NFL Plays Week 11

[jumperjack]

43-52 for the season in the NFL (-$8,260)



Comp Play
$400 Indianapolis -3 (-105)

[jumperjack]

Re: NFL Plays Week 11

Started the week off with this...

$400 Carolina -3.5 LOSER (-440)

[junior713]

Re: NFL Plays Week 11

this week. Hope it turns around for you/us.

[ex50Warrior]

Re: NFL Plays Week 11

Damn 4th quarter; brutal loss.

[Winningpix]

Re: NFL Plays Week 11

I have a feeling you're going to have a big week !

[cubfan]

Re: NFL Plays Week 11

[MacDaddy33]

Re: NFL Plays Week 11

[GUYDANIO]

Re: NFL Plays Week 11

JUMP.

[elwood]

Re: NFL Plays Week 11

ON THE CARD JJ!

[sticktwo]

Re: NFL Plays Week 11

good luck on sunday

[jumperjack]

Re: NFL Plays Week 11

These were my plays in the early games, thought I had a good chance to sweep about 10 minutes before the ones I lost ended...

$400 Indianapolis -3 (-105) $WINNER$ (+400)
$400 Jacksonville +6.5 LOSER (-440)
$400 Chicago +7.5 (-115) $WINNER$ (+400)
$400 Arizona/Minnesota over 40 $WINNER$ (+400)
$400 Baltimore +7.5 (-120) LOSER (-480)
$400 Cleveland +8.5 (-115) LOSER (-460)

[captjoe388]

Re: NFL Plays Week 11

Pitt won X 15

[jumperjack]

Re: NFL Plays Week 11

Had these in the afternoon and night games...

$400 Miami/L.A. Rams over 39.5 LOSER (-440)
$400 Philadelphia/Seattle under 43 $WINNER$ (+400)
$400 Green Bay +3 (-125) LOSER (-500)

[jumperjack]

Re: NFL Plays Week 11

I think tonight's game has become a must play after this weekend's results. Saturday of the 21 most heavily bet games the books held that had a greater than 55/45% bet split, the betting public won 15. Of those 21 the books lost 6 of the 7 highest volume games. This is something I track every weekend, and that is the worst week the books had in CFB all year, it's not even close. Today the books had 4 sides that were by far the highest volume and also were one-sidedly bet. The books lost every single one of them. New England, Seattle, Pittsburgh and Miami all covered the number, though some early week bettors pushed the New England play with -13. I liked Houston all along Monday, just was a little leary as to whether Mexico would have a fan base rooting for either team. Texas borders Mexico, my first thought was that Houston would actually have a fan base there, I know the Cowboys do. Let's assume for a second there is no home field advantage as far as the fans. Even on a neutral field this line is WAY outta whack. My raw power rankings have the Raiders as a 3.5 point better team. That means my line would be Oakland -6.5 if they were playing in Oakland, and if they were in Houston basically a Pick 'em. The Raiders are still a young team that plays sloppily, they often kill themselves with penalties. They just played their best game of the season, and this line is an over-reaction to that result. I love fading teams off optimal performances, we bet against Tennessee today because I felt they played as well as they possibly could last week in beating Green Bay. I think Oakland's game against Denver was a very similarly "as good as they can play" performance. The books also know that the Raiders are fast becoming a betting favorite of the public, another reason for the "bad line". Had planned on passing the game, I think with the books heavy losses this weekend, this has become a MUST PLAY.

$400 Houston +6

[GUYDANIO]

Re: NFL Plays Week 11

GREAT INFORMATION ON THE HOUSTON/OAKLAND GAME JUMP......THANK YOU I WILL BE TAKEN YOUR CALL ON THIS GAME.

THANK YOU
GUY