guard Amini Silatolu (calf). Right guard Trai Turner (knee) also could be back.

Eagles All-Pro guard Evan Mathis (knee) was activated from short-term injured reserve and should start for the first time since the opener. He returns just in time, as Philly just lost guard Todd Herremans to a torn biceps.

Eagles middle linebacker DeMeco Ryans, who leads the team with 45 tackles, tore his Achilles tendon Week 9 and is done for the year. He’ll be replaced by Casey Matthews.

Weather: Temperatures will dip into the 40s, with 5 mph winds and a 10 percent chance of rain. Visit Weather Underground for the latest forecast.

The Linemakers lean: We think this price is way too short. Our ratings make Philly -11, and Kenny White and Micah Roberts put the game in the -8 to -8.5 range. The Panthers' top-3 defense from last season is long gone, as they’ve allowed four teams to score 37 points or more. There's not much of a drop off from Nick Foles to Mark Sanchez, and all the value rests with Philly at home.

The top play is Philadelphia with a lean to the OVER. The Philly-to-OVER combination has occurred in four of the Eagles' eight games this season.

[TheGame]

Re: NFL Betting Info. Week 10

MNF - Panthers at Eagles
By Kevin Rogers
VegasInsider.com

The Week 10 card closes out in Philadelphia tonight as the Eagles usher out the Mark Sanchez era at quarterback against a struggling Panthers squad at Lincoln Financial Field.

The Eagles (6-2) are in a two-horse race inside the NFC East alongside the Cowboys, who improved to 7-3 after blowing out the Jaguars in London. Philadelphia managed to get past Houston last Sunday, 31-21 as 1 ½-point road favorites, but suffered a huge loss as quarterback Nick Foles broke his left collarbone in the first quarter. Sanchez, who went through many ups and downs with the Jets in his career, replaced Foles and threw for 202 yards and two touchdowns. However, the former USC standout also was intercepted twice, marking 71 picks thrown by Sanchez in his four-plus year career.

The Panthers (3-5-1) began the season with plenty of hope following an NFC South crown last season as Carolina beat Tampa Bay and Detroit. But, Ron Rivera’s team has gone backwards in the past seven games by winning just once, rallying past the Bears at home in Week 5. Carolina had several extra days to prepare for tonight’s contest after losing at home to New Orleans last Thursday, 28-10 as three-point underdogs.

In that defeat, the Panthers were limited to 231 yards of offense, while Cam Newton threw for just 151 yards and was intercepted once. Newton has been picked off in five straight games, while the former top pick from Auburn has completed at least 57% of his passes just once in the past six contests. The Panthers are coming off consecutive games scoring 10 points or less, a dubious accomplishment this franchise hasn’t seen since the 2010 season in which Carolina finished 2-14.

In Chip Kelly’s first season as head coach of the Eagles, Philadelphia didn’t develop a home-field advantage until later in 2013. The Eagles lost their first four games at Lincoln Financial Field, then won their final four contests of the regular season before bowing out to the Saints in the Wild Card round. Philadelphia has kept up last season’s momentum at the Linc by beginning this season at 4-0, which includes wins over the Jaguars, Redskins, Rams, and Giants, but those four teams are a combined 10-21.

The only road victory for the Panthers this season didn’t come with Newton under center. Instead, Derek Anderson filled in for the Heisman Trophy winner in the season opener at Tampa Bay, as the Panthers ripped the Buccaneers, 20-14 as 5½-point underdogs. Since that win, the Panthers have stumbled to an 0-2-1 record on the highway, which includes blowout losses at Green Bay and Baltimore. Newton’s best road performance came in a wild 37-37 tie at Cincinnati, as the Carolina quarterback threw for 284 yards and rushed for 107 more in a game that went back and forth until no winner was determined.

The last time these teams met up also came on a Monday night back in 2012 at Lincoln Financial Field. The Panthers held off the Eagles as three-point favorites, 30-22, as Newton shined under the primetime lights by throwing two touchdown passes and running in two more scores. Who started that game for the Eagles at quarterback? It was Foles’ rookie year, as the ex-Arizona star made his fifth career start, filling in for the injured Michael Vick.

Philadelphia is making its second Monday night appearance this season, as the Eagles rallied past the Colts in Week 2 for a road underdog win. This is the first Monday night contest at Lincoln Financial Field since Carolina’s victory in November 2012. Since 2011, the Panthers have appeared in Monday action just twice, with the most recent showing coming in a crazy finish against the Patriots last season in a 24-20 home victory, giving Newton a 2-0 record on Mondays in his short career.

Carolina has profited as a road underdog since 2012, posting a 9-3 ATS record, which includes the covers at Tampa Bay and Cincinnati this season. The Eagles have covered six of their past eight regular season contests at home, while scoring at least 27 points in all four games at Lincoln Financial Field. The ‘over’ is up to 3-1 in Eagles’ home games this season, while Carolina is riding a three-game ‘over’ streak on the highway.

Following a 4-1 ATS run by the underdogs to begin the season under the Monday night lights, the favorites have rebounded with a 4-1 SU/ATS stretch the past five weeks, with the Redskins being the lone underdog to win (and cover) at Dallas. The ‘over’ is 7-3 in Monday action this season, while going 23-7 to the ‘over’ in primetime action following Green Bay’s blowout of Chicago last night.

The Eagles are currently listed as seven-point home favorites across the board, while the total is set at 48½ at a majority of books. The temperatures are expected to be in the low 50’s with no chance of rain. The game kicks off at 8:30 PM EST and can be seen on ESPN.