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Week 3 SDQL

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  • Week 3 SDQL

    teams like NYG on a short week that won the 4th quarter in a game they were trailing by 5+ after 3Q are 15-0 over if last game did not have a high total

    p:margin>-3 and p:M3<-4 and rest=3 and date>20121101 and p:total<48.5

    7-8-0 (-1.27, 46.7%)
    6-9-0 (-1.50, 40.0%) avg line: -0.2 +6: 11-4-0 (73.3%) -6: 4-11-0 (26.7%) +10: 11-4-0 (73.3%) -10: 4-11-0 (26.7%)
    15-0-0 (10.50, 100.0%) avg total: 44.0 +6: 8-7-0 (53.3%) -6: 15-0-0 (100.0%) +10: 8-7-0 (53.3%) -10: 15-0-0 (100.0%)
    23.7 109.9 37.3 239.5 23.6 1.3 6.3 6.2 6.1 7.8 26.6
    29.3 141.7 37.2 265.7 23.2 1.5 3.7 9.7 6.9 7.5 27.9
    Sep 21, 2023 view Thursday 3 2023 Giants Fortyniners away 10.5 45.5

  • #2
    nice...thanks, rt

    Comment


    • #3
      Cool one. Was hoping to see it was a 0-15ats instead of overs. Go go niners. ☺️. Planning to stay up and watch it. 2.15am kickoff Danish time.

      Comment


      • #4
        Originally posted by cains View Post
        Planning to stay up and watch it. 2.15am kickoff Danish time.
        Never a better time to watch your favorite NFL team play. Call in sick on Friday & make it a long weekend...

        Comment


        • #5
          Help

          Teams winning on the road in weeks 1 and 2 coming home as double digit favorites in week 3. (SFo)

          - or - just coming home as favorites in week 3.

          thank you

          Comment


          • #6
            Here ya' go, Jim. Week 3 home favs off b-b road wins:

            KillerSports.com

            Comment


            • #7
              Thank you John.

              There are two double digit favorite lines (SFo -10' this week). Both won big. 34-0; 26-0.

              That confirms my thoughts.

              Comment


              • #8
                Originally posted by Riderx View Post

                Never a better time to watch your favorite NFL team play. Call in sick on Friday & make it a long weekend...
                Taking PTO :) Havent used my PTO this year.. And earning almost a day overtime every 2 weeks as well.. So using it to watch some NFL :)

                Comment


                • #9
                  Originally posted by cains View Post

                  Taking PTO :) Havent used my PTO this year.. And earning almost a day overtime every 2 weeks as well.. So using it to watch some NFL :)
                  cains, Are there others over there who understand and appreciate American NFL football? Or is this a lonely pursuit for you 'till you join us knuckleheads? Are there any bars near you that broadcast any NFL games?

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                  • #10
                    Originally posted by Michelangelo View Post

                    cains, Are there others over there who understand and appreciate American NFL football? Or is this a lonely pursuit for you 'till you join us knuckleheads? Are there any bars near you that broadcast any NFL games?
                    There are others :) We got an American football league in Denmark as well..Im not sure where i would put the best of the danish teams though. I dont think they would be able to compete in the top college divisions.. A friend of mine is doing a 49ers podcast each week during season. But only a few bars showing the games. And only the early kickoff on sunday.. 49ers game started 02.15AM Danish time.. So only bar open is the home bar :D My brother-in-law is a Jets fan, and follow it as closely as i do..

                    Comment


                    • #11
                      Originally posted by cains View Post

                      There are others :) We got an American football league in Denmark as well..Im not sure where i would put the best of the danish teams though. I dont think they would be able to compete in the top college divisions.. A friend of mine is doing a 49ers podcast each week during season. But only a few bars showing the games. And only the early kickoff on sunday.. 49ers game started 02.15AM Danish time.. So only bar open is the home bar :D My brother-in-law is a Jets fan, and follow it as closely as i do..
                      Cool. Another NFL fan right in the family!

                      And if any bars are showing the games there must be interest.

                      Thanks for the perspective.

                      Comment


                      • #12
                        Just found one on another site that you guys can confirm / deny.

                        Game three underdogs coming off a pair of straight up favorite losses are 16-2-1 since 2003.

                        on Denver

                        Comment


                        • #13
                          Originally posted by Michelangelo View Post
                          Just found one on another site that you guys can confirm / deny.

                          Game three underdogs coming off a pair of straight up favorite losses are 16-2-1 since 2003.

                          on Denver
                          is 8-3-2 all time, 7-2 ATS last 9

                          (chargers also qualify if they stay a dog)

                          https://killersports.com/nfl/query?_...+S+D+Q+L+%21++

                          Comment


                          • #14
                            early season AFC North favs of 7.5 or higher are 40-1 SU and covered the teaser line all but 4x

                            40-1-0 (13.32, 97.6%)
                            22-18-1 (3.17, 55.0%) avg line: -10.1 +6: 36-4-1 (90.0%) -6: 16-23-2 (41.0%) +10: 40-1-0 (97.6%) -10: 7-33-1 (17.5%)
                            16-24-1 (-1.85, 40.0%) avg total: 42.3 +6: 9-32-0 (22.0%) -6: 26-15-0 (63.4%) +10: 4-36-1 (10.0%) -10: 31-9-1 (77.5%)
                            31.5 134.4 32.3 246.5 21.8 1.0 6.2 8.2 5.2 7.2 26.9
                            21.5 81.7 33.4 194.7 19.2 1.6 2.1 3.6 2.6 5.3 13.6
                            Sep 24, 2023 view Sunday 3 2023 Ravens Colts home -8.0 44.0

                            Comment


                            • #15
                              week 3 dogs that are 0-2 are 18-0 ATS vs team off a loss or tie

                              week = 3 and p:L and pp:L and D and op:margin<=0 and season>2015

                              13-4-1 (6.39, 76.5%)
                              18-0-0 (10.83, 100.0%) avg line: 4.4 +6: 18-0-0 (100.0%) -6: 9-9-0 (50.0%) +10: 18-0-0 (100.0%) -10: 8-9-1 (47.1%)
                              9-9-0 (1.53, 50.0%) avg total: 44.9 +6: 6-12-0 (33.3%) -6: 12-6-0 (66.7%) +10: 4-14-0 (22.2%) -10: 15-3-0 (83.3%)
                              28.6 116.9 30.8 237.6 22.1 0.7 6.3 10.1 3.2 6.8 26.4
                              22.8 102.5 40.3 259.5 26.3 1.8 3.6 5.4 3.5 7.1 20.0
                              Sep 24, 2023 view Sunday 3 2023 Texans Jaguars away 8.5 44.5
                              Sep 24, 2023 view Sunday 3 2023 Chargers Vikings away 1.0 54.0

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