NFL Betting Info Week 16.

[TheGame]

SAN DIEGO (8 - 6) at SAN FRANCISCO (7 - 7) - 12/20/2014, 8:25 PM

Top Trends for this game.
SAN DIEGO is 27-45 ATS (-22.5 Units) off a loss against a division rival since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


PHILADELPHIA (9 - 5) at WASHINGTON (3 - 11) - 12/20/2014, 4:30 PM

Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 9-21 ATS (-14.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 9-21 ATS (-14.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 73-103 ATS (-40.3 Units) in home games since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 73-103 ATS (-40.3 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 55-78 ATS (-30.8 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 73-103 ATS (-40.3 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 3-2 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 3-2 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


PHILADELPHIA vs. WASHINGTON
Philadelphia is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Washington
Philadelphia is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games on the road
Washington is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
Washington is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Philadelphia

SAN DIEGO vs. SAN FRANCISCO
The total has gone OVER in 6 of San Diego's last 9 games when playing San Francisco
San Diego is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing San Francisco
San Francisco is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing San Diego
San Francisco is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games


Philadelphia at Washington
Philadelphia: 15-5 UNDER in road games off a home loss by 10 or more points
Washington: 13-4 UNDER in home games against conference opponents

San Diego at San Francisco
San Diego: 58-37 ATS as a road underdog of 7 points or less
San Francisco: 6-1 UNDER after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread

[TheGame]

Re: NFL Betting Info Week 16.

NFL: Streaks, Tips, Notes
Sportspic.com

Green Bay at Tampa Bay

Green Bay's five game win streak came to a screeching halt this past week as Buffalo Bills behind some shutdown defense handed Packers a 21-13 loss in front of a frenzied Ralph Wilson Stadium crowd. This week, Packers should have little trouble taking full advantage of an inconsistent Buccaneers squad. However, you do bet Pack at some risk. Double digit favorites haven't been the best choice this season as they're 9-8-1 against the betting line. Besides, for whatever reason Packers have struggled cashing tickets on the road when facing a team with a losing record posting a 3-8 ATS mark last 11 situations. Final betting nugget - Packers have failed to cash last three vs Tampa and are on a 3-9-1 ATS skid last thirteen meetings with Bucs.

Detroit at Chicago

Lions, thanks to a nail-biting 16-14 win over Minnesota are currently 'Kings' in the North and look to remain atop the heap when the visit Chicago Bears a squad falling apart at the seams having lost six of the past eight. Lions who have already defeated Bears once this season make it a series sweep for the second year in a row. Always a challenge laying a TD or more in a division game and even more perilous laying the points on the road. However, there appears to be enough in Lions favor in this situation to counteract such concerns. Matthew Stafford, Johnson and Tate combination should shred this Bear defense that has allowed the most points in the NFL behind the second worst pass protection in the league. Consider Lions knowing Bears are ridding an 0-5 ATS skid as home underdogs, 1-7 ATS slide vs the division in December.

[TheGame]

Re: NFL Betting Info Week 16.

ESPN's Adam Schefter reports the Bears will start Jimmy Clausen over Jay Cutler in Week 16 against the Lions.
The Bears are benching Cutler just 14 starts into his seven-year, $127 million extension. Per NFL Network's Mike Silver, coach Marc Trestman felt he could no longer start Cutler "simply to justify a contract" when his on-field play was so poor. Cutler regressed in his second season in Trestman's offense, leading the NFL in turnovers (24). Owed a fully guaranteed $15.5 million next year, the Bears' only option is to trade Cutler this offseason if they want to move on from him.

[TheGame]

Re: NFL Betting Info Week 16.

Thursday Night Football Betting Preview: Titans at Jaguars
By Covers.com

Tennessee Titans at Jacksonville Jaguars (-3, 40.5)

Quarterback situations are iffy for Tennessee and Jacksonville as the AFC South doormats prepare to meet in Florida on Thursday in a game that could help determine who gets the No. 1 draft choice. The Titans, losers of eight straight, will stick with third-stringer Charlie Whitehurst after he finished the team's 16-11 loss to the New York Jets on Sunday. Rookie Zach Mettenberger (shoulder) remains sidelined while Jake Locker is on injured reserve after hurting his shoulder in the Jets game.

The Jaguars are also preparing for a possible change at quarterback as rookie starter Blake Bortles is questionable with a sprained foot. Chad Henne, who started the first two games of the season, would get the nod if Bortles cannot go. Bortles threw for a career-high 336 yards while Whitehurst had 233 in Tennessee's 16-14 win in the first meeting Oct. 12. The Titans have not won since and enter Week 16 with the second-best chance to draft first overall, one spot ahead of Jacksonville.

LINE HISTORY: Oddsmakers opened the Jags as 3-point home faves and that line has not moved. The total opened at 41 and has dropped 40.5.

INJURY REPORT: Titans - TE Delanie Walker (Probable, knee), T Kamerion Wimbley (Questionable, hamstring), WR Kendall Wright (Questionable, hand). Jaguars - QB Blake Bortles (Probable, foot), DE Andre Branch (Doubtful, groin), RB Denard Robinson (I-R, foot).

COVERS POWER RANKINGS: Titans (+8.75) - Jaguars (+8.25) + home field (-3.0) = Jags -3.5

WEATHER FORECAST: Temperatures expected to be in the mid-to-low-50s with wind blowing toward the south endzone at just two mph.

WHAT CAPPERS SAY: "After 13 straight weeks in the basement, the Jaguars have emerged from the bottom of the power rankings. They are favored for the first time this week since Week Four in 2012." Covers Expert Matt Fargo.

ABOUT THE TITANS (2-12 SU, 3-10-1 ATS, 6-8 O/U): Tennessee has gone two straight games without an offensive touchdown as one of the league's most meager attacks has bottomed out. One consistent issue has been an inability to sustain drives at all - the Titans have lost the time-of-possession battle for seven straight games and are 31st in the league in that category overall (27:03), ahead of only fast-paced Philadelphia. Tennessee is last in third-down percentage (29) although it was a bit better against New York, converting 6-of-16.

ABOUT THE JAGUARS (2-12 SU, 4-9-1 O/U): Regardless of who starts under center, they will likely face pressure that has made life difficult for Bortles and Henne this season. Jacksonville has given up 19 sacks over the last three weeks and a league-high 62 overall, which is one shy of the franchise record set in 2001. Bortles, who was sacked eight times in a 20-12 loss at Baltimore last weekend, was in a walking boot Monday but told reporters he expects to play.

TRENDS:

* Titans are 1-6-1 ATS in their last eight meetings.
* Under is 4-0 in the last four meetings in Jacksonville.
* Titans are 5-1 ATS in their last six Thursday games.
* Jaguars are 1-4-1 ATS in their last six vs. AFC South.

COVERS CONSENSUS: According the Covers Consensus, the Jags are seeing 70 percent of bets.

[TheGame]

Re: NFL Betting Info Week 16.

Saturday's Tip Sheet
By Kevin Rogers
VegasInsider.com

Eagles (-8, 50) at Redskins

After the Eagles destroyed the Cowboys on Thanksgiving, Philadelphia was in the driver’s seat of the NFC East race with a playoff berth in sight. However, consecutive home losses to the Seahawks and Cowboys the past two weeks have dropped Chip Kelly’s team to 9-5, jeopardizing their postseason hopes. Now, Philadelphia takes on a pair of teams just playing out the string, starting with a 3-11 Washington squad.

Philadelphia fell in a 21-0 hole against Dallas last Sunday night in front of a nationally televised audience, but rallied back for 24 straight points to take a three-point advantage in the third quarter. However, the Eagles’ defense had no answer for Dez Bryant, who burnt Philadelphia for three touchdowns, while DeMarco Murray rushed for a pair of scores. Philadelphia lost, 38-27 as 3½-point favorites, as the rushing game which obliterated the Cowboys two weeks earlier for 256 yards, ran for just 75 yards in the loss.

The Redskins have won just six of their past 30 games, capped off by a 24-13 setback to the Giants last Sunday as seven-point road underdogs. The Robert Griffin III quarterback controversy continues to linger over this fractured franchise, as the Heisman Trophy winner relieved the injured Colt McCoy to throw for 236 yards and a touchdown. Washington led 13-10 in the third quarter before a pair of Eli Manning touchdown tosses to Odell Beckham, Jr. gave the Giants the win and sent the Redskins to their sixth straight defeat.

Washington head coach Jay Gruden doesn’t have many choices at this point on who will start under center, as Griffin gets the nod on Saturday. During this six-game skid, the ‘Skins have covered just once, coming as nine-point underdogs in a 17-13 setback at San Francisco last month. Griffin is slated to get the start, even though Washington is 0-4 SU and 1-3 ATS in the four games in which he has started and finished this season.

The last time these teams hooked up back in Week 3 at Lincoln Financial Field, Griffin sat out due to injury as Philadelphia and Washington went back-and-forth the whole way. The Eagles picked up a 37-34 triumph, but failed to cover as four-point favorites, as Nick Foles tossed three touchdown passes and threw for 325 yards. LeSean McCoy left the game with concussion-type symptoms, rushing for just 22 yards on 20 carries for the Eagles. Washington blew an early 17-7 lead as Kirk Cousins put up a career-best 427 yards in the defeat for the Redskins.

The Eagles have won four of the past five visits to FedEx Field, but Chip Kelly’s team has split its six road contests this season following a 6-2 away record in 2013. Since the start of last season, the Redskins are just 1-8 SU and 2-7 ATS against division foes, while losing four straight home games to NFC East opponents.

Chargers at 49ers (-1, 41)

Both these California squads enter Saturday’s action on losing streaks, but at least San Diego still has a shot to salvage its season. The Chargers (8-6) are coming off consecutive home losses to the two top teams in the AFC (New England and Denver), while scoring just 24 points. However, the Lightning Bolts are still hanging around in the playoff race as San Diego owns tiebreaker advantages over Baltimore and Buffalo, while heading to Kansas City next week for a possible elimination game.

San Diego has not been kind to backers following a 5-0 ATS start, as Mike McCoy’s club has covered just once in the past nine games. The Chargers put up their second-fewest points in last Sunday’s 22-10 setback to the Broncos, the sixth loss in the past seven tries to Denver since 2012. The good news for San Diego is it held Denver to five field goals and just one touchdown, but Philip Rivers was intercepted twice and the Bolts were limited 56 yards on the ground.

What about San Francisco? The 49ers (7-7) played for the NFC title in each of the past three seasons, but Jim Harbaugh’s team isn’t headed to the playoffs this year, while the rumors swirl about their head coach exiting for another job in 2015. San Francisco’s offense has disappeared recently by putting up just 23 points during a current three-game skid, while falling at rival Seattle last week, 17-7 as 10-point underdogs. Colin Kaepernick snapped a three-game stretch of throwing at least one interception, but the Niners’ quarterback has broken the 200-yard passing mark just once in the past five games.

The last time these teams met up back in 2010, the Chargers dominated the 49ers at Qualcomm Stadium, 34-7 as 10-point favorites. Rivers sliced up the Niners’ defense for 273 yards and three touchdowns, while San Francisco racked up only 192 yards of offense. Series history doesn’t mean much since they play so infrequently, but the most remembered matchup came in Super Bowl XXIX when the 49ers crushed the Chargers as 18-point favorites, 49-26.

Due to San Francisco’s inability to score of late, the ‘under’ has hit in five straight games, while the Niners are 5-1 to the ‘under’ in their first season at Levi’s Stadium. The Chargers have cashed the ‘over’ in three of the past four road contests, but they have scored 14 points or less in four of the previous six games.

The Niners have covered just twice in six tries at Levi’s Stadium, with the two ATS wins barely hitting against Philadelphia and Kansas City early in the season. The Chargers are playing only their second road game since Week 10, as San Diego saved its season in its previous away contest in a last-minute win at Baltimore in Week 13. San Diego has won two of three games against NFC foes this season, while San Francisco has dropped two of three contests in interconference action.

[TheGame]

Re: NFL Betting Info Week 16.

Gridiron Angles - Week 16
By Vince Akins
VegasInsider.com

NFL PLAY AGAINST ATS TREND:

The Cowboys are 0-10 ATS (-11.4 ppg) since December 20, 2008 as a favorite when facing a team that has averaged at least 32 minutes of possession time season-to-date.

NFL PLAY ON ATS TREND:

The Cardinals are 12-0-1 ATS (8.3 ppg) since October 30, 2011 when facing a team whose defense recorded 4-plus sacks in their last game.

NFL PLAYER TREND:

Aaron Rodgers is 11-0 ATS (11.3 ppg) since November 2008 after a game where he threw more than two passes and completed no more than 56% of his attempts.

NFL BIBLE ATS TREND:

The Buccaneers are 0-8 ATS at home after road losses in each of their last two games.

NFL BIBLE OU TREND:

The Seahawks are 16-0 OU versus any team with more wins after a win at home.

NFL ATS SUPER SYSTEM:

Teams that allowed fewer than 13 points last game and are more than five-point underdogs are 217-169-8 ATS. Active on Buffalo and Arizona.

NFL O/U OVER TREND:

The Rams are 13-0 OU (9.1 ppg) since October 9, 2005 at home when their ats margin decreased over each of their past two games and at least one of the last two games were against nondivisional opponents.

NFL O/U SUPER SYSTEM:

Teams that have thrown for at least three TDs in back-toback games are 135-102-4 OU. Active on Dallas.

NFL O/U UNDER TREND:

The Ravens are 0-10 OU (-11.7 ppg) since November 1, 2009 as a favorite of at least three points when their opponent’s season-to-date average rushing attempts per game is greater than 30.

[TheGame]

Re: NFL Betting Info Week 16.

Minnesota @ Miami
The Vikings are 27-19 ATS overall, 21-13 ATS playing as underdogs, 8-3 ATS when the total is 35½ to 42 points and 9-1 ATS the last 4 weeks of the season, but they’re 11-16 ATS versus AFC East opponents. Minnesota is 8-2 Under playing as an underdog this season, 6-1 Under playing on the road and 10-5 Under after a divisional game, but they’re 31-18 Over on the road with a total of 38½ to 42 points. The Dolphins are 44-63 ATS as favorites of 3½ to 9½ points, 22-35 ATS as home favorites of 3½ to 7 points, 5-9 ATS after a divisional game and 22-36 ATS at home with a total of 38½ to 42 points, but they’re 5-1 ATS the last 6 at home with a total of 38½ to 42 points as well as 18-11 ATS playing on grass and 13-7 ATS with a total of 35½ to 42 points. Miami is 8-2 Under when favored by 3½ to 9½ points, 26-17 Under overall, 13-5 Under as a favorite, 36-22 Under as a home favorite of 3½ to 7 points, 38-28 Under at home with a total of 38½ to 42 points, 10-3 Under playing in December, 10-3 Under versus losing teams including 9-2 Under versus losing teams in the second half of the season.


Green Bay @ Tampa Bay
The Packers are 21-13 ATS as a favorite, 19-11 ATS playing on grass including 7-1 this year, but 1-5 ATS as road favorites of 10½ to 14 points, 9-14 ATS on the road including 2-5 this season, 3-6 ATS on the road with a total of 45½ to 49 points, 11-18 ATS versus NFC South opponents and 5-11 ATS versus losing teams. Green Bay is 28-15 Over as a favorite of 10 points or more, 15-9 Over playing on the road, 10-4 Over overall this season, 8-2 Over on the road with a total of 45½ to 49 points, 19-11 Over overall with a total of 42½ to 49 points, 20-9 Over versus NFC South opponents, 78-50 Over versus losing teams and 53-35 Over in the last 4 weeks of the season. The Buccaneers are 8-13 ATS at home including 1-5 this season, 13-20 ATS versus NFC opponents, 0-3 ATS versus NFC North opponents this season, 3-9 ATS playing in December and 8-14 ATS after 2 or more consecutive losses. Tampa Bay is 5-1 Under at home this season. In this series Tampa Bay is 15-10 ATS and the Under is 17-10.


Detroit @ Chicago
The Lions are 18-27 ATS overall, 13-19 ATS playing as a favorite, 26-46 ATS as favorites of 3½ to 9½ points, 3-9 ATS as road favorites of 3½ to 7 points, 8-13 ATS playing on the road, 14-20 ATS versus NFC opponents, 2-9 ATS playing in December and 1-7 ATS after 2 or more consecutive wins, but they’re 3-1 ATS versus divisional opponents this season. Detroit is 10-4 Under overall this season, 10-6 Under versus divisional opponents, 5-0 Under after 2 or more consecutive wins, but 9-4 Over after a divisional game and 3-0 Over as road favorites of 3½ to 7 points. The Bears are 16-29 ATS overall, 6-16 ATS as an underdog, 2-6 ATS as underdogs of 3½ to 9½ points, 10-24 ATS versus NFC opponents, 3-13 ATS against divisional opponents, 12-22 ATS playing on grass, 2-9 ATS playing with revenge, 6-12 ATS when the total is 42½ to 49 points, 4-12 ATS against winning teams including 2-9 in the second half of the season and 3-9 ATS playing in December, but they’re 14-8 ATS as home underdogs of 3½ to 7 points. Chicago is 29-17 Over overall, 15-7 Over as an underdog including 8-2 this year, 20-14 Over versus NFC opponents, 21-14 Over playing on grass and 4-0 Over against winning teams, but they’re 8-3 Under at home with a total of 45½ to 49 points. In this series Detroit is 5-0 ATS the last 5 meetings and the last 2 games in Chicago went Under the total.


Atlanta @ New Orleans
The Falcons are 2-5 ATS on the road this season, 0-3 ATS road underdogs of 3½ to 7 points, 13-20 ATS playing on turf and 7-12 ATS versus losing teams, but they’re 3-1 ATS versus divisional opponents this year. Atlanta is 8-2 Under as an underdog of 3½ to 9½ points, 35-24 Under as road dogs of 3½ to 7 points, 5-2 Under on the road this year, 12-5 Under with a total of 49½ or more points and 4-0 Under after 2 or more consecutive losses. The Saints are 4-8 ATS as favorites, 2-5 ATS at home and 3-7 ATS playing on turf, but 15-9 ATS after playing on Monday night and 9-5 ATS against losing teams. New Orleans is 10-4 Over this year, 14-9 Over playing at home, 26-15 Over at home with a total of 49½ points or more and 21-14 Over playing on turf. In this series Atlanta is 27-18 ATS including 14-8 ATS at New Orleans, but the Saints are 2-0 ATS the last 2 in New Orleans.


New England @ NY Jets
The Patriots are 17-7 ATS as favorites of 3½ to 9½ points, 24-17 ATS on the road with a total of 45½ to 49 points, 12-2 ATS after a divisional game, 24-13 ATS on turf including 8-2 this year, 9-2 ATs after a divisional win and 54-32 ATS the last 4 weeks of the season, but they’re 2-5 ATS as road favorites of 7½ to 10 points. New England is 31-19 Over overall, 24-15 Over playing as a favorite, 17-8 Over as a favorite of 3½ to 9½ points, 25-13 Over versus AFC opponents, 4-0 Over against divisional opponents this season, 9-3 Over after a divisional win, 11-3 Over versus losing teams and 26-11 Over playing on turf. The Jets are 4-9 ATS this season, 2-5 ATS playing at home, 6-13 ATS at home with a total of 45½ to 49 points and 3-6 ATS playing on turf. New York is 9-3 Under versus AFC opponents and 59-36 Under playing in December. In this series the New England is 13-8 ATS playing in New York, but the Jets are 4-1 ATS the last 5 meetings and 4 of those 5 went Over the total.


Kansas City @ Pittsburgh
The Chiefs are 3-1 ATS as road dogs of 3 points or less, 8-4 ATS playing on grass and 6-2 ATS playing as underdogs this season. Kansas City is 5-2 Under playing as an underdog, 4-1 Under versus AFC North opponents, 3-0 Under after a divisional win, 8-4 Under versus winning teams in the second half of the season and 5-2 Under when the line is 3 points or less. The Steelers are 5-2 ATS when the line is 3 points or less, 9-4 ATS versus winning teams including 6-2 in the second half of the season, but they’re 0-5 ATS versus AFC West opponents. Pittsburgh is 23-14 Over as home favorites of 3 points or less, 6-0 Over at home this season, 8-2 Over playing on grass and 7-2 Over versus winning teams in the second half of the season.


Cleveland @ Houston
The Browns are 4-8 ATS after a divisional game, 3-8 ATS playing in December and 5-9 ATS versus losing teams. Cleveland is 11-4 Under versus NFC South opponents, 20-13 Under playing on grass, 13-3 Under versus losing teams including 8-2 Under in the second half of the season. The Panthers are 52-28 ATS playing in December, but 1-3 ATS after a divisional game. Carolina is 77-42 Under after a divisional game, 44-14 Under after a divisional win, 22-14 Under playing on grass, but 3-0 Over versus AFC North opponents. In this series Carolina is 3-0 ATS.


Baltimore @ Houston
The Ravens are 7-13 ATS as road favorites of 3½ to 7 points, 12-20 ATS versus AFC South opponents, 3-8 ATS in December and 5-10 ATS after 2 or more consecutive wins. Baltimore is 17-12 Under playing as a favorite, 25-8 Under versus AFC South opponents, 56-36 Under after 2 or more consecutive wins, but 5-2 Over playing on the road this season. The Texans are 7-12 ATS playing as underdogs, 2-5 ATS at home with a total of 38½ to 42 points and 3-6 ATS in the last 4 weeks of the season. Houston is 8-4 Under as dogs of 3½ to 9½ points, 8-2 Under the last 4 weeks of the season and 10-3 Under versus winning teams in the second half of the season, but they’re also 11-6 Over as home dogs of 3½ to 7 points and 5-2 Over at home with a total of 38½ to 42 points. In this series Baltimore is 7-1 straight up and 3-1 ATS at Houston. Also the the last 4 games in Houston have gone Over the total.


NY Giants @ St Louis
The Giants are 8-13 ATS playing as underdogs , 2-6 ATS this year, 2-5 ATS on the road this year, 1-4 ATS as underdogs of 3½ to 9½ points, 13-18 ATS playing on turf and 1-4 ATS versus NFC West opponents, but they’re 19-12 ATS Playing under a dome and 10-6 ATS versus losing teams. New York is 6-2 Over as an underdog, 23-12 Over playing on the road with a total of 42½ to 45 points and 11-3 Over after a divisional game, but they’re also 21-13 Under versus NFC opponents, 4-1 Under versus NFC West opponents and 9-3 Under playing in December. The Rams are 19-33 ATS at home with a total of 42½ to 45 points, 13-28 ATS versus NFC East opponents, but 9-4 ATS versus losing teams including 6-1 in the second half of the season. St Louis is 44-25 Over as favorites of 3½ to 9½ points, 22-10 Over as home favorites of 3½ to 7 points, 7-3 Over at home with a total 42½ to 45 points and 18-10 Over playing under a dome, but they’re 25-16 Under versus NFC East opponents and 11-1 Under playing in December.


Buffalo @ Oakland
The Bills are 4-2 ATS on the road this season. Buffalo is 12-2 Under this year, 5-1 Under on the road, 8-2 Under versus AFC opponents, 4-1 Under versus AFC West opponents, 10-3 Under playing on grass including 5-0 Under this year and 7-3 Under versus losing teams in the second half of the season, but they’re also 9-3 Over as road favorites of 3½ to 7 points and 4-1 Over as favorites of 3½ to 9½ points. The Raiders are 8-13 ATS at home, 50-72 ATS after a divisional game, 12-21 ATS playing on grass and 28-53 ATS playing in December. Oakland is 16-10 Under as underdogs of 3½ to 9½ points, 8-2 Under after a divisional loss, but 10-6 Over when the total is 35½ to 42 points. In this series Oakland is 8-1-1 ATS and 7 of those 10 games went Over the total.


Indianapolis @ Dallas
The Colts are 30-17 ATS overall, 14-8 ATS as road dogs of 3 points or less, 13-7 ATS when the line is 3 points or less, 20-11 ATS playing on turf, 8-3 ATS in December and 4-0 ATS after a divisional game, but they’re just 3-8 ATS versus winning teams in the second half of the season. Indianapolis is 20-9 Over versus NFC East opponents, 9-2 Over versus NFC overall, 5-1 Over on the road this season and 9-4 Over when the total is 49½ points or more, but they’re 9-3 Under playing in December. The Cowboys are 9-17 ATS playing as favorites, 9-15 ATS as home favorites of 3 points or less, 8-15 ATS at home and 34-54 ATS playing in the last 4 weeks of the season although they are 2-0 ATS this year. Dallas is 9-4 Under after a divisional game, 8-2 Under after a divisional win, but 8-3 Over after 2 or more consecutive wins.


Seattle @ Arizona
The Seahawks are 34-17 ATS overall, 24-16 ATS as favorites, 15-6 ATS as favorites of 3½ to 9½ points, 27-11 ATS versus NFC opponents, 15-6 ATS when the total is 35½ to 42 points, 11-6 ATS versus divisional opponents, 59-34 ATS playing in December, 16-8 ATS after 2 or more consecutive wins and 16-6 ATS versus winning teams including 13-3 in the second half of the season. Seattle is 12-5 Under versus divisional opponents, 24-14 Under versus NFC opponents, 11-5 Under after a divisional game including 3-0 Under this season and 7-3 Under in the last 4 weeks of the season. The Cardinals are 27-18 ATS overall including 10-4 this year, 20-10 ATS playing as an underdog, 6-1 ATS playing at home, 21-13 ATS versus NFC opponents including 8-2 this year, 9-3 ATS playing on turf and 8-3 ATS in December, but they’re 15-27 ATS at home with a total of 35½ to 42 points. Arizona is 20-9 Under as an underdog including 7-1 Under this year, 20-13 Under versus NFC opponents, 18-12 Under playing in a dome, 23-13 Under playing on turf and 6-0 Under with a total of 35½ to 42 points, but 25-16 Over at home with a total of 35½ to 38 points. In this series the Over is 9-4 In Arizona.


Denver @ Cincinnati
The Broncos are 29-19 ATS overall, 21-9 ATS as favorites of 3½ to 9½ points, 28-15 ATS as favorites overall, 6-1 ATS as road favorites of 3½ to 7 points, 8-1 ATS on the road with a total of 45½ to 49 points, 15-7 ATS with a total of 42½ to 49 points, 21-14 ATS versus AFC opponents, 5-1 ATS versus AFC North opponents, 10-2 ATS in December, but 3-9 ATS playing on turf, 0-4 ATS after a divisional game this year and 16-23 ATS playing on Monday night. Denver is 31-18 Over overall, 88-57 Over as favorites of 3½ to 9½ points, 153-101 Over as favorites overall, 110-64 Over with a total of 42½ to 49 points, 22-14 Over versus AFC opponents, 32-16 Over versus AFC North opponents, 42-25 Over playing on turf, 17-9 Over after 2 or more consecutive wins and 103-54 Over versus winning teams including 62-38 Over in the second half of the season. The Bengals are 12-6 ATS as underdogs including 5-1 this year, 14-8 ATS at home, 10-4 ATS after a divisional game, 17-12 ATS playing on turf and 9-3 ATS playing in December, but 13-21 ATS at home with a total of 45½ to 49 points. Cincinnati is 5-1 Under as an underdog, 20-14 Under at home with a total of 45½ to 49 points, 21-14 Under versus AFC opponents, and 5-1 Under versus AFC West opponents.

[TheGame]

Re: NFL Betting Info Week 16.

Minnesota at Miami, 1:00 ET
Minnesota: 8-2 UNDER as an underdog
Miami: 67-40 UNDER as a home favorite of 7 points or less


Green Bay at Tampa Bay, 1:00 ET
Green Bay: 106-69 ATS after playing their last game on the road
Tampa Bay: 3-12 ATS in home games against conference opponents


Detroit at Chicago, 1:00 ET
Detroit: 1-5 ATS after a 2 game home stand
Chicago: 15-4 ATS after 3 consecutive games with a turnover margin of -1 or worse


Atlanta at New Orleans, 1:00 ET
Atlanta: 6-1 OVER off a home loss
New Orleans: 5-1 OVER after gaining 300 or more passing yards in last game


New England at NY Jets, 1:00 ET
New England: 12-2 ATS off a division game
NY Jets: 6-11 ATS after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread


Kansas City at Pittsburgh, 1:00 ET
Kansas City: 5-1 UNDER in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 45.5
Pittsburgh: 10-2 UNDER after allowing 99 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games


Cleveland at Carolina, 1:00 ET
Cleveland: 4-12 ATS off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a favorite
Carolina: 17-7 ATS after 2 consecutive games with a turnover margin of +2 or better


Baltimore at Houston, 1:00 ET
Baltimore: 40-23 ATS in road games after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread
Houston: 2-11 ATS after playing their last game on the road


NY Giants at St Louis, 4:05 ET
NY Giants: 59-38 ATS off a home win
St Louis: 1-9 ATS after scoring and allowing 14 pts or less points


Buffalo at Oakland, 4:25 ET
Buffalo: 8-2 UNDER against conference opponents
Oakland: 7-0 UNDER off a loss by 10 points or more to a division rival


Indianapolis at Dallas, 4:25 ET
Indianapolis: 11-3 ATS after allowing 14 points or less last game
Dallas: 4-13 ATS as a home favorite


Seattle at Arizona, 8:30 ET
Seattle: 14-28 ATS off a win by 10 points or more over a division rival
Arizona: 13-5 ATS as an underdog


NFL Football Betting Trends for Monday, Dec. 22


Denver at Cincinnati, 8:30 ET
Denver: 6-0 OVER against AFC North division opponents
Cincinnati: 22-10 OVER off an upset win over a division rival as an underdog

[TheGame]

Re: NFL Betting Info Week 16.

Week 16 Tip Sheet
By Kevin Rogers
VegasInsider.com

Falcons at Saints (-6½, 56)

Week 15 Recap:

Atlanta (5-9) is still in the NFC South race in spite of a two-game skid, coming off a 27-20 home defeat to Pittsburgh as three-point underdogs. Julio Jones sat out due to a hip injury, as Matt Ryan threw for 310 yards and two touchdowns in the loss. With the defeat, the Falcons fell to 1-9 against teams outside the division.

New Orleans (6-8) rebounded from an ugly home loss to Carolina by beating up Chicago on Monday night, 31-15 as three-point road favorites. Drew Brees diced up a decimated Bears’ defense for 375 yards and three touchdowns, while the Saints surprisingly picked up their third consecutive road victory.

Previous meeting: Back in Week 1, the Falcons outlasted the Saints in overtime, 37-34, as Ryan threw for 445 yards and three touchdowns. Atlanta erased a 20-7 deficit to cover as three-point home ‘dogs, as the home teams has won five of the previous six meetings in this series.

What to watch for: Amazingly, New Orleans has lost four straight games at the Superdome with its last home win coming on October 26 against Green Bay. The Falcons have won all four games against NFC South foes this season, while Jones is expected to play on Sunday.

Chiefs at Steelers (-3, 48)

Week 15 Recap:

Kansas City (8-6) snapped a three-game skid in a 31-13 blowout of Oakland, as the Chiefs put up 21 points in the third quarter to pick up the cover as 11-point favorites. The Chiefs avenged a loss at Oakland in late November, as Andy Reid’s team improved to 5-2 at Arrowhead Stadium.

Pittsburgh (9-5) remains in the race for the AFC North title along with Cincinnati and Baltimore, as the Steelers took care of the Falcons, 27-20 for their third consecutive road victory. The Steelers rushed for just 45 yards, but Ben Roethlisberger put up 360 yards as Pittsburgh covered as a favorite for the first time in four opportunities.

Previous meeting: The Steelers held off the Chiefs in overtime, 16-13 back in 2012, as Kansas City cashed as 12½-point underdogs. Pittsburgh racked up just 249 yards, while the Chiefs covered for the third straight time against the Steelers as double-digit underdogs dating back to 2009.

What to watch for: The Chiefs own a solid 4-1 ATS record as a road underdog, while going ‘under’ the total in five of seven away contests. The Steelers began the season at 1-5 ATS in early kickoffs, but Mike Tomlin’s club has covered each of the past two weeks in 1:00 kicks.

Browns at Panthers (-4, 41)

Week 15 Recap:

Cleveland’s (7-7) playoff hopes are basically in the toilet following a 30-0 shutout at the hands of Cincinnati. Johnny Manziel’s first start didn’t give Browns’ fans hope, as the Heisman Trophy winner threw a pair of interceptions as Cleveland dropped its third straight game to fall into last place of the AFC South.

Carolina (5-8-1) won its second in a row following a seven-game winless stretch in a 19-17 victory over Tampa Bay as 3½-point favorites. Derek Anderson beat the Bucs for the second time this season, filling in for the injured Cam Newton, who missed the game following a car accident last week. Anderson threw for 277 yards, while Kelvin Benjamin and Greg Olsen each hauled in over 100 yards receiving.

Previous meeting: The Browns edged the Panthers, 24-23 in November 2010, as Carolina cashed as nine-point road underdogs. All of the main skill position players from that game are gone, as Jimmy Clausen and Jake Delhomme started that game at quarterback for each team. The victory was the first in four lifetime meetings by Cleveland, as Carolina won the first three matchups in 1999, 2002, and 2006.

What to watch for: Cleveland owns a terrific 5-0-1 ATS mark off a non-cover this season, while boasting a 5-1-1 ATS record in the underdog role. The Panthers are winless in three tries against AFC North opponents, while allowing at least 37 points in each of those contests. Newton will start after sitting out last week, as Carolina is just 4-7-1 when he starts this season.

Ravens (-5, 42) at Texans

Week 15 Recap:

Baltimore (9-5) survived a feisty Jacksonville squad in a 20-12 home win as 12-point favorites. The Ravens allowed four field goals, while the Jaguars put up just 248 yards of offense. Baltimore’s defense has yielded just 25 points in the past two victories, a stark contrast from the 61 points given up the prior two weeks against New Orleans and San Diego.

Houston (7-7) suffered a tough loss in the standings, 17-10 at Indianapolis, while running out of quarterbacks by the minute. Both Ryan Fitzpatrick and rookie Tom Savage were injured in the loss to the Colts as seven-point underdogs, while Houston’s lone touchdown came on an interception return.

Previous meeting: The Ravens routed the Texans last September as one-point home favorites, 30-9. Baltimore scored a pair of non-offensive touchdowns on a pick return and a punt return, in spite of accumulating 263 yards of offense. Joe Flacco is 5-1 in his career against the Texans, which includes a 2-1 mark in Houston.

What to watch for: Baltimore has put together a 5-1 ATS record off a non-cover this season, while winning seven of nine games against teams outside the AFC North. Case Keenum will get the start for the Texans after getting signed this week, as Houston has gone ‘under’ the total in four of the past five games.

Colts at Cowboys (-3½, 55)

Week 15 Recap:

Indianapolis (10-4) wrapped up its second straight division title with a 17-10 victory over Houston. The Colts won their fourth straight since getting blown out by the Patriots last month, as Andrew Luck threw multiple touchdown passes for the 12th time this season.

Dallas (10-4) crept closer to a division title with its seventh road win in seven tries by knocking off Philadelphia, 38-27 as 3½-point underdogs. The Cowboys cashed the ‘over’ in their sixth straight away contest, while passing the 30-point mark in each of their last six games on the highway.

Previous meeting: Dallas pulled off a 38-35 victory as 5½-point road underdogs at Indianapolis in 2010. The Cowboys built a 17-0 lead before the Colts came back to force overtime. Dallas intercepted Peyton Manning four times, while Jon Kitna led the Cowboys in place of the injured Tony Romo as the running game racked up 217 yards on the ground.

What to watch for: For as great as Dallas has played on the road, Jason Garrett’s team has been extremely average at home with a 3-4 record, including three straight losses in Arlington. The Colts are listed as an underdog for just the second time this season, as Indianapolis covered in a 31-24 setback in Week 1 at Denver as eight-point ‘dogs.

[TheGame]

Re: NFL Betting Info Week 16.

Total Talk - Week 16
By Chris David
VegasInsider.com

Week 15 Recap

The ‘under’ produced an eye opening 13-3 record last weekend and that number could’ve been better too. Anybody who had the ‘over’ in the Oakland-Kansas City matchup received an early holiday gift thanks to the Raiders punching in a meaningless touchdown at the end of the game. Through 15 weeks, the ‘under’ has gone 116-107-1.

Home/Away Tendencies

With only two weeks left in the season, there are some solid seasonal total trends to watch in Week 15.

Pittsburgh is 6-0 to the ‘over’ at home
Steelers host Chiefs

Tampa Bay and San Francisco both 5-1 to the ‘under’ at home
Buccaneers host Packers, 49ers host Chargers

Indianapolis is 5-1 to the ‘over’ on the road
Colts visit Cowboys

Detroit is 6-0 to the ‘under’ on the road
Lions visit Bears

Minnesota is 6-1 to the ‘under’ on the road
Vikings visit Dolphins

Buffalo is 5-1 to the ‘under’ on the road
Bills visit Raiders

30-Something

Even though the NFL is known as an offensive-first league these days, defensive struggles do occur and it’s pretty easy to figure out which games will be low-scoring based on the totals, this season in particular.

Through 15 weeks, there have been four games with totals that closed in the thirties and all four have gone ‘under’ the total.

Week 1 – Carolina 20 at Tampa Bay 14 (Under 38)
Week 2 – St. Louis 19 at Tampa Bay 17 (Under 37)
Week 14 – Seattle 17 vs. San Francisco 7 (Under 38)
Week 15 – Jacksonville 21 vs. Tennessee 13 (Under 39)

Why do bring this angle up? Because we have two more games pending on Sunday.

Buffalo at Oakland
Seattle at Arizona

Divisional Games

Only six divisional matchups in Week 16, five of them set for Saturday and Sunday. Trends and thoughts provided below.

Philadelphia at Washington (Saturday): High total (50½) in this game that will have both teams playing on short rest. Fortunately, not much travel is involved. Since Chip Kelly took over the Eagles, they’ve scored 33, 24 and 37 points against the Redskins. The difference for this game is that QB Mark Sanchez is behind center for Philadelphia and he’s in a funk. RG3 will start for the ‘Skins and he’s just as inconsistent as Sanchez.

Detroit at Chicago: Three of the last four in this series have gone ‘over’ the total including this year’s matchup on Thanksgiving as the Lions earned a 34-17 win. The Bears are starting Jimmy Clausen at QB and the total has dropped from 46 to 44. Knowing how good an ‘under’ bet (6-0) Detroit has been on the road, I’m surprised it hasn’t fallen lower.

Atlanta at New Orleans: This is the highest total (56) on the board. In Week 1, Atlanta nipped New Orleans 37-34 in overtime at home and the ‘over’ (51) cashed. Prior to this outcome, the ‘under’ was on a 3-0 run. Based on the limited defensive units and their ability to throw the ball often, it’s either ‘over’ or pass for me in this matchup.

New England at N.Y. Jets: The ‘over’ is on a 9-1 run in this series and even though the Patriots have the more explosive offense, New York has done its fair share of scoring. In their last two games against New England, the Jets have scored 25 and 30 points. In what will likely be Rex Ryan’s final home game as coach of the Jets, part of me believes New York keeps this close. With that being said, they’ll have to score 20-plus just to keep up with New England.

Seattle at Arizona: (See Below)

Non-Conference Matchups

Betting the ‘over’ in AFC-NFC matchups last season was one of the best seasonal total trends I’ve ever seen. It posted a 49-15 (76.5%) record and the Super Bowl between Seattle and Denver also went ‘over’ the number.

Delving into the numbers further, there have been two good looks this season. Playing the ‘under’ (10-5) in AFC East-NFC North matchups and the ‘over’ (11-4) in AFC South-NFC East games.

We have four non-conference matchups left and they all play this weekend.

San Diego at San Francisco (Saturday)
Minnesota at Miami
Cleveland at Carolina
Indianapolis at Dallas

Three Straight?

Despite getting 32 points in the second-half, the Saints and Bears still went ‘under’ their closing total of 53½. With that result, the “Thursday Night Total” system has lost in its past two situations. For those new to VI and this weekly piece, all you have to do is find out who played at home the previous Thursday and play the ‘over’ in their next game, regardless of the venue. Despite back-to-back losses, this particular angle has gone 9-4 (69%) mark this season and 24-6-1 (80%) dating back to last year.

For Week 16, the system calls for an ‘over’ play in the Giants-Rams matchup on Sunday since St. Louis hosted Arizona last Thursday.

This total opened at 45½ and has come down to 43. The St. Louis defense has given up a total of 12 points in its last three games but those efforts came against the Raiders, Redskins and Cardinals. While it’s too little-too late for New York, you can’t ignore the fact that the Giants have scored 28, 24, 36 and 24 points in their last four games.

Under the Lights

Including this past Thursday’s outcome between the Jaguars and Titans, the ‘over’ has gone 32-15 in primetime games this season.

Seattle at Arizona: Low totals are always dangerous to bet but based on this year’s numbers (See 30-Something), the ‘under’ is the looks. Seattle defeated Arizona 19-3 at home in Week 12 and I can’t imagine the Cardinals scoring more in this spot, especially with Ryan Lindley at QB. Arizona’s defense is holding opponents to 15 PPG at home, which has helped the ‘under’ go 5-2.

Denver at Cincinnati: The Broncos have seen the ‘under’ cash in their last three games and the offense appears to be content with running rather than passing. The Bengals have gone 4-2 in the second-half of the season but both losses came at home and they only scored 24 combined points in those setbacks. In night games this season, the Bengals have scored 17 and 3 points.

Fearless Predictions

Only three games went ‘over’ last weekend and leave it to me to be on the opposite side of one of them. Thanks Oakland! And not to hop on the bandwagon, but Johnny Football squashed the Teaser, which dropped the bankroll ($70) to negative numbers. With two weeks of regular season action left, we need to turn it around. As always, Press, Pass or Fade but in the end – Good Luck and Merry Christmas!

Best Over: Giants-Rams 43

Best Under: Vikings-Dolphins 42

Best Team Total: Over 18½ New York Jets

Three-Team Total Teaser (9-Point, +100)
Over Giants-Rams 34
Over Chiefs-Steelers 38½
Under Lions-Bears 53

[TheGame]

Re: NFL Betting Info Week 16.

MNF - Broncos at Bengals
By Kevin Rogers
VegasInsider.com

Four of the six playoff spots in the AFC have been clinched with one game remaining in Week 16. The Bengals can qualify for their fourth straight postseason berth with a win tonight over the Broncos, while facing the rival Steelers next week for a shot at the AFC North title. However, Denver still has plenty to play for as the Broncos want to wrap up the top seed in the AFC.

Cincinnati (9-4-1) received a huge break on Sunday with Baltimore’s embarrassing loss at Houston to drop the Ravens down to 9-6. Baltimore can still get in the playoffs with a win and a San Diego loss, but the logjam atop the AFC North loosened up with the Ravens stumbling in Texas. The Steelers continued to roll along with their victory over the Chiefs, as the Black and Gold needs a win next week over Cincinnati to clinch the AFC North, regardless of what happens tonight.

The Bengals bounced back from a rough fourth quarter performance against the Steelers two weeks ago when they allowed 25 points in the final 15 minutes, as Cincinnati shut out Cleveland last week. Marvin Lewis’ defense cranked it up as 2½-point road underdogs to limit Johnny Manziel to 80 yards passing and intercept the Heisman Trophy winner twice in a 30-0 rout. Andy Dalton didn’t put up great numbers by throwing for 117 yards and an interception, but rookie running back Jeremy Hill rushed for 148 yards and a pair of scores to avenge a Week 10 home loss to the Browns.

Denver (11-3) won its fourth straight game to stay neck-and-neck with New England for the top seed in the AFC playoff race with a 22-10 triumph at San Diego as four-point favorites. The Broncos kicked five field goals (three from 26 yards or closer) and reached the end zone just one time, but Denver’s defense intercepted Philip Rivers twice, while improving to 4-3 on the road this season. Peyton Manning threw for 233 yards on only 14 completions, but the Broncos have covered just three of their past seven games.

This season, if the Broncos win on the road, they normally cover. In all four victories away from Sports Authority Field, John Fox’s team is a perfect 4-0 ATS. However, Denver is just 1-2 ATS as a single-digit road favorite, while posting an 0-3 ATS record in its three losses to St. Louis, New England, and Seattle, so if you like Cincinnati tonight, take them on the money-line, which will pay back +160 ($160 on a $100 bet).

The Bengals posted a perfect 8-0 record at Paul Brown Stadium last season before bowing out to the Chargers in an ugly Wild Card loss. Cincinnati hasn’t put together the same type of home magic this season with a 4-2-1 record. The Bengals began the home campaign with blowout wins over the Falcons and Titans, but last won a home contest back in Week 9 against a dreadful Jacksonville squad. Out of Cincinnati’s nine victories this season, only three are against teams currently sitting above .500, beating Baltimore twice and knocking off Houston.

The last time these teams met up came back in 2012, when the Broncos knocked off the Bengals at Paul Brown Stadium, 31-23 as five-point favorites. Denver led 10-3 at halftime, but the scoring opened up in the second half with the two teams combining for 41 points to push the game ‘over’ the total of 47½. Manning threw three touchdown passes in the win, including a pair to Eric Decker, but Cincinnati’s defense picked off the future Hall-of-Famer twice. Denver has won each of the past four meetings in the series, with Cincinnati’s last victory coming in 2004.

The Broncos will be off for the first weekend of the playoffs with just one win in its final two games, as both Denver and New England try to wrap up the top seed in the AFC. Denver needs to go the extra step and win both tonight and next week at home against Oakland, paired with a New England loss to Buffalo to capture home-field advantage in the AFC playoffs.

Denver is making its first appearance on Monday night football this season, while beating Oakland last September at home in its previous showing under the Monday night lights. Two seasons ago, the Broncos split a pair of road games on Monday night with a defeat at Atlanta, but Denver erased a 24-0 deficit in a 35-24 triumph at San Diego. The Bengals are hosting just their second Monday night game since 2008, beating the Steelers last season at Paul Brown Stadium, 20-10.

Cincinnati has won and covered each of its past four opportunities in the home underdog role since 2012, including a 27-24 victory over Baltimore back in Week 8. The last time the Bengals lost in the home ‘dog role, it came to the Broncos two seasons ago.

Both teams are riding nice ‘under’ stretches, as Denver has cashed the ‘under’ in three straight games, while Cincinnati is 5-1 to the ‘under’ in the past six contests. However, the Bengals have drilled the ‘over’ in four of their last five home games.

The Broncos opened up as 3½-point road favorites and that number has remained there for the entire week. The total came out at 48, but is dropping to 47 ½ and even down to 47 at several books. Temperatures are expected to be in the mid-40’s, as the game kicks off at 8:30 PM EST and can be seen on ESPN.