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  • #1

    thanksgiving

    a very happy and hopefully prosperous Thanksgiving to everybody!


    away favorites> 6.5 on Thanksgiving

    can't get any simpler than that


    https://killersports.com/nfl/query?o...+S+D+Q+L+%21++




    6-0(15.83)
    5-0(18.00) last 5
    3-0 (19.83) vs the lions (last time was 2009)




    the fringe 54 total( is another) was the 2nd highest margin by quite a bit
    Last edited by bleeker; 11-23-2022, 05:44 PM.
    _______________________________________________
    ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)
    Tags: None
  • #2
    Always good info!

    Comment

    • #3
      Thanks Glenn like that

      Comment

      • #4
        How about this Glenn fairly simple query

        Poor teams, (less than 45% WP) as a big dog (>9 points) on thanksgiving day 0-10 suats with hefty margins. BILLS !

        1122 <= int(str(date) [4 :]) <= 1128 and day = Thursday and D and WP<45 and line>9

        http://www.gimmethedog.com/NFL?q=112...and%20line%3E9

        Comment

        • #5
          Originally posted by Thomas View Post
          How about this Glenn fairly simple query

          Poor teams, (less than 45% WP) as a big dog (>9 points) on thanksgiving day 0-10 suats with hefty margins. BILLS !

          1122 <= int(str(date) [4 :]) <= 1128 and day = Thursday and D and WP<45 and line>9

          http://www.gimmethedog.com/NFL?q=112...and%20line%3E9
          nice thomas but I just realized I got the dates wrong..tg can be between 1122 and 1128 so the dates to get that are 1121 and 1129..my way cuts off 2 days..sure it's still a good record but looking at the query again with the correction
          _______________________________________________
          ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

          Comment

          • #6

            Comment

            • #7
              Originally posted by bleeker View Post

              nice thomas but I just realized I got the dates wrong..tg can be between 1122 and 1128 so the dates to get that are 1121 and 1129..my way cuts off 2 days..sure it's still a good record but looking at the query again with the correction
              see you got it right with the dates (<=) so your output is correct
              _______________________________________________
              ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

              Comment

              • #8
                1121 < int(str(date) [4 :]) < 1129 and day = Thursday and AF and line <-6.5 and season > 2001 and op:ats margin >-16

                thanksgiving
                away favorite >6.5
                opp previous didn't lose to the spread by >16
                2002

                6-0 (18.83) smallest 11


                https://killersports.com/nfl/query?o...+S+D+Q+L+%21++




                buf -9.5
                _______________________________________________
                ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

                Comment

                • #9

                  Comment

                  • #10
                    discussed elsewhere and brought up originally by michelangelo...here's KS take


                    1121 < int(str(date) [4 :]) < 1129 and day = Thursday and p:margin <-10 and F and season >1997


                    5-0 (18.00)

                    .https://killersports.com/nfl/query?o...+S+D+Q+L+%21++


                    min -2.5
                    _______________________________________________
                    ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

                    Comment

                    • #11

                      Tgiving Day specifics:

                      VS 2+ less wins than opponent, not off blowout game, not off big dog, opp not off huge fav (3-34 = on BUF, MIN) Lions are 1-11 in this spot avg loss 30-17

                      VS home turf dog not dog of 8+ last week and didn't win by 16+ (2-21 = on BUF)

                      VS above dog>3.5 (0-11 ATS = on BUF) avg loss 33-14, Lions 0-5 ATS losses by 3-6-11-14.5-22.5

                      VS home total>47 wasn't fav of 7.5+ last game (1-15 = on BUF) only cover was Lions by 0.5 point losing by 3 as 3.5 dog vs Houston

                      ON fav off 14+ point loss (8-1 SUATS = on MIN)

                      UNDER game starting after 8:16 pm ET (1-11 ou = MIN/NE u)

                      OVER early game starting before 3:20 ET, high or low total (10-1 ou = DET/BUF o) note: game avg 57 ppg with 32 ppg coming in 1H

                      Comment

                      • #12
                        Bill Bel and his Pats are unbeaten on 3-day rest before week 14 in L10 games

                        team = Patriots and rest = 3 and season > 2008 and week<14
                        10-0-0 (17.70, 100.0%)
                        7-2-1 (9.50, 77.8%) avg line: -8.2 +6: 8-2-0 (80.0%) -6: 5-5-0 (50.0%) +10: 10-0-0 (100.0%) -10: 5-5-0 (50.0%)
                        5-5-0 (-2.50, 50.0%) avg total: 47.6 +6: 4-6-0 (40.0%) -6: 5-5-0 (50.0%) +10: 2-8-0 (20.0%) -10: 6-4-0 (60.0%)
                        27.8 111.6 33.8 268.8 23.2 0.8 5.7 11.8 3.3 10.6 31.4
                        24.4 98.5 40.4 238.0 23.9 2.7 1.6 4.3 4.4 3.4 13.7
                        Nov 24, 2022 view Thursday 12 2022 Patriots Vikings away 2.5 42.5

                        Comment

                        • #13
                          https://killersports.com/nfl/query?o...+S+D+Q+L+%21++



                          dal under 45.5



                          applies to min under also but don't want to be on both in that game
                          _______________________________________________
                          ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

                          Comment

                          • #14

                            Comment

                            • #15
                              Bills -4.5 2H

                              BUF #2 in NFL 2nd half defense
                              DET #31 in NFL 2nd half defense

                              Comment

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