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Week 9 Queries for our braintrust

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  • #16
    Originally posted by dstaples11 View Post
    Got anything for when team fires a coach the week before and how they perform against the spread the first game with their interim coach?
    7-6 SU and 6-7 ATS since 2015

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    • #17
      watch out if a coach of a 2-3 win team gets fired in weeks 12-14


      https://killersports.com/nfl/query?_...+S+D+Q+L+%21++

      _______________________________________________
      ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

      Comment


      • #18
        p:coach != coach and 2 <= wins <= 3 and o:streak<=1 and not 15<=op:points<=27 and season >=2003 and op:points,1


        new coach
        2-3 win team
        o: not on a >= 2 win streak
        op: didn't score between 15-27 pts
        2003

        o: opponent
        op: opponent previous gm

        0-8 (-21.38)


        the <= 14 pts scored margins (ours) are monstrous


        https://killersports.com/nfl/query?_...+S+D+Q+L+%21++


        nyg + 1.5
        Last edited by bleeker; 11-04-2023, 11:15 PM.
        _______________________________________________
        ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

        Comment


        • #19

          Comment


          • #20
            Originally posted by Chamblin View Post
            thanks chamblin
            _______________________________________________
            ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

            Comment


            • #21
              Originally posted by bleeker View Post
              p:coach != coach and 2 <= wins <= 3 and o:streak<=1 and not 15<=op:points<=27 and season >=2003 and op:points,1


              new coach
              2-3 win team
              o: not on a >= 2 win streak
              op: didn't score between 15-27 pts
              2003

              o: opponent
              op: opponent previous gm

              0-8 (-21.38)


              the <= 14 pts scored margins (ours) are monstrous


              https://killersports.com/nfl/query?_...+S+D+Q+L+%21++


              nyg + 1.5

              3 unit (1 unit avg) goy
              _______________________________________________
              ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

              Comment


              • #22
                Originally posted by bleeker View Post


                3 unit (1 unit avg) goy
                real nice

                p:coach != coach and wins!=1 and o:streak<13 and not 18<op:points<27 and p:line>-13.5 and NDIV
                2-11-0 (-15.31, 15.4%)
                0-12-1 (-11.46, 0.0%) avg line: 3.8

                Comment


                • #23
                  thanks..like yours also
                  _______________________________________________
                  ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

                  Comment


                  • #24
                    Good work in here guys

                    I bet the Chiefs, Mahomes is 14-3 su and 9-8 ats after a loss. In reading past the ats stat I find that the Chiefs su margin in those 14 su wins all covered todays line of -1.5 and they have won the last 8 in a row by margins of:

                    1a.jpg



                    QB:list:name[0]='Patrick Mahomes' and p:L

                    https://gimmethedog.com/NFL?q=QB%3Al...and%20p%3AL%20

                    Sometimes you have to look by the ats record to see the whole picture.

                    Miami is also using it's 6th different offensive lineup of the season, this might play a part in this game

                    Comment


                    • #25
                      Wow...those margins are huge, Glenn; great work...

                      This isn't nearly as good as that, but since the '02 re-align, any non-div road dog of less than +4 before week 17, team is on at least a 6-game Under streak:

                      KillerSports.com

                      5-0 s/u & ats

                      play on: Giants m/l

                      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                      The Seahawks as a road dog off a s/u win in which they had a TOP of less than 24min:

                      KillerSports.com

                      3-0 s/u
                      &
                      3-0 ats
                      &
                      3-0 o/u

                      Seat +6'
                      Seat m/l
                      Seat/Balt Over 44

                      Comment


                      • #26
                        I think I'm becoming a Giants fan...

                        Comment


                        • #27
                          Originally posted by dollars View Post
                          I think I'm becoming a Giants fan...
                          Here's something for your left-coast Rams...

                          Any road dog of less than +4 on Sunday between weeks 2 & 16 w/a total less than 44, team is off a blowout loss by more than -21pts as a dog of more than +4 & had a TOP of less than 25min:

                          KillerSports.com

                          7-0 s/u
                          &
                          7-0 ats

                          Rams+3'...Rams m/l

                          Comment


                          • #28
                            Looks like rain & wind in Germany: NFLWeather

                            Comment


                            • #29



                              europe and mexico games
                              favorite
                              week 6-11
                              op: spread loss <=11 or spread win
                              not the night before halloween *
                              2008

                              * only 2 losses



                              19-0-1 (11.93)


                              despite the big avg margin and sample size there's been a lot of close calls with this of late
                              and kc is a tiny favorite (bottom range)



                              https://killersports.com/nfl/query?_...+S+D+Q+L+%21++



                              kc -1.5 half unit


                              _______________________________________________
                              ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

                              Comment


                              • #30
                                another crazy KC stat but I will root for my boy Tua in the heavy rain (if they don't close the dome)

                                Chiefs after a game not scoring at least 24 points. this is the only neutral game and after the fewest points in the stretch

                                team=Chiefs and p:points<24 and date>20211110
                                11-0-0 (16.64, 100.0%)
                                11-0-0 (11.77, 100.0%) avg line: -4.9 +6: 11-0-0 (100.0%) -6: 6-5-0 (54.5%) +10: 11-0-0 (100.0%) -10: 5-6-0 (45.5%)
                                6-5-0 (2.14, 54.5%) avg total: 49.8 +6: 4-7-0 (36.4%) -6: 8-3-0 (72.7%) +10: 3-8-0 (27.3%) -10: 9-2-0 (81.8%)
                                26.5 119.8 36.5 298.2 25.9 1.4 7.5 12.1 7.5 7.2 34.3
                                20.0 85.5 39.7 251.4 25.8 2.0 2.4 7.6 2.6 5.0 17.6
                                Nov 05, 2023 view Sunday 9 2023 Chiefs Dolphins neutral -1.5 50.5
                                Last edited by rolltide; 11-05-2023, 08:53 AM.

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