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week 15 starting w/tnf

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  • #16
    12.5+ home dogs have won 5 of 8 and covered all 8 when not playing with extra rest

    HD and line>12 and season>2020 and rest<9
    5-3-0 (4.25, 62.5%)
    8-0-0 (18.31, 100.0%) avg line: 14.1 +6: 8-0-0 (100.0%) -6: 6-2-0 (75.0%) +10: 8-0-0 (100.0%) -10: 6-2-0 (75.0%)
    4-4-0 (-2.19, 50.0%) avg total: 45.4 +6: 2-6-0 (25.0%) -6: 4-3-1 (57.1%) +10: 2-6-0 (25.0%) -10: 6-2-0 (75.0%)
    28.4 128.8 28.6 214.9 19.9 0.8 4.2 7.1 4.2 8.1 23.8
    21.6 97.0 40.1 293.9 26.6 1.4 3.8 4.9 4.6 6.2 19.5
    Dec 18, 2022 view Sunday 15 2022 Texans Chiefs home 14.5 48.5
    Nov 03, 2022 view Thursday 9 2022 Texans Eagles home 7-7 7-7 3-7 0-8 17-29 14.0 45.0 -12 2.0 1.0 1.5 -0.5 L W O 0
    Oct 23, 2022 view Sunday 7 2022 Panthers Buccaneers home 0-0 7-0 7-0 7-3 21-3 13.0 38.5 18 31.0 -14.5 8.2 -22.8 W W U 0
    Jan 09, 2022 view Sunday 18 2021 Jaguars Colts home 7-0 6-3 10-0 3-8 26-11 14.0 43.5 15 29.0 -6.5 11.2 -17.8 W W U 0
    Jan 02, 2022 view Sunday 17 2021 Jets Buccaneers home 7-7 10-3 7-7 0-11 24-28 14.5 47.5 -4 10.5 4.5 7.5 -3.0 L W O 0
    Dec 26, 2021 view Sunday 16 2021 Texans Chargers home 7-6 10-6 0-3 24-14 41-29 13.0 45.5 12 25.0 24.5 24.8 -0.2 W W O 0
    Dec 19, 2021 view Sunday 15 2021 Lions Cardinals home 3-0 14-0 7-6 6-6 30-12 13.0 48.0 18 31.0 -6.0 12.5 -18.5 W W U 0
    Nov 07, 2021 view Sunday 9 2021 Jaguars Bills home 3-3 3-3 0-0 3-0 9-6 14.5 48.5 3 17.5 -33.5 -8.0 -25.5 W W U 0
    Oct 31, 2021 view Sunday 8 2021 Texans Rams home 0-7 0-17 0-14 22-0 22-38 16.5 47.0 -16 0.5 13.0 6.8 6.2 L W O 0

    Comment

    • #17
      14 <= week <= 16 and H and DIV and rest >11 and wins >0 and line <13 and o:streak >-4 and po:INT<2


      week 14-16
      ​​home
      division
      bye
      wins >0
      dog < 13 or favorite
      opp not on a 3+ losing streak
      previous opp < 2 interceptions


      8-0 o/u (15.19)




      https://killersports.com/nfl/query?o...+S+D+Q+L+%21++


      11 year gap and 20 year gap

      smallest margin a tuesday game (mon makeup?)


      no 43.5
      was 40.5

      over
      _______________________________________________
      ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

      Comment

      • #18
        nice one rollltide..did a little extra filtering

        day = sunday
        line max 16.5 ..quite a bit higher than the rest




        https://killersports.com/nfl/query?s...output=summary


        6-0 (24.00)


        hou +14.5
        _______________________________________________
        ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

        Comment

        • #19
          bit of a rare one as WAS meeting NYG for 2nd game in a row

          home teams facing same opponent as last game are 8-0 ou going over by nearly 18 ppg as they average 61 points

          po:team=o:team and H and season>2000 and p:points<34

          8-0-0 (17.44, 100.0%) avg total: 43.6 +6: 5-3-0 (62.5%) -6: 8-0-0 (100.0%) +10: 4-4-0 (50.0%) -10: 8-0-0 (100.0%)
          26.1 139.5 36.4 291.4 25.6 1.5 7.1 12.9 5.1 8.9 34.8
          24.5 106.0 35.2 267.4 23.0 2.0 3.9 7.0 5.6 9.8 26.2
          Dec 18, 2022 view Sunday 15 2022 Commanders Giants home -4.5 40.5
          Dec 12, 2021 view Sunday 14 2021 Browns Ravens home 10-0 14-6 0-3 0-13 24-22 -3.0 44.0 2 -1.0 2.0 0.5 1.5 W L O 0
          Jan 10, 2021 view Sunday 18 2020 Steelers Browns home 0-28 10-7 13-0 14-13 37-48 -5.5 48.0 -11 -16.5 37.0 10.2 26.8 L L O 0
          Jan 10, 2010 view Sunday 18 2009 Cardinals Packers home 17-0 7-10 14-14 7-21 51-45 1.0 47.5 6 7.0 48.5 27.8 20.8 W W O 1
          Jan 09, 2010 view Saturday 18 2009 Cowboys Eagles home 0-0 27-7 7-0 0-7 34-14 -4.0 45.0 20 16.0 3.0 9.5 -6.5 W W O 0
          Jan 09, 2010 view Saturday 18 2009 Bengals Jets home 7-0 0-14 0-7 7-3 14-24 -2.5 34.0 -10 -12.5 4.0 -4.2 8.2 L L O 0
          Jan 09, 2005 view Sunday 18 2004 Colts Broncos home 14-0 21-3 0-14 14-7 49-24 -11.0 56.0 25 14.0 17.0 15.5 1.5 W W O 0
          Jan 12, 2002 view Saturday 19 2001 Raiders Jets home 6-0 10-3 0-7 22-14 38-24 -4.0 42.0 14 10.0 20.0 15.0 5.0 W W O 0
          Jan 12, 2002 view Saturday 19 2001 Eagles Buccaneers home 3-3 14-6 7-0 7-0 31-9 -3.5 32.0 22 18.5 8.0 13.2 -5.2 W W O 0

          Comment

          • #20

            Comment

            • #21
              posted this somewhere that I can't find and said I wasn't sure cause it's a monday game..like mon systems for mon games..going ahead with this in spite of it


              week > 12 and p:week = week - 2 and playoffs = 0 and o:streak = 1 and o:wins>1 and op:points >16 and op:punts >2


              week >12
              off bye
              opp won last and lost 2 back
              opp > 1 win
              opp previous points > 16
              opp previous punts > 2



              0-12 o/u (-10.21)


              https://killersports.com/nfl/query?o...+S+D+Q+L+%21++




              gb under 39.5
              _______________________________________________
              ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

              Comment

              • #22
                Originally posted by bleeker View Post
                posted this somewhere that I can't find and said I wasn't sure cause it's a monday game..like mon systems for mon games..going ahead with this in spite of it


                week > 12 and p:week = week - 2 and playoffs = 0 and o:streak = 1 and o:wins>1 and op:points >16 and op:punts >2


                week >12
                off bye
                opp won last and lost 2 back
                opp > 1 win
                opp previous points > 16
                opp previous punts > 2



                0-12 o/u (-10.21)


                https://killersports.com/nfl/query?o...+S+D+Q+L+%21++




                gb under 39.5
                Sweet...

                Comment

                • #23
                  Originally posted by Riderx View Post

                  Sweet...
                  thanks john
                  _______________________________________________
                  ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

                  Comment

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