No clue week 12

[Riderx]

Short & sweet for T'Day. The Lions have the opportunity to go 4-0 in November for the first time in 60 years when they beat a 10-0 Packers team s/u as +6'pt dogs on T'Day.

Exceptionally rare spot: Any home dog of more than +7 off a s/u win by 10+ as a road dog:

GimmeTheDog

2-0 s/u & ats

s/u wins by +13 & +12 as dogs of +9' & +12'

Detroit +9'(+10)...Detroit +330 m/l...Detroit-3 & -7 & -10 alt lines

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Any div home fav of more than -7 before week 17 & not MNF, team won prev same-season m/u s/u on the road in which they were tied after the 3rd-Qtr:

GimmeTheDog

7-0 s/u
but
0-7 ats

Giants+9'

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Any non-div road team vs the Vikings, dog or fav, team scored a punt return touchdown:

GimmeTheDog

0-4 s/u
&
0-4 ats
&
4-0 o/u

Minny-2'...Over 42'

BOL & Happy Thanksgiving!!! Don't overdo anything!!!

[BT]

Damn, X. I’ve got Buff, GMen and the Pats. And Pats under. Oh well. Happy Thanksgiving and thanks for always posting your great work!

[cains]

I got The girls, bills and vikings as my 3 top SU picks this week . With Chiefs, Niners, Eagles right after.

[Chamblin]

[Riderx]

For what it's worth: The Vikings as a home fav of less than -6 vs any non-div opp they lost to s/u as a dog of more than +5 last m/u:

GimmeTheDog

9-0 ats

Minny-2'

[Riderx]

This is not a play...yet. But any conf road dog on MNF w/a total less than 44, team is off a s/u loss in which they scored 28+pts:

GimmeTheDog

2-0 s/u...lean: Pitt+2'
&
2-0 o/u...lean: Over 39

[Chamblin]

[Riderx]

Funny little note: KC is 7-2 s/u & 7-1-1 ats vs the Rams, but the only time they were DD favs they lost s/u at home 0-16 w/a low total of 43. You never know...maybe...

Had to pop back in & add this: Any home fav of more than -14 on Sunday between weeks 6 to 15, team is off a SNF game:

KillerSports.com

0-3 ats...against KC-15'

Play on: Butt-Ugly Rams+15'

Scores of: 31-28, 24-27 & 43-37 in OT

[Riderx]

Any non-div conf road dog of +5 or more off a s/u win as a home fav, opp is off an ats win by more than +14 as a road fav of more than -4:

GimmeTheDog

4-3 s/u
&
7-0 ats

the 3 s/u losses were by: -1, -1 & -2

Play on: Butt-Ugly Saints+9'...m/l shot!

[Chamblin]

[cains]

p:L and po:points<12 and season>2015 and F

Jets 7-0 SU and 5-1-1 ATS.

p:L and po:points<12 and season>2015

Jets 11-2 SU and 11-1-1 ATS and Under 9-4

Not sure i got the guts to do it with QB change.. But if QB was the weak link of Jets it might actually be a good line...

[Riderx]

Any road dog w/a total less than 42, off a home game in which they scored between 20 to 35 points & had a kickoff return touchdown:

KillerSports.com

0-5 ats...play against Atlanta+4

*****After week 7, absolute blowout losses of -30, -41 & -32*****

Play on: Wash-4

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

The Jaguars as a non-div home dog of less than +10' vs opp that was a fav of more than -7 last game:

KillerSports.com

4-0 ats

Play on: Jaguars+3'

***w/a total more than 35: 3-0 o/u...lean: Over 43***

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Any road fav after week 10 with less than 5 wins vs opp that was a road dog of more than +7 last game:

KillerSports.com

4-0 ats

***All 4 games won s/u by 14+pts***

Play on: Broncos-1

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

The Titans at home vs non-div opp & not a fav of more than -7' off a game they had 3+ passing touchdowns:

KillerSports.com

0-8 s/u & ats...4 of those games were as favs...play against: Titans+1

Play on: Cincy-1

***Titans kicker Bullock is out***

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Any non-div road dog of less than +14 after week 9 & opp has less than 3 losses since 2014, team avg t/o margin minus opp avg t/o margin is +1 or more:

KillerSports.com

10-0 ats...play on: Packers+6'

**********If both teams are in the NFC, dog of less than +13 since 2005********

KillerSports.com

7-0 s/u & ats...play on: Packers+6'...Packers on the m/l

All of those 7 previous were dogs of at least +7...All of them won s/u!!!

Packers+6'
&
Packers m/l

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

And finally...

Any fav of more than -3 off a s/u loss vs the Patriots in which they were tied at the end of the 3rd-Qtr:

KillerSports.com

3-0 ats...play on: Jets-7
&
0-3 o/u...lean: Under 38

but this sweetens the deal...

Any dog of more than +5 w/a total less than 43 vs a non-div opp off the Patriots, team scored 21+pts in at least 3 straight games (da' Bears):

KillerSports.com

0-2 ats
&
0-2 o/u

**********s/u losses by -25 & -32...scores of 3-28 & 3-35 at +6' & +8 with low totals of 41 & 41'**********

Play against: Bears+

Play on: Jets-7

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

I would look at alternate lines on GB & NYJ...

BOL!!!

[Riderx]

p:L and po:points<12 and season>2015 and F

Jets 7-0 SU and 5-1-1 ATS.

p:L and po:points<12 and season>2015

Jets 11-2 SU and 11-1-1 ATS and Under 9-4

Not sure i got the guts to do it with QB change.. But if QB was the weak link of Jets it might actually be a good line...

cains,

Didn't see your post until I got thru typing all that. I got the Jets- as my POW & have them in a beatdown of da' Bears today. Forecasted turnovers of 3+ by da' Bears & maybe 1 or 2 defensive touchdowns by the Jets...

...I hope...

BOL!!!

[Chamblin]

GOOD STUFF !!!!!!!!!!!

[Riderx]

Thanks Chamblin...

BOL!!!