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  • #1

    championship games thoughts

    game number = 18 and H and p:TY - po:TY >145 and line >-8



    championship game..
    home..
    previous outgained opponent by >145 yards..
    favorite <8 or dog

    0-7 (6.93)


    fade gb



    tampa +3



    tampa was a play last year (fading saints)
    avg line/total very close to today's



    https://sportsdatabase.com/nfl/query...+S+D+Q+L+%21++
    Last edited by bleeker; 01-21-2021, 10:40 PM.
    _______________________________________________
    ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)
    Tags: None
  • #2
    Re: championship games thoughts

    PO = 1 and p:PO = 1 and po:P1 < 10 and po:P2 < 10 and po:P3 < 10 and po:P4 < 10 and A and p:site = home and conference = AFC and surface = grass and 0 2002

    afc..
    playoffs..
    previous game playoffs..
    grass..
    away..
    previous home..
    previous opp scored <10 each quarter..
    previous opp points 1-19..
    previous points <26
    2003

    5-0 o/u (31.80)

    so games go over by an avg of 31+ points in this scenario with the smallest being by 20.5 !!


    buf over 54





    https://sportsdatabase.com/nfl/query...+S+D+Q+L+%21++
    Last edited by bleeker; 01-22-2021, 08:29 AM.
    _______________________________________________
    ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

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    • #3
      Re: championship games thoughts

      Comment

      • #4
        Re: championship games thoughts

        team angle on Packers

        12-0-1 (21.00, 100.0%)
        13-0-0 (15.12, 100.0%) avg line: -5.9 +6: 13-0-0 (100.0%) -6: 10-3-0 (76.9%) +10: 13-0-0 (100.0%) -10: 8-5-0 (61.5%)
        7-5-1 (-0.54, 58.3%) avg total: 47.1 +6: 3-10-0 (23.1%) -6: 9-3-1 (75.0%) +10: 3-10-0 (23.1%) -10: 10-3-0 (76.9%)
        30.8 138.8 32.8 249.5 22.0 0.9 7.3 10.4 8.3 7.8 33.8
        24.3 107.5 34.8 187.0 17.8 2.6 1.5 4.3 3.1 3.8 12.8
        Jan 24, 2021 view Sunday 20 2020 Packers Buccaneers home -3.5 51.5

        Comment

        • #5
          Re: championship games thoughts

          nice one rolltide
          _______________________________________________
          ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

          Comment

          • #6
            Re: championship games thoughts

            also seems to pick up some steam 2nd half of the season


            https://sportsdatabase.com/nfl/query...+S+D+Q+L+%21++
            _______________________________________________
            ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

            Comment

            • #7
              Re: championship games thoughts

              Hmm. Conflicting trends on the Bay game...

              Comment

              • #8
                Re: championship games thoughts

                Comment

                • #9
                  Re: championship games thoughts

                  Originally posted by dollars View Post
                  Hmm. Conflicting trends on the Bay game...


                  I like rolltide's better dollars..

                  buf over 54
                  gb -3.5
                  _______________________________________________
                  ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

                  Comment

                  • #10
                    Re: championship games thoughts

                    Comment

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